Betty Engelstad Sioux Center · at North Dakota · Conference game
Closing line
STMN -10.5✓ STMN covered by 0.5
STMN -10.5✓ STMN covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Over by 19.5
| STMN | This season | UND |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4 | Record | 6-11 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 81–74 UND · ✓ STMN (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 37 | 54 | 91 |
| UND | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: STMN 37, UND 36 (STMN by 1). The model had STMN by 4.7 and a total of 72.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| STMN | UND | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-43 65% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 16-24 67% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 19-34 56% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 26 3 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 7 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 25 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski G | 39 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 11-16 | 7-9 |
| Austin Herro G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Nolan Minessale G | 31 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 8-13 | 4-8 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tim Franks, Ryan Lafferty, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer, Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr.
| UND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greyson Uelmen G | 31 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Eli King G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Garrett Anderson G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Zach Kraft G | 24 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Josh Jones C | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Smith III G | 24 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| George Natsvlishvili F | 22 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Marley Curtis F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Reggie Thomas G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Wylee Delorme G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Doppler, Matthew Bothun, Karson Ouse, Ryan Erikson, Micah Curtis
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -10.5
ModelSTMN -7.7
Model edgeUND +2.8
L STMN covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
STMN 81.3 · UND 73.6
STMN 91 · UND 80
Win probability
STMN 75%
1st half
Spread
STMN -4.7
STMN -1.0
Total
72.5
73 points
Projected score
STMN 38.6 · UND 33.9
STMN 37 · UND 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -9.5
1 → STMN
CloseSTMN -10.5
1 pt toward STMN
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
STMN -575 · UND +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -9.5 · closed STMN -10.5 · moved 1 toward STMNmodel STMN -7.5
model STMN -7.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UND | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
STMN 6–3 UNDSTMN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · STMN has won the last 3 meetings · STMN 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UND 69 vs STMN 85 | STMN -7.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UND 71 @ STMN 86 | STMN -9.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STMN 88 @ UND 80 | UND +5.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UND 74 @ STMN 64 | STMN -8.5 | UND W |
| Dec 29, 2023-24 | STMN 70 @ UND 45 | UND -3.5 | STMN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
over 9under 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Dakota
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ALA | L 62-91 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 6 | vsUCR | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs CSUN | L 85-93 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @UCR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 19 | @ CREI | L 60-75 | +29.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 22 | vs CCU | L 58-75 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ WIU | W 78-69 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 28 | @ HAW | L 55-92 | +18.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 3 | @ IDHO | L 58-90 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONT | L 75-79 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 13 | vsWIU | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIN | W 90-88 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | @ NEB | L 55-78 | +29.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 1 | vsORU | W 72-61 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs SDST | W 90-87 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @ OMA | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ KC | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−5.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
−1.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+5.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
+14.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−13.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+6.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−18.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−20.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
+1.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+14.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
+6.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
+9.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+10.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
−5.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
−17.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−2.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
+19.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+1.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
−20.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−14.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+0.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−2.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−3.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+20.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
−18.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
−15.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+24.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
+22.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+13.5
over 7under 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
11-4 overall · 3-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oral Roberts82–71
- Wvs South Dakota99–86
- Wvs Denver92–88
- Wvs UC Riverside92–78
- W@ UNC Asheville80–59
5 days since their last game.
North Dakota
6-11 overall · 3-1 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas City81–79
- L@ Omaha79–90
- Wvs S Dakota St90–87
- Wvs Oral Roberts72–61
- L@ Nebraska55–78
5 days since their last game.