Redhawk Center · at Seattle U · Conference game
Closing line
SEA -4.5✓ SEA covered by 5.5
SEA -4.5✓ SEA covered by 5.5Closing total141.5Under by 13.5
 LMU | This season | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-10 | Record | 11-7 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LMU 66–70 SEA · ✓ SEA (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 18 | 41 | 59 |
| SEA | 35 | 34 | 69 |
1st half: LMU 18, SEA 35 (SEA by 17). The model had SEA by 2.6 and a total of 63.8 (actual 53).
Team stats
| LMU | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-47 45% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 34 5 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 31 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Jalen Shelley F | 31 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Rick Issanza C | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jan Vide G | 19 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jael Martin F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| AJ Thomas G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dalton F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Tanner Thomas, Aaron McBride
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Maldonado G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 33 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Maleek Arington G | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 27 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Austin Maurer C | 21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jojo Murphy G | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| John Christofilis G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Houran Dan C | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Brock Felder F | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Miles Amos G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stratos Papastavrou, JT White, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -4.5
ModelSEA -4.6
Model edgeSEA +0.1
W SEA covered
Total
Market141.5
Model136.1
Model edgeUnder 5.4
W Under
Projected score
LMU 65.8 · SEA 70.3
LMU 59 · SEA 69
Win probability
SEA 66%
1st half
Spread
SEA -2.6
SEA -17.0
Total
63.8
53 points
Projected score
LMU 30.6 · SEA 33.2
LMU 18 · SEA 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEA -4.5
no move
CloseSEA -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
▲ 5
Close141.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
LMU +170 · SEA -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEA -4.5 · unchangedmodel SEA -4.5 matches the line
model SEA -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 136.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| SEA | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LMU
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs FAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs STBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs UCSD | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs UNA | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs MORG | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SMC | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs PAC | W 80-71 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | @ WSU | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ GONZ | L 47-82 | +25.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs SF | W 84-82 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ SCU | L 72-103 | +11.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ ORST | L 70-76 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs PORT | L 58-71 | -8.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−8.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+23.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
+3.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+4.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+5.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+1.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−9.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+0.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
−19.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
−7.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−21.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−26.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+7.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
−5.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+7.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+11.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+11.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−25.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+24.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
+21.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
+5.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−19.5
over 11under 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Seattle U
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vsEWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vsUCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vsUTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCD | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs WASH | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTSA | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vsSF | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsWSU | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @GONZ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | @SMC | L 76-93 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @ORST | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 15 | vs USD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsGONZ | L 50-71 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
−1.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
+11.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−7.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−10.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
+7.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
+16.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
−5.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−17.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
+1.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
+13.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
−15.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−9.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−20.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
−20.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
−3.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
+29.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−16.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
−8.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−29.5
over 7under 11avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LMU
10-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Portland58–71
- L@ Oregon St70–76
- L@ Santa Clara72–103
- Wvs San Francisco84–82
- L@ Gonzaga47–82
4 days since their last game.
Seattle U
11-7 overall · 2-5 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga50–71
- Wvs San Diego75–64
- L@ Oregon St55–68
- L@ Saint Mary's76–93
- L@ Gonzaga72–80
4 days since their last game.