The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -5.5✓ SMC covered by 8.5
SMC -5.5✓ SMC covered by 8.5Closing total141.5Over by 8.5
| SMC | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 15-2 | Record | 11-7 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 73–69 SF · ✓ SMC (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 42 | 40 | 82 |
| SF | 28 | 40 | 68 |
1st half: SMC 42, SF 28 (SMC by 14). The model had SMC by 2.9 and a total of 66.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| SMC | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-53 49% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 8-15 53% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 22-25 88% | Free throws | 5-13 38% |
| 41 9 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 40 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 37 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 37 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 7-17 | 1-3 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Harry Wessels C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 34 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tony Duckett, Trent MacLean, Oliver Faubert, Rory Hawke, Kevin Gad, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 36 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 5-16 | 3-8 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 35 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| David Fuchs F | 29 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Junjie Wang F | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Legend Smiley G | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vukasin Masic G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Mookie Cook, Isa Silva
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -6.5
1 → SF
CloseSMC -5.5
1 pt toward SF
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SMC -265 · SF +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -6.5 · closed SMC -5.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel SMC -4.5
model SMC -4.5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMC -5.5 | SMC -4.6 | SF +0.9 | L SMC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.7 | Over 0.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SMC 73.1 · SF 68.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMC -2.9 | SMC -14.0 |
| 1H total | 66.4 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | SMC 34.6 · SF 31.8 | SMC 42 · SF 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| SF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SMC 7–1 SFSMC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SMC 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | SMC 64 @ SF 65 | SF +4.5 | SF W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | SF 51 @ SMC 71 | SMC -10.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | SF 66 @ SMC 70 | SMC -7.5 | SF W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SMC 77 @ SF 60 | SF -0.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | SF 59 @ SMC 68 | SMC -12.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
17 games played
Straight up
15-2
88% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs SEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs WSU | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
+26.5
over 10under 7avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vs USD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vsPORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
over 7under 11avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
15-2 overall · 5-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington St88–82
- Wvs Seattle U93–76
- Wvs Portland78–57
- W@ Pepperdine72–45
- W@ LMU78–73
3 days since their last game.
San Francisco
11-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pepperdine80–60
- L@ LMU82–84
- Wvs Portland73–68
- Wvs San Diego74–64
- L@ Oregon St62–70
3 days since their last game.