Reynolds Center · at Tulsa · Conference game
Closing line
TLSA -1.5✓ USF covered by 16.5
TLSA -1.5✓ USF covered by 16.5Closing total163.5Over by 7.5
 USF | This season | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 11-2 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 84–84 TLSA · ✗ TLSA (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 51 | 42 | 93 |
| TLSA | 36 | 42 | 78 |
1st half: USF 51, TLSA 36 (USF by 15). The model had TLSA by 0.1 and a total of 78.8 (actual 87).
Team stats
| USF | TLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 20-48 42% |
| 16-42 38% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 31-39 79% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 39 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 10-21 | 10-19 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 32 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 10-12 | 0-1 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| CJ Brown G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Jones F | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Daimion Collins F | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Devin Haid G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, De'Ante Green
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Barnstable G | 36 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| David Green F | 31 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 10-15 | 4-7 |
| Tylen Riley G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Ade Popoola G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Romad Dean F | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ian Smikle F | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Myles Rigsby G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leon Sifferlin, Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTLSA -2.5
1 → USF
CloseTLSA -1.5
1 pt toward USF
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USF +105 · TLSA -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TLSA -2.5 · closed TLSA -1.5 · moved 1 toward USFmodel TLSA -0.5
model TLSA -0.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TLSA -1.5 | TLSA -0.4 | USF +1.1 | W USF covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 168.5 | Over 5.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USF 84.1 · TLSA 84.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TLSA -0.1 | USF -15.0 |
| 1H total | 78.8 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | USF 39.4 · TLSA 39.5 | USF 51 · TLSA 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| TLSA | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
USF 4–3 TLSAUSF leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · USF 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | TLSA 56 @ USF 63 | USF -9.5 | TLSA W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | USF 70 @ TLSA 76 | TLSA +5.5 | TLSA W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | TLSA 50 @ USF 69 | USF -8.5 | USF W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | TLSA 56 @ USF 72 | USF -13.5 | USF W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | USF 96 @ TLSA 69 | TLSA +4.5 | USF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vs UAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
over 8under 6avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tulsa
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +8.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Dec 13 | vs NMSU | W 83-70 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @WKU | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs DEN | W 90-85 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs RICE | W 97-48 | -12.5 | W +36.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @UNT | L 67-72 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+8.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
−1.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
−11.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
+36.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+6.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
+4.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
+14.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
−7.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
+0.5
over 9under 4avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
8-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Texas74–70
- Lvs UAB106–109
- Wvs UMBC94–69
- L@ Alabama93–104
- Wvs Charleston81–75
3 days since their last game.
Tulsa
11-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Texas67–72
- Wvs Rice97–48
- Wvs Denver90–85
- W@ Western KY82–81
- Wvs New Mexico St83–70
6 days since their last game.