Neville Arena · at Auburn · NIT
Closing line
AUB -18.5✓ USA covered by 7.5
AUB -18.5✓ USA covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Under by 6.5
 USA | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 19-11 | Record | 17-16 |
| 16-14 | ATS | 14-19 |
| 16-14 | O/U | 19-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 65–87 AUB · ✓ AUB (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| AUB | 30 | 48 | 78 |
1st half: USA 36, AUB 30 (USA by 6). The model had AUB by 13.3 and a total of 70.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| USA | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 16-44 36% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 42 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaze Harris G | 38 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 12-26 | 1-3 |
| John Broom G | 37 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 34 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-13 | 4-8 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Randy Brady F | 24 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 31 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Brian Hawthorne, Samuel Shoptaw, Maxwell Land, Adam Olsen
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 40 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-10 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 36 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Kevin Overton G | 36 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 23 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Filip Jovic C | 20 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 24 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Simon Walker G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, CJ Williams, KeShawn Murphy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -17.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -18.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
USA +1200 · AUB -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -17.5 · closed AUB -18.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -22.5
model AUB -22.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151.5 matches the line
model 151.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -18.5 | AUB -22.6 | AUB +4.1 | L USA covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 151.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USA 64.5 · AUB 87.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -13.3 | USA -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.9 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | USA 28.8 · AUB 42.1 | USA 36 · AUB 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| AUB | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs ARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @ APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @ USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 16 | @ MRSH | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsTXST | L 82-90 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 21 | vsTROY | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 25 | vsULM | W 89-54 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 27 | vsUSM | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 6 | vsGASO | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+2.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
−11.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
+13.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
+20.5
27
vsUSM
USML 55-68
−17.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 85-94
−13.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+13.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
+34.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
−23.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
−10.5
27
vsUSM
USML 55-68
−18.5
6
vsGASO
GASOL 85-94
+29.5
over 16under 14avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
33 games played
Straight up
17-16
52% wins
Against the spread
14-19
42% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs TEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs ALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs VAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs UK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsMISS | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs LSU | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 7 | @ALA | L 84-96 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 180 |
| Mar 11 | vsMSST | W 79-61 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 12 | vsTENN | L 62-72 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
−16.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+3.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
−6.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
+9.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 19avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+6.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
+4.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
−20.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−10.5
over 19under 14avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
19-11 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs GA Southern85–94
- Lvs Southern Miss55–68
- Wvs UL Monroe89–54
- Wvs Troy65–54
- Lvs Texas St82–90
A week or more of rest.
Auburn
17-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee62–72
- Wvs Mississippi St79–61
- L@ Alabama84–96
- Wvs LSU88–74
- Lvs Ole Miss79–85
5 days since their last game.