Haas Pavilion · at California · Conference game
Closing line
CAL -7.5✓ GT covered by 2.5
CAL -7.5✓ GT covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Over by 22.5
 GT | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 15-6 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 13-9 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GT 70–79 CAL · ✓ CAL (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 29 | 56 | 85 |
| CAL | 43 | 47 | 90 |
1st half: GT 29, CAL 43 (CAL by 14). The model had CAL by 4.9 and a total of 69.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| GT | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-71 48% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 28-39 72% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 20 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 32 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kam Craft G | 31 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-9 |
| Lamar Washington G | 26 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chas Kelley III G | 26 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Akai Fleming G | 22 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 8-17 | 3-6 |
| Davi Remagen G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mouhamed Sylla, Eric Chatfield Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Brandon Stores Jr., Peyton Marshall
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden F | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Justin Pippen G | 33 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 31 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 9-13 | 3-4 |
| Chris Bell F | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Milos Ilic C | 23 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeJuan Campbell G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Semetri Carr G | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut F | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lee Dort, Sammie Yeanay, Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Stephon Marbury II, Jovani Ruff, Rytis Petraitis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCAL -7.5
ModelCAL -8.4
Model edgeCAL +0.9
L GT covered
Total
Market152.5
Model148.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
L Over
Projected score
GT 70.2 · CAL 78.6
GT 85 · CAL 90
Win probability
CAL 77%
1st half
Spread
CAL -4.9
CAL -14.0
Total
69.7
72 points
Projected score
GT 32.4 · CAL 37.3
GT 29 · CAL 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -8.5
1 → GT
CloseCAL -7.5
1 pt toward GT
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
GT +320 · CAL -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -8.5 · closed CAL -7.5 · moved 1 toward GTmodel CAL -8.5
model CAL -8.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| CAL | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GT 1–0 CALGT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GT 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | CAL 88 @ GT 90 | GT -3.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia Tech
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs BC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs SYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCSU | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs CLEM | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @ VT | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs UNC | L 75-91 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
+21.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−5.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
+3.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
−2.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−2.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
−19.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
+5.5
over 13under 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLU | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 30 | vs LOU | L 70-90 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | vs ND | W 72-71 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ UVA | L 60-84 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @VT | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | vsDUKE | L 56-71 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNC | W 84-78 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | @ STAN | W 78-66 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ FSU | L 61-63 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @MIA | W 86-85 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
+9.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
−12.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
−2.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−9.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+2.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−0.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+13.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
+16.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
+1.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
−23.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
+0.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
+4.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−4.5
10
@VT
VTL 75-78
+4.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 56-71
−22.5
17
vsUNC
UNCW 84-78
+10.5
24
@STAN
STANW 78-66
−2.5
28
@FSU
FSUL 61-63
−33.5
31
@MIA
MIAW 86-85
+22.5
over 9under 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia Tech
11-11 overall · 2-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs North Carolina75–91
- L@ Virginia Tech65–71
- Lvs Clemson63–77
- W@ NC State78–74
- Lvs Pitt66–89
4 days since their last game.
California
15-6 overall · 4-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Miami86–85
- L@ Florida St61–63
- W@ Stanford78–66
- Wvs North Carolina84–78
- Lvs Duke56–71
4 days since their last game.