Scheels Center · at N Dakota St · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -12.5✓ DEN covered by 19.5
NDSU -12.5✓ DEN covered by 19.5Closing total156.5Under by 7.5
 DEN | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-14 | Record | 16-5 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 13-8 |
| 18-3 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 75–86 NDSU · ✗ NDSU (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 40 | 38 | 78 |
| NDSU | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: DEN 40, NDSU 34 (DEN by 6). The model had NDSU by 6.5 and a total of 74.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| DEN | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 35 5 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 38 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-10 |
| Zane Nelson G | 34 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 33 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 32 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julius Rollins G | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Didier Maleng F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Lee G | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Loch Cunningham, Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 35 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Trevian Carson G | 35 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-1 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 33 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9-16 | 0-0 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 22 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Emil Skytt G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Schoenrock, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Carson Smith, Max Majerle
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -12.5
ModelNDSU -11.2
Model edgeDEN +1.3
W DEN covered
Total
Market156.5
Model160.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
DEN 74.5 · NDSU 85.7
DEN 78 · NDSU 71
Win probability
NDSU 84%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -6.5
DEN -6.0
Total
74.9
74 points
Projected score
DEN 34.2 · NDSU 40.7
DEN 40 · NDSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -11.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -12.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 4
Close156.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +700 · NDSU -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -11.5 · closed NDSU -12.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -11
model NDSU -11
Opened 160.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| NDSU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DEN 2–8 NDSUNDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NDSU has won the last 3 meetings · DEN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | NDSU 82 @ DEN 77 | DEN +4.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | DEN 84 @ NDSU 89 | NDSU -12.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NDSU 69 @ DEN 50 | DEN +9.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NDSU 71 @ DEN 77 | DEN -2.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | DEN 78 @ NDSU 70 | NDSU -2.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-3
86% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs KC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 4 | @ STMN | L 88-92 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ SDST | L 79-87 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDAK | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs ORU | W 98-87 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 22 | vsNDSU | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs UND | L 86-93 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 28 | @KC | W 69-61 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OMA | L 82-84 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+7.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+0.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−11.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+4.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−0.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
−12.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
+4.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+16.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+3.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−15.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+28.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−1.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
+16.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
−31.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
+7.5
over 18under 3avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
21 games played
Straight up
16-5
76% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vsSDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsSDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTMN | W 68-65 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | @DEN | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ORU | W 86-58 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @SDAK | W 89-84 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
+0.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
+0.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
+17.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
−18.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
−1.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
−7.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
+18.5
over 11under 10avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
7-14 overall · 3-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Omaha82–84
- W@ Kansas City69–61
- Lvs North Dakota86–93
- Lvs N Dakota St77–82
- Wvs Oral Roberts98–87
5 days since their last game.
N Dakota St
16-5 overall · 9-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Dakota89–84
- W@ Oral Roberts86–58
- W@ Denver82–77
- Wvs St Thomas68–65
- Wvs S Dakota St76–65
5 days since their last game.