Hamilton Gymnasium · at Denver · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -3.5✓ DEN covered by 5.5
STMN -3.5✓ DEN covered by 5.5Closing total168.5Under by 6.5
| STMN | This season | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 18-7 | Record | 11-15 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 17-9 |
| 16-9 | O/U | 19-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 85–80 DEN · ✗ STMN (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| DEN | 37 | 45 | 82 |
1st half: STMN 39, DEN 37 (STMN by 2). The model had STMN by 2.9 and a total of 77.1 (actual 76).
Team stats
| STMN | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 8-20 40% | Free throws | 17-20 85% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 9-19 | 1-6 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 31 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Austin Herro G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tim Franks G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Ryan Lafferty, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr.
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 37 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-7 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 36 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julius Rollins G | 23 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 9-12 | 5-8 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Lee G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Didier Maleng F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Loch Cunningham, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -3.5
ModelSTMN -4.6
Model edgeSTMN +1.1
L DEN covered
Total
Market168.5
Model165.0
Model edgeUnder 3.5
W Under
Projected score
STMN 84.8 · DEN 80.2
STMN 80 · DEN 82
Win probability
STMN 66%
1st half
Spread
STMN -2.9
STMN -2.0
Total
77.1
76 points
Projected score
STMN 40 · DEN 37.1
STMN 39 · DEN 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -4.5
1 → DEN
CloseSTMN -3.5
1 pt toward DEN
Total
Open167.5
▲ 1
Close168.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
STMN -175 · DEN +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -4.5 · closed STMN -3.5 · moved 1 toward DENmodel STMN -4.5
model STMN -4.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 1 upmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| DEN | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
STMN 7–3 DENSTMN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 5 meetings · STMN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | DEN 88 @ STMN 92 | STMN -11.5 | DEN W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | DEN 62 vs STMN 80 | STMN -10.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | STMN 79 @ DEN 76 | DEN +9.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | DEN 62 @ STMN 74 | STMN -15.5 | DEN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | DEN 58 @ STMN 83 | STMN -8.5 | STMN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
25 games played
Straight up
18-7
72% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vsDEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @ UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vs SDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsUND | L 80-81 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs KC | W 99-64 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 4 | @SDST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsORU | W 92-75 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 12 | @ OMA | L 94-98 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 14 | @KC | W 104-64 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
−12.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+17.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
+16.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+1.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
−8.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+27.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
+8.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+11.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
−18.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+15.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
+35.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+13.5
over 16under 9avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Denver
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
17-9
65% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-7
73% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vsCSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vsKC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 4 | @STMN | L 88-92 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @SDST | L 79-87 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @SDAK | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsORU | W 98-87 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 22 | vsNDSU | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsUND | L 86-93 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 28 | @KC | W 69-61 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsOMA | L 82-84 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @NDSU | W 78-71 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @UND | W 98-79 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 12 | vsSDST | W 79-61 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 15 | @OMA | L 76-83 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 19 | vsSDAK | W 90-70 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+7.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+0.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−11.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+4.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−0.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
−12.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
+4.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
−3.5
5
@NDSU
NDSUW 78-71
+19.5
7
@UND
UNDW 98-79
+22.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 79-61
+20.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 76-83
−4.5
19
vsSDAK
SDAKW 90-70
+14.5
covered 17didn’t cover 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+16.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+3.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−15.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+28.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−1.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
+16.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
−31.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
+7.5
5
@NDSU
NDSUW 78-71
−7.5
7
@UND
UNDW 98-79
+15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 79-61
−20.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 76-83
−1.5
19
vsSDAK
SDAKW 90-70
−3.5
over 19under 7avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
18-7 overall · 10-3 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas City104–64
- L@ Omaha94–98
- Wvs Oral Roberts92–75
- W@ S Dakota St77–62
- Wvs Kansas City99–64
A week or more of rest.
Denver
11-15 overall · 7-7 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Dakota90–70
- L@ Omaha76–83
- Wvs S Dakota St79–61
- W@ North Dakota98–79
- W@ N Dakota St78–71
2 days since their last game.