Reynolds Center · at Tulsa · NIT
Closing line
TLSA -5.5✓ SFA covered by 0.5
TLSA -5.5✓ SFA covered by 0.5Closing total149.5Over by 23.5
 SFA | This season | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| 26-5 | Record | 24-7 |
| 22-9 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 13-18 | O/U | 21-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 71–79 TLSA · ✓ TLSA (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 39 | 37 | 8 | 84 |
| TLSA | 36 | 40 | 13 | 89 |
1st half: SFA 39, TLSA 36 (SFA by 3). The model had TLSA by 4.9 and a total of 70.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| SFA | TLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-70 46% | Field goals | 24-67 36% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 9-33 27% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 32-41 78% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 50 22 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 13 | Steals | 12 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 38 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 3-14 | 2-10 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 38 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Keon Thompson G | 35 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 12-18 | 1-3 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 30 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 32 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-14 | 5-13 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Christian Green G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tichyque Musaka, Bryceson Melvin, Harris Dar, Yohan Gutierrez, Eltramon Smith
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Barnstable G | 37 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-9 |
| Ade Popoola G | 36 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Romad Dean F | 34 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-5 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 34 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tylen Riley G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Lawal G | 21 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Myles Rigsby G | 15 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Ian Smikle F | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Leon Sifferlin, David Green, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTLSA -5.5
ModelTLSA -8.4
Model edgeTLSA +2.9
L SFA covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
SFA 71 · TLSA 79.4
SFA 84 · TLSA 89
Win probability
TLSA 77%
1st half
Spread
TLSA -4.9
SFA -3.0
Total
70.3
75 points
Projected score
SFA 32.7 · TLSA 37.6
SFA 39 · TLSA 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTLSA -7.5
2 → SFA
CloseTLSA -5.5
2 pts toward SFA
Total
Open153.5
▼ 4
Close149.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SFA +210 · TLSA -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TLSA -7.5 · closed TLSA -5.5 · moved 2 toward SFAmodel TLSA -8.5
model TLSA -8.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| TLSA | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
31 games played
Straight up
26-5
84% wins
Against the spread
22-9
71% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs RGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs AMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ NWST | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | @ SELA | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 5 | @ MCN | L 64-66 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HCU | W 85-67 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | vs UIW | W 56-46 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | @ NOLA | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ NICH | W 79-62 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ LAM | W 88-81 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 27 | vsNWST | W 69-67 | -14.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsSELA | W 85-58 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 2 | vsMCN | W 67-60 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | vsLAM | W 84-74 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 9 | vsETAM | W 74-70 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 14 | @RGV | W 66-57 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 16 | @AMCC | W 78-68 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 21 | vsNICH | W 81-78 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 23 | vsNOLA | L 73-77 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 28 | @HCU | W 77-56 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 2 | @UIW | W 76-68 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Mar 10 | vsAMCC | W 60-58 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 118 |
| Mar 11 | vsMCN | L 59-76 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
+1.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
+6.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
+8.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+5.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
+2.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
−1.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
+12.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+2.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−12.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+17.5
2
vsMCN
MCNW 67-60
+9.5
7
vsLAM
LAMW 84-74
+1.5
9
vsETAM
ETAMW 74-70
−12.5
14
@RGV
RGVW 66-57
+7.5
16
@AMCC
AMCCW 78-68
+4.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 81-78
−9.5
23
vsNOLA
NOLAL 73-77
−15.5
28
@HCU
HCUW 77-56
+12.5
2
@UIW
UIWW 76-68
+0.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 60-58
−4.5
11
vsMCN
MCNL 59-76
−13.5
covered 22didn’t cover 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
−0.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
−1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
−14.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+14.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
−38.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
+15.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
−3.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+32.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−5.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+7.5
2
vsMCN
MCNW 67-60
−14.5
7
vsLAM
LAMW 84-74
+19.5
9
vsETAM
ETAMW 74-70
+0.5
14
@RGV
RGVW 66-57
−21.5
16
@AMCC
AMCCW 78-68
+10.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 81-78
+11.5
23
vsNOLA
NOLAL 73-77
−3.5
28
@HCU
HCUW 77-56
−5.5
2
@UIW
UIWW 76-68
+1.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 60-58
−17.5
11
vsMCN
MCNL 59-76
+0.5
over 13under 18avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tulsa
31 games played
Straight up
24-7
77% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-10
68% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Dec 13 | vs NMSU | W 83-70 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ WKU | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs DEN | W 90-85 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vsRICE | W 97-48 | -12.5 | W +36.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ UNT | L 67-72 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 10 | vs USF | L 78-93 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ CLT | W 86-74 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 18 | @ UAB | W 99-77 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs MEM | W 83-66 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @RICE | W 87-81 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 28 | vsUNT | W 82-66 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 1 | vs WICH | W 93-83 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 4 | @ FAU | W 78-76 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 8 | @USF | L 74-80 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | vsUAB | L 63-68 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 14 | @WICH | L 77-81 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 18 | vsCLT | W 79-74 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 22 | vs UTSA | W 100-74 | -21.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 25 | @ TULN | W 90-56 | -5.5 | W +28.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 5 | @ ECU | W 93-66 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 8 | vs TEM | W 78-76 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 13 | vsUNT | W 90-84 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 174 |
| Mar 14 | vsWICH | L 68-81 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+8.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
−1.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
−11.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
+36.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
−7.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
−16.5
14
@CLT
CLTW 86-74
+8.5
18
@UAB
UABW 99-77
+23.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 83-66
+10.5
24
@RICE
RICEW 87-81
−2.5
28
vsUNT
UNTW 82-66
+7.5
1
vsWICH
WICHW 93-83
+4.5
4
@FAU
FAUW 78-76
−1.5
8
@USF
USFL 74-80
−1.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 63-68
−15.5
14
@WICH
WICHL 77-81
−2.5
18
vsCLT
CLTW 79-74
−7.5
22
vsUTSA
UTSAW 100-74
+4.5
25
@TULN
TULNW 90-56
+28.5
5
@ECU
ECUW 93-66
+18.5
8
vsTEM
TEMW 78-76
−9.5
13
vsUNT
UNTW 90-84
−1.5
14
vsWICH
WICHL 68-81
−14.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+6.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
+4.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
+14.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
−7.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
+0.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
+7.5
14
@CLT
CLTW 86-74
+13.5
18
@UAB
UABW 99-77
+16.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 83-66
−4.5
24
@RICE
RICEW 87-81
+15.5
28
vsUNT
UNTW 82-66
+6.5
1
vsWICH
WICHW 93-83
+21.5
4
@FAU
FAUW 78-76
−8.5
8
@USF
USFL 74-80
−16.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 63-68
−30.5
14
@WICH
WICHL 77-81
+5.5
18
vsCLT
CLTW 79-74
+1.5
22
vsUTSA
UTSAW 100-74
+14.5
25
@TULN
TULNW 90-56
−10.5
5
@ECU
ECUW 93-66
+2.5
8
vsTEM
TEMW 78-76
+4.5
13
vsUNT
UNTW 90-84
+32.5
14
vsWICH
WICHL 68-81
−3.5
over 21under 10avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
26-5 overall · 21-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs McNeese59–76
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC60–58
- W@ Incarnate Word76–68
- W@ Hou Christian77–56
- Lvs LSU N Orleans73–77
6 days since their last game.
Tulsa
24-7 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wichita St68–81
- Wvs North Texas90–84
- Wvs Temple78–76
- W@ East Carolina93–66
- W@ Tulane90–56
3 days since their last game.