McCarthey Athletic Center · at Gonzaga · Conference game
Closing line
GONZ -17.5✓ SCU covered by 5.5
GONZ -17.5✓ SCU covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Over by 2.5
 SCU | This season | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 16-1 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 8-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SCU 74–89 GONZ · ✓ GONZ (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 37 | 40 | 77 |
| GONZ | 37 | 52 | 89 |
1st half: SCU 37, GONZ 37 (tied). The model had GONZ by 9.1 and a total of 76.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| SCU | GONZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 14-16 88% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 31 13 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Hammond G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 26 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Mahi F | 24 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jake Ensminger G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Allen Graves F | 25 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Thierry Darlan G | 20 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| KJ Cochran G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Brendan Yarusso G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brad Longcor III, Noah Badibanga, Chris Tadjo, Malachi Douyon, Gehrig Normand, Juan Reyna
| GONZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike F | 33 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 13-17 | 1-1 |
| Adam Miller G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Braden Huff F | 27 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti G | 20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Braeden Smith G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Warley G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Mario Saint-Supery G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Steele Venters G | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Ismaila Diagne C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davis Fogle, Alonzo Metz, Parker Jefferson, Noah Haaland, Cade Orness, Joaquim ArauzMoore
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGONZ -17.5
ModelGONZ -15.4
Model edgeSCU +2.1
W SCU covered
Total
Market163.5
Model163.0
Model edgeUnder 0.5
L Over
Projected score
SCU 73.8 · GONZ 89.2
SCU 77 · GONZ 89
Win probability
GONZ 91%
1st half
Spread
GONZ -9.1
tied
Total
76.3
74 points
Projected score
SCU 33.6 · GONZ 42.7
SCU 37 · GONZ 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGONZ -15.5
2 → GONZ
CloseGONZ -17.5
2 pts toward GONZ
Total
Open167.5
▼ 4
Close163.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SCU +1000 · GONZ -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GONZ -15.5 · closed GONZ -17.5 · moved 2 toward GONZmodel GONZ -15.5
model GONZ -15.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 4 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| GONZ | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SCU 2–6 GONZGONZ leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SCU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | GONZ 95 @ SCU 76 | SCU +6.5 | GONZ W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SCU 103 @ GONZ 99 | GONZ -14.5 | SCU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | SCU 81 @ GONZ 94 | GONZ -15.5 | SCU W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | GONZ 76 @ SCU 77 | SCU +7.5 | SCU W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | SCU 70 @ GONZ 88 | GONZ -12.5 | GONZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Clara
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs MCN | W 79-67 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 10 | @ XAV | W 87-68 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEV | W 98-83 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs IDST | W 64-55 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 21 | vs UL | W 80-43 | -19.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 27 | vs SLU | L 70-71 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs MINN | W 86-75 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs UTU | W 90-80 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNM | L 71-98 | +1.5 | L −25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs ASU | L 79-82 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | vs UNT | W 63-60 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs LUC | L 78-80 | -15.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORST | W 102-64 | -7.5 | W +30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | @ PORT | W 92-85 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | vs PEPP | W 82-63 | -20.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs USD | W 98-70 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
+5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
+22.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+8.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−5.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
+17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
+0.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+5.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
−10.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
−25.5
13
vsASU
ASUL 79-82
−4.5
17
vsUNT
UNTW 63-60
−9.5
20
vsLUC
LUCL 78-80
−17.5
28
@ORST
ORSTW 102-64
+30.5
30
@PORT
PORTW 92-85
−6.5
2
vsPEPP
PEPPW 82-63
−1.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 98-70
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
−5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
−0.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+36.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−22.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
−17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
−17.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+22.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
+25.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
+15.5
13
vsASU
ASUL 79-82
+6.5
17
vsUNT
UNTW 63-60
−16.5
20
vsLUC
LUCL 78-80
+6.5
28
@ORST
ORSTW 102-64
+15.5
30
@PORT
PORTW 92-85
+19.5
2
vsPEPP
PEPPW 82-63
−5.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 98-70
+6.5
over 9under 7avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Gonzaga
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXSO | W 98-43 | -29.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 8 | vs OU | W 83-68 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs CREI | W 90-63 | -12.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | @ASU | W 77-65 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs SUU | W 122-50 | -35.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 24 | vs ALA | W 95-85 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs MD | W 100-61 | -14.5 | W +24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs MICH | L 61-101 | -3.5 | L −43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs UK | W 94-59 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNF | W 109-58 | -42.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCLA | W 82-72 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs CAM | W 98-70 | -36.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORE | W 91-82 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @PEPP | W 96-56 | -29.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | @USD | W 99-93 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | vs SEA | W 80-72 | -24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | vs LMU | W 82-47 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
+25.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
+4.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
+14.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−1.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+36.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+5.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+24.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−43.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
+29.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+8.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
−0.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
−8.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
−3.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
+10.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
−23.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−16.5
4
vsLMU
LMUW 82-47
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
−16.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
−15.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
−11.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−16.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+11.5
24
vsALA
ALAW 95-85
+1.5
25
vsMD
MDW 100-61
+3.5
26
vsMICH
MICHL 61-101
−3.5
5
vsUK
UKW 94-59
−6.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 109-58
+0.5
13
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-72
+6.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 98-70
+7.5
21
vsORE
OREW 91-82
+17.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 96-56
−0.5
30
@USD
USDW 99-93
+31.5
2
vsSEA
SEAW 80-72
−3.5
4
vsLMU
LMUW 82-47
−25.5
over 8under 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Clara
12-4 overall · 4-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego98–70
- Wvs Pepperdine82–63
- W@ Portland92–85
- W@ Oregon St102–64
- Lvs Loyola Chicago78–80
4 days since their last game.
Gonzaga
16-1 overall · 4-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LMU82–47
- Wvs Seattle U80–72
- W@ San Diego99–93
- W@ Pepperdine96–56
- Wvs Oregon91–82
4 days since their last game.