Liberty Arena (IN) · at Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · Conference game
Closing line
USI -6.5✓ USI covered by 25.5
USI -6.5✓ USI covered by 25.5Closing total136.5Over by 23.5
 WIU | This season | USI |
|---|---|---|
| 1-16 | Record | 2-15 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 5-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIU 66–71 USI · ✓ USI (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| USI | 51 | 45 | 96 |
1st half: WIU 31, USI 51 (USI by 20). The model had USI by 3.3 and a total of 64.2 (actual 82).
Team stats
| WIU | USI | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 35-67 52% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 13-28 46% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 47 12 off |
| 4 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Okwuosah F | 32 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Makai Kvamme G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 28 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Goanar Biliew F | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyran Cook G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Steven Tipton G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Nick Hittle F | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Danny Stephens F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ifiok Peter F | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Riley, Jake Edwards, Karyiek Dixon, Antwaun Massey, Marcus Pigram
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolu Samuels F | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 5-9 | 2-2 |
| Amaree Brown G | 21 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Steven Clay G | 18 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 18 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 25 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-9 |
| Josiah Dunham G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Alem Fejzic G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Devin Curtis F | 16 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Ezeagu F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cayden Gehlhausen G | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaden Brown, Braxton Jones, Trey Thomas, Ismail Habib
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSI -6.5
ModelUSI -5.7
Model edgeWIU +0.8
L USI covered
Total
Market136.5
Model136.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
WIU 65.6 · USI 71.3
WIU 64 · USI 96
Win probability
USI 69%
1st half
Spread
USI -3.3
USI -20.0
Total
64.2
82 points
Projected score
WIU 30.4 · USI 33.7
WIU 31 · USI 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSI -6.5
no move
CloseUSI -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open134.5
▲ 2
Close136.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIU +230 · USI -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USI -6.5 · unchangedmodel USI -5.5
model USI -5.5
Opened 134.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 upmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIU | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| USI | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WIU 4–1 USIWIU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · WIU 3-1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | USI 62 @ WIU 87 | WIU -0.5 | WIU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | WIU 66 @ USI 78 | USI -3.5 | USI W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | USI 76 @ WIU 82 | WIU -6 | P |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | WIU 73 @ USI 68 | USI +2.5 | WIU W |
| Nov 30, 2022-23 | USI 78 @ WIU 86 | WIU +5.5 | WIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Illinois
17 games played
Straight up
1-16
6% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ RAD | L 75-80 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ IOWA | L 58-77 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ CSUB | L 58-74 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ CBU | L 59-69 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCU | L 64-84 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs UND | L 69-78 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ DRKE | L 57-108 | +17.5 | L −33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @UND | W 69-66 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | @ LIN | L 76-92 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIUE | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ UTM | L 60-67 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @ SEMO | L 50-73 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | vs TNST | L 68-90 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TNTC | L 54-59 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 13 | @ EIU | L 55-57 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 17 | @ LR | L 79-86 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ MORE | L 66-71 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+11.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
+11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−8.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
+5.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
−16.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
−6.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
−33.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
+10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
−3.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
+1.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
+6.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−9.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
−15.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−1.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
+4.5
17
@LR
LRL 79-86
+3.5
22
@MORE
MOREL 66-71
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@RAD
RADL 75-80
+3.5
7
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-77
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBL 58-74
−9.5
14
@CBU
CBUL 59-69
−12.5
21
vsCCU
CCUL 64-84
+9.5
23
vsUND
UNDL 69-78
+0.5
2
@DRKE
DRKEL 57-108
+26.5
13
@UND
UNDW 69-66
−10.5
18
@LIN
LINL 76-92
+21.5
22
vsSIUE
SIUEL 61-66
−11.5
1
@UTM
UTML 60-67
−13.5
3
@SEMO
SEMOL 50-73
−24.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTL 68-90
+12.5
10
vsTNTC
TNTCL 54-59
−30.5
13
@EIU
EIUL 55-57
−20.5
17
@LR
LRL 79-86
+29.5
22
@MORE
MOREL 66-71
−1.5
over 7under 10avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
17 games played
Straight up
2-15
12% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ BTLR | L 58-88 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs VMI | L 74-78 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 12 | @ SDAK | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIW | L 81-87 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIC | L 73-84 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | @ VAL | W 64-56 | +9.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 3 | @ WMU | L 74-88 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 7 | @ INST | L 55-77 | +11.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | vsLR | L 62-77 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vsMORE | L 60-64 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @SIUE | L 55-59 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 3 | @LIN | L 80-83 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | vsSEMO | L 76-84 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | vsUTM | L 56-73 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | @TNTC | W 71-54 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 17 | @TNST | L 67-73 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | vsEIU | L 51-59 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−7.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−7.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+3.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+0.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
+17.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
−8.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−10.5
18
vsLR
LRL 62-77
−12.5
20
vsMORE
MOREL 60-64
−2.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 55-59
+6.5
3
@LIN
LINL 80-83
+6.5
8
vsSEMO
SEMOL 76-84
−0.5
10
vsUTM
UTML 56-73
−11.5
15
@TNTC
TNTCW 71-54
+22.5
17
@TNST
TNSTL 67-73
+2.5
22
vsEIU
EIUL 51-59
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−10.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−1.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+22.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+3.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
−30.5
3
@WMU
WMUL 74-88
+11.5
7
@INST
INSTL 55-77
−26.5
18
vsLR
LRL 62-77
−1.5
20
vsMORE
MOREL 60-64
−21.5
1
@SIUE
SIUEL 55-59
−22.5
3
@LIN
LINL 80-83
+15.5
8
vsSEMO
SEMOL 76-84
+13.5
10
vsUTM
UTML 56-73
−8.5
15
@TNTC
TNTCW 71-54
−17.5
17
@TNST
TNSTL 67-73
−10.5
22
vsEIU
EIUL 51-59
−25.5
over 5under 12avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Illinois
1-16 overall · 0-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Morehead St66–71
- L@ Little Rock79–86
- L@ E Illinois55–57
- Lvs Tennessee Tech54–59
- Lvs Tennessee St68–90
1 day since their last game.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
2-15 overall · 1-8 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Illinois51–59
- L@ Tennessee St67–73
- W@ Tennessee Tech71–54
- Lvs UT Martin56–73
- Lvs SE Missouri76–84
1 day since their last game.