Haas Pavilion · at California · Conference game
Closing line
CAL -1.5✓ CAL covered by 4.5
CAL -1.5✓ CAL covered by 4.5Closing total149.5Under by 11.5
 STAN | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 16-10 | Record | 17-8 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 10-16 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STAN 74–76 CAL · ✓ CAL (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 25 | 41 | 66 |
| CAL | 39 | 33 | 72 |
1st half: STAN 25, CAL 39 (CAL by 14). The model had CAL by 1.3 and a total of 70.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| STAN | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-60 33% | Field goals | 22-63 35% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 18-29 62% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 46 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 40 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-6 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 39 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Benny Gealer G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 4-12 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 31 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 24 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Donavin Young F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Grant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Chisom Okpara, Ethan Kitch, Evan Stinson, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden F | 36 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-9 |
| Justin Pippen G | 35 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2-10 | 1-2 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 34 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Chris Bell F | 33 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Milos Ilic C | 32 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Semetri Carr G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Sammie Yeanay F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stephon Marbury II, Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Rytis Petraitis, Jovani Ruff, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Lee Dort
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -1.5
no move
CloseCAL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
STAN +105 · CAL -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -1.5 · unchangedmodel CAL -2.5
model CAL -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5 matches the line
model 149.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CAL -1.5 | CAL -2.3 | CAL +0.8 | W CAL covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 149.5 | — | Under |
| Projected score | — | STAN 73.6 · CAL 75.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CAL -1.3 | CAL -14.0 |
| 1H total | 70.0 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | STAN 34.3 · CAL 35.6 | STAN 25 · CAL 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| CAL | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
STAN 7–4 CALSTAN leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · STAN 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | CAL 78 @ STAN 66 | STAN -4.5 | CAL W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | CAL 73 vs STAN 78 | STAN -7.5 | CAL W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CAL 61 @ STAN 66 | STAN -6.5 | CAL W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | STAN 89 @ CAL 81 | CAL -1.5 | STAN W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | STAN 87 vs CAL 76 | CAL +1.5 | STAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stanford
26 games played
Straight up
16-10
62% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-16
38% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs LOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs UNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs DUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vs CLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs GT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @ BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @ WAKE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−19.5
over 10under 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLU | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 30 | vsLOU | L 70-90 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | vsND | W 72-71 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 7 | @UVA | L 60-84 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @VT | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | vsDUKE | L 56-71 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNC | W 84-78 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @STAN | W 78-66 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @FSU | L 61-63 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @MIA | W 86-85 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vsGT | W 90-85 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | vsCLEM | L 55-77 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | @ SYR | L 100-107 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | @BC | W 86-75 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
+9.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
−12.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
−2.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−9.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+2.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−0.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+13.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
+16.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
+1.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+12.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
−2.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−17.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
−0.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
−23.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
+0.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
+4.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−4.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+4.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−22.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+10.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
−2.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
−33.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+22.5
4
vsGT
GTW 90-85
+22.5
7
vsCLEM
CLEML 55-77
−7.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 100-107
+58.5
14
@BC
BCW 86-75
+16.5
over 12under 13avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stanford
16-10 overall · 5-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wake Forest63–68
- W@ Boston College70–64
- Wvs Georgia Tech95–72
- Lvs Clemson64–66
- L@ Florida St80–88
A week or more of rest.
California
17-8 overall · 6-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Boston College86–75
- L@ Syracuse100–107
- Lvs Clemson55–77
- Wvs Georgia Tech90–85
- W@ Miami86–85
A week or more of rest.