Baxter Arena · at Omaha · Conference game
Closing line
OMA -2.5✓ OMA covered by 4.5
OMA -2.5✓ OMA covered by 4.5Closing total160.5Under by 1.5
 DEN | This season | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | Record | 9-14 |
| 16-8 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 19-5 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 80–83 OMA · ✓ OMA (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 38 | 38 | 76 |
| OMA | 49 | 34 | 83 |
1st half: DEN 38, OMA 49 (OMA by 11). The model had OMA by 1.7 and a total of 76.1 (actual 87).
Team stats
| DEN | OMA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-67 46% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 11-19 58% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 26 4 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 38 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 8-18 | 1-8 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 35 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 33 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 33 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 9-18 | 0-3 |
| Zane Nelson G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shaun Wysocki F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Julius Rollins G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Josh Lee G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Didier Maleng F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Loch Cunningham, Corleone Dandridge, Trajan Thompson, Kaden Holdbrook, Devin Carney, Ian Motta
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Stubblefield G | 34 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| Tony Osburn G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Valentino Simon F | 30 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Lance Waddles G | 28 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Paul Djobet F | 26 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brock Scholl F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Khamani Cooper, Christian Richardson, Deng Mayar, Isaac Ondekane, Julian Margrave, Rob Matos, Benji Nelson, Aidan Skradis
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOMA -2.5
no move
CloseOMA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▲ 1
Close160.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +130 · OMA -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OMA -2.5 · unchangedmodel OMA -3
model OMA -3
Opened 159.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 upmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OMA -2.5 | OMA -3.0 | OMA +0.5 | W OMA covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 162.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DEN 79.9 · OMA 82.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OMA -1.7 | OMA -11.0 |
| 1H total | 76.1 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 37.2 · OMA 38.9 | DEN 38 · OMA 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| OMA | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DEN 4–6 OMAOMA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · OMA has won the last 3 meetings · DEN 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | OMA 84 @ DEN 82 | DEN -1.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | DEN 69 @ OMA 78 | OMA -9.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | OMA 80 @ DEN 62 | DEN +4.5 | OMA W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | DEN 66 vs OMA 63 | OMA +1.5 | DEN W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | OMA 91 @ DEN 72 | DEN -5.5 | OMA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
24 games played
Straight up
10-14
42% wins
Against the spread
16-8
67% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-5
79% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | @ IDST | L 79-93 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUF | L 86-105 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCO | W 86-79 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ TLSA | L 85-90 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs KC | W 87-74 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 4 | @ STMN | L 88-92 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ SDST | L 79-87 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDAK | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs ORU | W 98-87 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 22 | vs NDSU | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs UND | L 86-93 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 28 | @KC | W 69-61 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsOMA | L 82-84 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @NDSU | W 78-71 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @UND | W 98-79 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 12 | vsSDST | W 79-61 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
−5.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
−22.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+15.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+11.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+3.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+7.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+0.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−11.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+4.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−0.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
−12.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
+4.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
−3.5
5
@NDSU
NDSUW 78-71
+19.5
7
@UND
UNDW 98-79
+22.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 79-61
+20.5
covered 16didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
6
@IDST
IDSTL 79-93
+29.5
13
vsCSUF
CSUFL 86-105
+25.5
20
@UNCO
UNCOW 86-79
+5.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 85-90
+14.5
31
vsKC
KCW 87-74
+4.5
4
@STMN
STMNL 88-92
+16.5
8
@SDST
SDSTL 79-87
+3.5
10
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-82
−15.5
14
vsORU
ORUW 98-87
+28.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUL 77-82
−1.5
24
vsUND
UNDL 86-93
+16.5
28
@KC
KCW 69-61
−31.5
31
vsOMA
OMAL 82-84
+7.5
5
@NDSU
NDSUW 78-71
−7.5
7
@UND
UNDW 98-79
+15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 79-61
−20.5
over 19under 5avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Omaha
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vsUNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsKC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsNDSU | L 76-78 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORU | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsSDAK | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @KC | W 77-60 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 28 | vsSDST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | @DEN | W 84-82 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @UND | L 73-76 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @NDSU | L 84-92 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 12 | vsSTMN | W 98-94 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+3.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
+12.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−10.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
+12.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+3.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+1.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+6.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−28.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
−11.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+0.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+7.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+29.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+35.5
over 13under 10avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
10-14 overall · 6-6 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Dakota St79–61
- W@ North Dakota98–79
- W@ N Dakota St78–71
- Lvs Omaha82–84
- W@ Kansas City69–61
3 days since their last game.
Omaha
9-14 overall · 6-6 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Thomas98–94
- L@ N Dakota St84–92
- L@ North Dakota73–76
- W@ Denver84–82
- Wvs S Dakota St80–71
3 days since their last game.