Hamilton Gymnasium · at Denver · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -4.5✓ NDSU covered by 0.5
NDSU -4.5✓ NDSU covered by 0.5Closing total160.5Under by 1.5
| NDSU | This season | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 6-11 |
| 11-7 | ATS | 12-5 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 16-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 83–78 DEN · ✓ NDSU (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 45 | 37 | 82 |
| DEN | 37 | 40 | 77 |
1st half: NDSU 45, DEN 37 (NDSU by 8). The model had NDSU by 3.0 and a total of 75.2 (actual 82).
Team stats
| NDSU | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 31-64 48% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 3-4 75% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 35 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 25 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 4-5 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Emil Skytt G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock, Carson Smith, Max Majerle
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 39 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 8-15 | 3-6 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 36 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 35 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 34 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 8-20 | 4-9 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 30 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julius Rollins G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Lee G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Didier Maleng F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Loch Cunningham, Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -4.5
no move
CloseNDSU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▲ 4
Close160.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -198 · DEN +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -4.5 · unchangedmodel NDSU -5
model NDSU -5
Opened 156.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 4 upmodel 160.5 matches the line
model 160.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NDSU -4.5 | NDSU -4.9 | NDSU +0.4 | W NDSU covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 160.6 | Over 0.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NDSU 82.8 · DEN 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NDSU -3.0 | NDSU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | NDSU 39.1 · DEN 36.1 | NDSU 45 · DEN 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| DEN | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NDSU 7–2 DENNDSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NDSU has won the last 2 meetings · NDSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | DEN 84 @ NDSU 89 | NDSU -12.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NDSU 69 @ DEN 50 | DEN +9.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NDSU 71 @ DEN 77 | DEN -2.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | DEN 78 @ NDSU 70 | NDSU -2.5 | DEN W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | DEN 70 @ NDSU 78 | NDSU -9.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vs SDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs ORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @ OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs SDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs STMN | W 68-65 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
−18.5
over 10under 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Denver
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
12-5
71% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-1
94% overs · avg +12.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vsKC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 4 | @STMN | L 88-92 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @SDST | L 79-87 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @SDAK | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsORU | W 98-87 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+7.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+0.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−11.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 5avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+16.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+3.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−15.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+28.5
over 16under 1avg +12.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
13-5 overall · 6-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Thomas68–65
- Wvs S Dakota St76–65
- W@ Omaha78–76
- W@ Kansas City97–73
- Wvs Oral Roberts79–77
5 days since their last game.
Denver
6-11 overall · 2-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oral Roberts98–87
- L@ South Dakota72–82
- L@ S Dakota St79–87
- L@ St Thomas88–92
- Wvs Kansas City87–74
A week or more of rest.