Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -10.5✓ AUB covered by 3.5
Closing total155.5Over by 6.5
| This season | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 15-14 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 12-17 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 17-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 78–85 AUB · ✓ AUB (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| AUB | 41 | 47 | 88 |
1st half: LSU 34, AUB 41 (AUB by 7). The model had AUB by 4.4 and a total of 76.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| LSU | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-44 55% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Reece G | 38 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 33 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 29 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| PJ Carter G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Rashad King G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Robert Miller III F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jalen Reed, Jaden Bobbett, Dedan Thomas Jr., Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Marcus Vaughn
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 38 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 36 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 31 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 10-16 | 4-7 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 25 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 19 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Filip Jovic C | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Reed Trapp G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Simon Walker, Joah Shay, Drake Cardwell, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Emeka Opurum, Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -8.5
2 → AUB
CloseAUB -10.5
2 pts toward AUB
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +400 · AUB -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -8.5 · closed AUB -10.5 · moved 2 toward AUBmodel AUB -7.5
model AUB -7.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -10.5 | AUB -7.6 | LSU +2.9 | L AUB covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 162.7 | Over 7.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | LSU 77.6 · AUB 85.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -4.4 | AUB -7.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 35.8 · AUB 40.2 | LSU 34 · AUB 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | |
| 3-7 30% | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 0–4 AUBAUB leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 4 meetings · LSU 0-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | AUB 87 @ LSU 74 | LSU +11.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LSU 78 @ AUB 93 | AUB -13.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 18, 2022-23 | AUB 67 @ LSU 49 | LSU +4.5 | AUB W |
| Dec 29, 2021-22 | LSU 55 @ AUB 70 | AUB -4.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 71-83 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 10 | vs | L 62-91 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 63-73 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 85-88 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 83-90 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 172.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 106-99 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 67-83 | -1.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+20.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
+15.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
−4.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
−6.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+5.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−2.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+27.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
+1.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−18.5
13
vs
SMU
W 89-77
+10.5
19
vs
SELA
W 78-65
−11.5
22
vs
PV
W 104-90
−15.5
29
vs
USM
W 90-62
+6.5
3
@
TA&M
L 72-75
+2.5
6
vs
SC
L 68-78
−17.5
10
@
VAN
L 73-84
+2.5
14
vs
UK
L 74-75
+2.5
17
vs
MIZ
W 78-70
+6.5
20
@
FLA
L 61-79
−2.5
24
@
ARK
L 81-85
+6.5
28
vs
MSST
L 66-80
−21.5
31
@
SC
W 92-87
+2.5
7
vs
UGA
L 71-83
−10.5
10
vs
ARK
L 62-91
−24.5
14
@
TENN
L 63-73
+4.5
17
@
TEX
L 85-88
+7.5
21
vs
ALA
L 83-90
+0.5
25
@
MISS
W 106-99
+9.5
28
vs
OU
L 67-83
−17.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+7.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
−11.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
+20.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
+32.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+8.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−18.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+6.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
−2.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−14.5
13
vs
SMU
W 89-77
+7.5
19
vs
SELA
W 78-65
−1.5
22
vs
PV
W 104-90
+32.5
29
vs
USM
W 90-62
−2.5
3
@
TA&M
L 72-75
−21.5
6
vs
SC
L 68-78
+0.5
10
@
VAN
L 73-84
−2.5
14
vs
UK
L 74-75
−2.5
17
vs
MIZ
W 78-70
−0.5
20
@
FLA
L 61-79
−18.5
24
@
ARK
L 81-85
+2.5
28
vs
MSST
L 66-80
−8.5
31
@
SC
W 92-87
+31.5
7
vs
UGA
L 71-83
−7.5
10
vs
ARK
L 62-91
−6.5
14
@
TENN
L 63-73
−7.5
17
@
TEX
L 85-88
+22.5
21
vs
ALA
L 83-90
+0.5
25
@
MISS
W 106-99
+57.5
28
vs
OU
L 67-83
−5.5
over 13under 16avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
−19.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+14.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+3.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+6.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+15.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+6.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
−25.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
+15.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
+4.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
−17.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
−5.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−20.5
29
vs
QUC
W 106-65
+15.5
3
@
UGA
L 100-104
+2.5
6
vs
TA&M
L 88-90
−8.5
10
vs
ARK
W 95-73
+19.5
14
@
MIZ
L 74-84
−11.5
17
vs
SC
W 71-67
−9.5
20
@
MISS
W 78-66
+8.5
24
@
FLA
W 76-67
+20.5
28
vs
TEX
W 88-82
−0.5
31
@
TENN
L 69-77
−2.5
7
vs
ALA
L 92-96
−6.5
10
vs
VAN
L 76-84
−11.5
14
@
ARK
L 75-88
−5.5
18
@
MSST
L 85-91
−11.5
21
vs
UK
W 75-74
−2.5
24
@
OU
L 79-91
−15.5
28
vs
MISS
L 79-85
−16.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
+31.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+3.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+2.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+4.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+21.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+1.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
+10.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
−7.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
−6.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
+2.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
+19.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−4.5
29
vs
QUC
W 106-65
−0.5
3
@
UGA
L 100-104
+30.5
6
vs
TA&M
L 88-90
+9.5
10
vs
ARK
W 95-73
−1.5
14
@
MIZ
L 74-84
+4.5
17
vs
SC
W 71-67
−14.5
20
@
MISS
W 78-66
−7.5
24
@
FLA
W 76-67
−16.5
28
vs
TEX
W 88-82
+15.5
31
@
TENN
L 69-77
−1.5
7
vs
ALA
L 92-96
+12.5
10
vs
VAN
L 76-84
−1.5
14
@
ARK
L 75-88
−2.5
18
@
MSST
L 85-91
+20.5
21
vs
UK
W 75-74
−4.5
24
@
OU
L 79-91
+12.5
28
vs
MISS
L 79-85
+10.5
over 17under 12avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
15-14 overall · 3-13 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma67–83
- W@ Ole Miss106–99
- Lvs Alabama83–90
- L@ Texas85–88
- L@ Tennessee63–73
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
15-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ole Miss79–85
- L@ Oklahoma79–91
- Wvs Kentucky75–74
- L@ Mississippi St85–91
- L@ Arkansas75–88
3 days since their last game.