Moby Arena · at Colorado St · Conference game
Closing line
USU -5.5✓ CSU covered by 1.5
USU -5.5✓ CSU covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 23.5
| USU | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-3 | Record | 11-7 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 78–72 CSU · ✓ USU (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 25 | 40 | 65 |
| CSU | 35 | 26 | 61 |
1st half: USU 25, CSU 35 (CSU by 10). The model had USU by 3.7 and a total of 70.4 (actual 60).
Team stats
| USU | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 22-43 51% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 22 6 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 36 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-6 |
| Drake Allen G | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garry Clark F | 28 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Karson Templin F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Kolby King G | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tucker Anderson, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe, Jordy Barnes, David Iweze
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 34 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-6 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Jase Butler G | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jevin Muniz G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Carey Booth F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nikola Djapa, Darnez Slater, Jon Mekonnen, Charlie Dortch, Docker Tedeschi
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -4.5
1 → USU
CloseUSU -5.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USU -270 · CSU +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -4.5 · closed USU -5.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel USU -6
model USU -6
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -5.5 | USU -6.0 | USU +0.5 | L CSU covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 150.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USU 78.1 · CSU 72.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -3.7 | CSU -10.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | USU 37 · CSU 33.4 | USU 25 · CSU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| CSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
USU 4–6 CSUCSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · USU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | CSU 58 @ USU 100 | USU -10.5 | USU W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | USU 72 vs CSU 83 | CSU -0.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | USU 66 @ CSU 93 | CSU -1.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | CSU 85 @ USU 93 | USU -6.5 | USU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | USU 55 @ CSU 75 | CSU -5.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
17 games played
Straight up
14-3
82% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
over 10under 7avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vsUSF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vsNEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @GCU | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs UNM | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vsUNLV | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @FRES | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @BOIS | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsAF | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
+16.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
−8.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
+1.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
−13.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
−0.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
+9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
3
@GCU
GCUW 70-60
−13.5
6
vsUNM
UNML 70-80
+6.5
9
vsUNLV
UNLVW 70-62
−19.5
13
@FRES
FRESL 69-79
+8.5
16
@BOIS
BOISL 73-79
+11.5
20
vsAF
AFW 81-52
−0.5
over 10under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
14-3 overall · 6-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNLV76–86
- L@ Grand Canyon74–84
- Wvs Nevada71–62
- W@ Boise St93–68
- W@ Air Force99–62
3 days since their last game.
Colorado St
11-7 overall · 3-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Air Force81–52
- L@ Boise St73–79
- L@ Fresno St69–79
- Wvs UNLV70–62
- Lvs New Mexico70–80
3 days since their last game.