Moby Arena · at Colorado St · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -3.5✓ CSU covered by 12.5
SDSU -3.5✓ CSU covered by 12.5Closing total139.5Over by 17.5
| SDSU | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-7 | Record | 15-10 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 72–69 CSU · ✗ SDSU (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 25 | 49 | 74 |
| CSU | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: SDSU 25, CSU 38 (CSU by 13). The model had SDSU by 2.1 and a total of 66.2 (actual 63).
Team stats
| SDSU | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 23-49 47% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-4 |
| Miles Byrd G | 30 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 4-14 | 3-8 |
| Miles Heide F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| BJ Davis G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Simmons F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Latrell Davis, Thokbor Majak, Cam Lawin, Raymar Gonzales
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Butler G | 37 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 35 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Carey Booth F | 31 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 5-11 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 24 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Pascarelli, Nikola Djapa, Jon Mekonnen, Charlie Dortch, Docker Tedeschi
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -3.5
ModelSDSU -3.3
Model edgeCSU +0.2
W CSU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
SDSU 72.3 · CSU 69.1
SDSU 74 · CSU 83
Win probability
SDSU 61%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -2.1
CSU -13.0
Total
66.2
63 points
Projected score
SDSU 34.2 · CSU 32.1
SDSU 25 · CSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -2.5
1 → SDSU
CloseSDSU -3.5
1 pt toward SDSU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SDSU -162 · CSU +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -2.5 · closed SDSU -3.5 · moved 1 toward SDSUmodel SDSU -3.5 matches the line
model SDSU -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| CSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
SDSU 8–3 CSUSDSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · SDSU 8-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025-26 | CSU 50 @ SDSU 73 | SDSU -9.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SDSU 63 @ CSU 68 | CSU -2.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | CSU 60 @ SDSU 75 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | CSU 55 @ SDSU 71 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | SDSU 71 @ CSU 79 | CSU -2.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs BOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @ NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs FRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @ GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vsCSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @ USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @AF | W 88-54 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vsNEV | W 71-57 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | vsGCU | L 63-73 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
+6.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−17.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+2.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
−11.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−3.5
over 10under 14avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vsNEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vsUNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vsUNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsAF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsUSU | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | @SDSU | L 50-73 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @WYO | L 57-68 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSJSU | W 65-57 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @AF | W 91-74 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vsWYO | W 79-68 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @UNLV | W 91-86 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
+1.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−13.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−9.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−7.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+0.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+7.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+7.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 61-65
−23.5
28
@SDSU
SDSUL 50-73
−16.5
31
@WYO
WYOL 57-68
−17.5
7
vsSJSU
SJSUW 65-57
−16.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-74
+27.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 79-68
+6.5
18
@UNLV
UNLVW 91-86
+29.5
over 13under 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
17-7 overall · 12-3 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Grand Canyon63–73
- Wvs Nevada71–57
- W@ Air Force88–54
- Wvs Wyoming72–63
- L@ Utah State66–71
4 days since their last game.
Colorado St
15-10 overall · 7-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNLV91–86
- Wvs Wyoming79–68
- W@ Air Force91–74
- Wvs San José St65–57
- L@ Wyoming57–68
3 days since their last game.