Scheels Center · at N Dakota St · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -2.5✓ NDSU covered by 0.5
NDSU -2.5✓ NDSU covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Under by 18.5
 STMN | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 12-5 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 10-6 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 76–78 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 35 | 30 | 65 |
| NDSU | 34 | 34 | 68 |
1st half: STMN 35, NDSU 34 (STMN by 1). The model had NDSU by 1.3 and a total of 72.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| STMN | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 25-65 38% |
| 10-31 32% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 34 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Austin Herro G | 29 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 27 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adam Tauer, Kyle Counts, Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Hayden Tibbits, Tommy Humphries Jr., Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 37 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 20 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Feddersen C | 21 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tay Smith G | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Emil Skytt G | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Riley Massey G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson Smith, Max Majerle, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -2.5
ModelNDSU -2.4
Model edgeSTMN +0.1
L NDSU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.2
Model edgeOver 2.7
L Under
Projected score
STMN 75.9 · NDSU 78.3
STMN 65 · NDSU 68
Win probability
NDSU 58%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -1.3
STMN -1.0
Total
72.2
69 points
Projected score
STMN 35.5 · NDSU 36.8
STMN 35 · NDSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -1.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -2.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
STMN +120 · NDSU -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -1.5 · closed NDSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -2.5 matches the line
model NDSU -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
STMN 5–4 NDSUSTMN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 3 meetings · STMN 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | NDSU 62 @ STMN 79 | STMN -2.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | STMN 89 @ NDSU 85 | NDSU -2.5 | STMN W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | NDSU 58 vs STMN 68 | STMN -4.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | STMN 50 @ NDSU 64 | NDSU +2.5 | NDSU W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | NDSU 66 @ STMN 79 | STMN -6.5 | STMN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @ UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
over 10under 6avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vsSDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @ OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs SDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
over 10under 7avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
12-4 overall · 4-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Dakota91–80
- W@ Oral Roberts82–71
- Wvs South Dakota99–86
- Wvs Denver92–88
- Wvs UC Riverside92–78
2 days since their last game.
N Dakota St
12-5 overall · 5-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Dakota St76–65
- W@ Omaha78–76
- W@ Kansas City97–73
- Wvs Oral Roberts79–77
- Wvs South Dakota84–61
3 days since their last game.