UD Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
HOW -1.5✓ HOW covered by 1.5
HOW -1.5✓ HOW covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Over by 25.5
 UMBC | This season | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| 22-8 | Record | 19-10 |
| 19-11 | ATS | 20-9 |
| 13-17 | O/U | 13-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 74–73 HOW · ✗ UMBC (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| HOW | 49 | 37 | 86 |
1st half: UMBC 41, HOW 49 (HOW by 8). The model had UMBC by 0.6 and a total of 68.4 (actual 90).
Team stats
| UMBC | HOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 36 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Ace Valentine G | 36 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 21 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 31 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Cougar Downing G | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Stout, Saahil Thakkar, Tim Eze, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus G | 38 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Harris G | 36 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 6-12 | 3-4 |
| Alex Cotton G | 36 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Ose Okojie G | 34 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 9-15 | 3-3 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 31 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: River Smith, Julian Johnson, Jeremiah Johnson, Shane Frazier, BJ Powell, Stefan Isailovic, Ed Holland III
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOW -1.5
ModelUMBC -0.8
Model edgeUMBC +2.3
L HOW covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
UMBC 73.6 · HOW 72.7
UMBC 83 · HOW 86
Win probability
UMBC 53%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -0.6
HOW -8.0
Total
68.4
90 points
Projected score
UMBC 34.5 · HOW 33.9
UMBC 41 · HOW 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOW -1.5
no move
CloseHOW -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -108 · HOW -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOW -1.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -1
model UMBC -1
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 10-0 100% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| HOW | 9-1 90% | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UMBC 1–0 HOWUMBC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UMBC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024-25 | HOW 77 @ UMBC 95 | UMBC +1.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
30 games played
Straight up
22-8
73% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @NJIT | W 91-52 | -4.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNH | W 84-69 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 10 | vsUML | W 91-69 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVM | W 74-59 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
+34.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+2.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+14.5
14
vsUVM
UVMW 74-59
+13.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
−0.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+10.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+12.5
14
vsUVM
UVMW 74-59
−1.5
over 13under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Howard
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
20-9
69% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs NIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @ DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | @ NU | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ SCST | L 57-58 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @ UMES | L 57-69 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vsDSU | W 84-58 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 129.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCCU | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 24 | vsMORG | L 77-78 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs NORF | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 2 | @COPP | W 72-53 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSCST | W 85-57 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 9 | vs YALE | L 81-87 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | vsUMES | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | @DSU | W 91-59 | -11.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsNCCU | W 100-67 | -12.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @MORG | W 84-59 | -8.5 | W +16.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 2 | vsCOPP | W 90-70 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 5 | @NORF | W 84-76 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 13 | vsSCST | W 78-61 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 14 | vsNCCU | W 70-63 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−0.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−9.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−14.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+17.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+11.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
−15.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+20.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
+4.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+13.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+0.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
+15.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+20.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+20.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
+16.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+0.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+1.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
+1.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−4.5
covered 20didn’t cover 9avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−8.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−29.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−4.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+12.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+10.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
+6.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+1.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
−21.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+0.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+20.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
−0.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+18.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+23.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
−15.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+19.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+10.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
−6.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−9.5
over 13under 16avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
22-8 overall · 17-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vermont74–59
- Wvs UMass Lowell91–69
- Wvs New Hampshire84–69
- W@ NJIT91–52
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
3 days since their last game.
Howard
19-10 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central70–63
- Wvs SC State78–61
- W@ Norfolk St84–76
- Wvs Coppin St90–70
- W@ Morgan St84–59
3 days since their last game.