McCarthey Athletic Center · at Gonzaga · Conference game
Closing line
GONZ -8.5✓ SMC covered by 0.5
GONZ -8.5✓ SMC covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Under by 6.5
 SMC | This season | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| 18-3 | Record | 21-1 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 9-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 68–81 GONZ · ✓ GONZ (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 38 | 27 | 65 |
| GONZ | 34 | 39 | 73 |
1st half: SMC 38, GONZ 34 (SMC by 4). The model had GONZ by 7.2 and a total of 69.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SMC | GONZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-53 34% | Field goals | 27-58 47% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 23-25 92% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 34 7 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillan Shaw G | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Joshua Dent G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-14 | 1-3 |
| Harry Wessels C | 20 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Liam Campbell G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Andrew McKeever C | 20 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Rory Hawke G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tony Duckett G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Gad, Oliver Faubert, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner, Trent MacLean
| GONZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike F | 37 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 11-20 | 3-5 |
| Jalen Warley G | 33 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti G | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Adam Miller G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Braeden Smith G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Saint-Supery G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster G | 24 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Davis Fogle G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Steele Venters G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ismaila Diagne C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Orness, Joaquim ArauzMoore, Noah Haaland, Alonzo Metz, Parker Jefferson, Braden Huff
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGONZ -10.5
2 → SMC
CloseGONZ -8.5
2 pts toward SMC
Total
Open148.5
▼ 4
Close144.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SMC +380 · GONZ -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GONZ -10.5 · closed GONZ -8.5 · moved 2 toward SMCmodel GONZ -12.5
model GONZ -12.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GONZ -8.5 | GONZ -12.3 | GONZ +3.8 | L SMC covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 148.8 | Over 4.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SMC 68.3 · GONZ 80.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GONZ -7.2 | SMC -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | SMC 31.2 · GONZ 38.4 | SMC 38 · GONZ 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| GONZ | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
SMC 6–6 GONZSeries tied · 12 games since 2021-22 · SMC 6-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | GONZ 58 vs SMC 51 | SMC +3.5 | GONZ W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SMC 74 @ GONZ 67 | GONZ -6.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | GONZ 58 @ SMC 62 | SMC +2.5 | SMC W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | GONZ 60 vs SMC 69 | SMC +3.5 | SMC W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | GONZ 70 @ SMC 57 | SMC -3.5 | GONZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs SEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs WSU | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 13 | @ SF | W 82-68 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ SCU | L 54-62 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 21 | vs ORST | W 81-51 | -19.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @PORT | W 75-69 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
−9.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−6.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
+10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
+26.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−36.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
−10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−0.5
over 11under 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gonzaga
22 games played
Straight up
21-1
95% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXSO | W 98-43 | -29.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 8 | vs OU | W 83-68 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs CREI | W 90-63 | -12.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | @ ASU | W 77-65 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs SUU | W 122-50 | -35.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 24 | vs ALA | W 95-85 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs MD | W 100-61 | -14.5 | W +24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs MICH | L 61-101 | -3.5 | L −43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs UK | W 94-59 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNF | W 109-58 | -42.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCLA | W 82-72 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs CAM | W 98-70 | -36.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORE | W 91-82 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @PEPP | W 96-56 | -29.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | @ USD | W 99-93 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | vsSEA | W 80-72 | -24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | vsLMU | W 82-47 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vsSCU | W 89-77 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 15 | @WSU | W 86-65 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 17 | @SEA | W 71-50 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vsPEPP | W 84-60 | -28.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vsSF | W 68-66 | -15.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
+25.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
+4.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
+14.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−1.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+36.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+5.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+24.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−43.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
+29.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+8.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
−0.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
−8.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
−3.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
+10.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
−23.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−16.5
4
vsLMU
LMUW 82-47
+9.5
8
vsSCU
SCUW 89-77
−5.5
15
@WSU
WSUW 86-65
+4.5
17
@SEA
SEAW 71-50
+11.5
21
vsPEPP
PEPPW 84-60
−4.5
24
vsSF
SFW 68-66
−13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
−16.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
−15.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
−11.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−16.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+11.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+1.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+3.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−3.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
−6.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+0.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
+6.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
+7.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
+17.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
−0.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
+31.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−3.5
4
vsLMU
LMUW 82-47
−25.5
8
vsSCU
SCUW 89-77
+2.5
15
@WSU
WSUW 86-65
−4.5
17
@SEA
SEAW 71-50
−29.5
21
vsPEPP
PEPPW 84-60
−6.5
24
vsSF
SFW 68-66
−15.5
over 9under 13avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
18-3 overall · 8-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Portland75–69
- Wvs Oregon St81–51
- L@ Santa Clara54–62
- W@ San Francisco82–68
- Wvs Washington St88–82
A week or more of rest.
Gonzaga
21-1 overall · 9-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Francisco68–66
- Wvs Pepperdine84–60
- W@ Seattle U71–50
- W@ Washington St86–65
- Wvs Santa Clara89–77
A week or more of rest.