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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Friday, March 6, 2026

FinalCurrentUpcomingFri, Mar 6, 2026: 1st-half lines ›
Day in numbers37 finalFavorites 16-21 ATS13 upsetsO/U 18-19Model Favorite 25-12OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games3737 final · 0 to play
Lines moved261+ pt since the open · 37 with a line
Totals moved331+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS16-2143% covered
Upsets13outright
Over / Under18-1949% over
Model Favorite25-1268% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
NE vs NCATNCAT -1.5 → NE -2.54 → NE155.5 → 151.5▼ 4
PENN @ BRWNPENN -2.5 → BRWN -1.54 → BRWN141.5 → 146.5▲ 5
DRKE vs BELBEL -11.5 → BEL -12.51 → BEL159.5 → 152.5▼ 7
GWEB vs HPUHPU -25.5 → HPU -27.52 → HPU161.5 → 155.5▼ 6
UIC vs MURMUR -1.5 → UIC -1.53 → UIC148.5 → 150.5▲ 2
USM vs TXSTUSM -1.5 → TXST -1.53 → TXST141.5 → 140.5▼ 1
VAL vs BRADBRAD -2.5 → BRAD -5.53 → BRAD141.5 → 139.5▼ 2
WMU @ KENTKENT -10.5 → KENT -13.53 → KENT158.5 → 157.5▼ 1
WGA vs QUCQUC -5.5 → QUC -8.53 → QUC164.5 → 164.5no move
BELL vs CARKCARK -6.5 → CARK -6.5no move160.5 → 154.5▼ 6
Top 10 of 35; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Gardner-Webb
2-27 · #348
59
High Point
24-4 · #90
81
Spread
HPU -27.5
✓ GWEB W ATS
Total
155.5 ▼6
▼ Under 140
Projected
68–93
✓ HPU won
Model: GWEB by 2.6 ✓ Model: Over 6.1 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Bellarmine
11-18 · #295
73
C Arkansas
18-11 · #240
86
Spread
CARK -6.5
✓ CARK W ATS
Total
154.5 ▼6
▲ Over 159
Projected
76–81
✓ CARK won
Model: BELL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.0 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Drake
11-19 · #144
100
Belmont
25-5 · #138
79
Spread
BEL -12.5
✓ DRKE W ATS
Total
152.5 ▼7
▲ Over 179
Projected
74–82
✗ BEL lost
Model: DRKE by 4.6 ✓ Model: Over 3.7 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Northeastern
6-23 · #229
88
NC A&T
9-18 · #275
72
Spread
NE -2.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
151.5 ▼4
▲ Over 160
Projected
79–79
✗ NCAT lost
Model: NCAT by 2.8 ✗ Model: Over 7.0 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Charleston So
12-16 · #326
81
Winthrop
18-10 · #205
86
Spread
WIN -6.5
✓ CHSO W ATS
Total
164.5 ▲2
▲ Over 167
Projected
80–87
✓ WIN won
Model: WIN by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.7 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
FGCU
13-17 · #266
77
Lipscomb
17-12 · #214
53
Spread
LIP -3.5
✓ FGCU W ATS
Total
150.5
▼ Under 130
Projected
75–78
✗ LIP lost
Model: FGCU by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.4 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
UIC
15-14 · #110
92
Murray St
20-11 · #132
79
Spread
UIC -1.5
✓ UIC W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲2
▲ Over 171
Projected
79–79
✗ MUR lost
Model: MUR by 1.7 ✗ Model: Over 6.7 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
The Citadel
7-21 · #339
88
Chattanooga
10-18 · #227
85
Spread
UTC -7.5
✓ CIT W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲3
▲ Over 173
Projected
70–76
✗ UTC lost
Model: CIT by 1.3 ✓ Model: Under 2.0 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Stetson
10-20 · #303
60
Austin Peay
19-8 · #210
69
Spread
APSU -11.5
✓ STET W ATS
Total
153.5 ▲3
▼ Under 129
Projected
71–81
✓ APSU won
Model: STET by 2.1 ✓ Model: Under 1.5 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Southern Miss
15-15 · #224
81
Texas St
17-12 · #103
77
Spread
TXST -1.5
✓ USM W ATS
Total
140.5 ▼1
▲ Over 158
Projected
72–72
✓ USM won
Model: USM by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 3.9 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Sacred Heart
13-18 · #311
48
Merrimack
21-10 · #225
70
Spread
MRMK -6.5
✓ MRMK W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼2
▼ Under 118
Projected
71–76
✓ MRMK won
Model: SHU by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 3.6 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Longwood
13-15 · #218
82
UNC Asheville
11-16 · #271
85
Spread
LONG -1.5
✓ UNCA W ATS
Total
140.5
▲ Over 167
Projected
73–73
✗ LONG lost
Model: UNCA by 1.4 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓
FinalConference
N Illinois
7-20 · #334
55
Akron
23-5 · #118
94
Spread
AKR -23.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
155.5 ▲1
▼ Under 149
Projected
66–89
✓ AKR won
Model: NIU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.4 ✓
FinalConference
Bowling Green
14-13 · #200
77
E Michigan
9-20 · #188
69
Spread
BGSU -5.5
✓ BGSU W ATS
Total
142.5 ▲1
▲ Over 146
Projected
72–70
✓ BGSU won
Model: EMU by 3.4 ✗ Model: Under 0.9 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Omaha
11-16 · #279
76
South Dakota
13-15 · #291
62
Spread
OMA -1.5
✓ OMA W ATS
Total
150.5 ▼1
▼ Under 138
Projected
81–80
✓ OMA won
Model: SDAK by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 10.2 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Valparaiso
17-14 · #176
84
Bradley
19-11 · #167
90
Spread
BRAD -5.5
✓ BRAD W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼2
▲ Over 174
Projected
71–75
✓ BRAD won
Model: VAL by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 6.6 ✓
FinalConference
VCU
23-7 · #61
68
Dayton
21-9 · #91
62
Spread
DAY -1.5
✓ VCU W ATS
Total
146.5 ▼3
▼ Under 130
Projected
75–75
✓ VCU won
Model: VCU by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 3.9 ✗
FinalConference
Penn
14-11 · #137
82
Brown
7-17 · #156
61
Spread
BRWN -1.5
✓ PENN W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲5
▼ Under 143
Projected
72–71
✓ PENN won
Model: PENN by 2.7 ✓ Model: Under 3.7 ✓
FinalConference
W Michigan
9-19 · #187
78
Kent State
20-8 · #151
86
Spread
KENT -13.5
✓ WMU W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼1
▲ Over 164
Projected
76–86
✓ KENT won
Model: WMU by 3.7 ✓ Model: Over 4.1 ✓
FinalConference
C Michigan
8-20 · #270
69
Ball State
9-19 · #181
85
Spread
BALL -2.5
✓ BALL W ATS
Total
134.5 ▼2
▲ Over 154
Projected
67–69
✓ BALL won
Model: CMU by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✓
FinalConference
Buffalo
15-13 · #237
78
Toledo
14-14 · #157
99
Spread
TOL -5.5
✓ TOL W ATS
Total
155.5 ▲1
▲ Over 177
Projected
76–82
✓ TOL won
Model: TOL by 1.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
FinalConference
Columbia
14-11 · #170
71
Harvard
15-11 · #136
81
Spread
HARV -4.5
✓ HARV W ATS
Total
136.5 ▲4
▲ Over 152
Projected
67–71
✓ HARV won
Model: COLU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.0 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
VMI
3-25 · #320
70
UNC Greensboro
11-18 · #284
84
Spread
UNCG -7.5
✓ UNCG W ATS
Total
154.5 ▼1
▼ Under 154
Projected
74–81
✓ UNCG won
Model: VMI by 0.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.4 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
West Georgia
13-16 · #298
63
Queens University Royals
17-13 · #175
71
Spread
QUC -8.5
✓ WGA W ATS
Total
164.5
▼ Under 134
Projected
80–87
✓ QUC won
Model: WGA by 1.7 ✓ Model: Over 1.9 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
UT Martin
19-10 · #341
55
Tennessee St
18-9 · #245
68
Spread
TNST -1.5
✓ TNST W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼2
▼ Under 123
Projected
71–73
✓ TNST won
Model: Over 6.5 ✗
FinalConference
UCF
20-9 · #39
62
West Virginia
17-13 · #47
77
Spread
WVU -4.5
✓ WVU W ATS
Total
142.5 ▲1
▼ Under 139
Projected
71–74
✓ WVU won
Model: UCF by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 2.8 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Fairfield
19-12 · #239
74
Saint Peter's
16-11 · #269
55
Spread
SPU -1.5
✓ FAIR W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼3
▼ Under 129
Projected
70–72
✗ SPU lost
Model: SPU by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 4.3 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
GA Southern
16-15 · #296
94
South Alabama
19-10 · #228
85
Spread
USA -4.5
✓ GASO W ATS
Total
149.5
▲ Over 179
Projected
76–79
✗ USA lost
Model: GASO by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.7 ✓
FinalConference
St John's
24-6 · #9 AP #18
72
Seton Hall
20-10 · #67
65
Spread
SJU -5.5
✓ SJU W ATS
Total
138.5 ▲1
▼ Under 137
Projected
73–66
✓ SJU won
Model: SJU by 1.5 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Portland
12-18 · #169
74
Washington St
11-19 · #139
68
Spread
WSU -5.5
✓ PORT W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼3
▼ Under 142
Projected
75–79
✗ WSU lost
Model: PORT by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 4.4 ✗
FinalConference
Miami OH
27-0 · #125 AP #19
110
Ohio
13-15 · #128
108
Spread
M-OH -3.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
159.5 ▲1
▲ Over 218
Projected
83–79
✓ M-OH won
Model: M-OH by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 2.6 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Denver
12-16 · #263
67
North Dakota
13-16 · #336
83
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ UND W ATS
Total
160.5 ▼1
▼ Under 150
Projected
83–80
✗ DEN lost
Model: UND by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 2.6 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Presbyterian
11-17 · #183
91
Radford
13-15 · #246
85
Spread
RAD -2.5
✓ PRES W ATS
Total
146.5 ▲1
▲ Over 176
Projected
73–75
✗ RAD lost
Model: PRES by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 1.4 ✓
FinalConference
UNLV
15-14 · #98
86
San Diego St
18-10 · #75
89
Spread
SDSU -9.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
153.5 ▼1
▲ Over 175
Projected
73–83
✓ SDSU won
Model: Over 2.8 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
Northern Iowa
19-12 · #131
74
Illinois St
19-11 · #116
52
Spread
UNI -1.5
✓ UNI W ATS
Total
130.5 ▲5
▼ Under 126
Projected
65–64
✓ UNI won
Model: ILST by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
SE Missouri
17-12 · #306
61
Morehead St
16-12 · #350
66
Spread
SEMO -3.5
✓ MORE W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼3
▼ Under 127
Projected
76–72
✗ SEMO lost
Model: SEMO by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 7.9 ✗
FinalConference · Neutral site · Conference tournament
San Diego
10-20 · #146
56
Seattle U
17-12 · #119
58
Spread
SEA -8.5
✓ USD W ATS
Total
139.5 ▼1
▼ Under 114
Projected
69–76
✓ SEA won
Model: USD by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 5.1 ✗
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Gardner-Webb
2-27 · #348
59
High Point
24-4 · #90
81
 HPU -27.5 155.5 HPU -24.9 GWEB +2.6 161.6 Over 6.1 99% HPU W L ›
Final
Bellarmine
11-18 · #295
73
C Arkansas
18-11 · #240
86
 CARK -6.5 154.5 CARK -5.0 BELL +1.5 157.5 Over 3.0 67% CARK L W ›
Final
Drake
11-19 · #144
100
Belmont
25-5 · #138
79
 BEL -12.5 152.5 BEL -7.9 DRKE +4.6 156.2 Over 3.7 75% BEL W W ›
Final
Northeastern
6-23 · #229
88
NC A&T
9-18 · #275
72
 NE -2.5 151.5 NCAT -0.3 NCAT +2.8 158.5 Over 7.0 51% NCAT L W ›
Final
Charleston So
12-16 · #326
81
Winthrop
18-10 · #205
86
 WIN -6.5 164.5 WIN -7.0 WIN +0.5 166.2 Over 1.7 73% WIN L W ›
Final
FGCU
13-17 · #266
77
Lipscomb
17-12 · #214
53
 LIP -3.5 150.5 LIP -2.9 FGCU +0.6 152.9 Over 2.4 60% LIP W L ›
Final
UIC
15-14 · #110
92
Murray St
20-11 · #132
79
 UIC -1.5 150.5 MUR -0.2 MUR +1.7 157.2 Over 6.7 51% MUR L W ›
Final
The Citadel
7-21 · #339
88
Chattanooga
10-18 · #227
85
 UTC -7.5 148.5 UTC -6.2 CIT +1.3 146.5 Under 2.0 71% UTC W L ›
Final
Stetson
10-20 · #303
60
Austin Peay
19-8 · #210
69
 APSU -11.5 153.5 APSU -9.4 STET +2.1 152.0 Under 1.5 79% APSU W W ›
Final
Southern Miss
15-15 · #224
81
Texas St
17-12 · #103
77
 TXST -1.5 140.5 USM -0.4 USM +1.9 144.4 Over 3.9 51% USM W W ›
Final
Sacred Heart
13-18 · #311
48
Merrimack
21-10 · #225
70
 MRMK -6.5 143.5 MRMK -5.5 SHU +1.0 147.1 Over 3.6 68% MRMK L L ›
Final
Longwood
13-15 · #218
82
UNC Asheville
11-16 · #271
85
 LONG -1.5 140.5 LONG -0.1 UNCA +1.4 146.4 Over 5.9 50% UNCA W W ›
Final
N Illinois
7-20 · #334
55
Akron
23-5 · #118
94
 AKR -23.5 155.5 AKR -23.0 NIU +0.5 155.1 Under 0.4 98% AKR L W ›
Final
Bowling Green
14-13 · #200
77
E Michigan
9-20 · #188
69
 BGSU -5.5 142.5 BGSU -2.1 EMU +3.4 141.6 Under 0.9 57% BGSU L L ›
Final
Omaha
11-16 · #279
76
South Dakota
13-15 · #291
62
 OMA -1.5 150.5 OMA -0.9 SDAK +0.6 160.7 Over 10.2 53% OMA L L ›
Final
Valparaiso
17-14 · #176
84
Bradley
19-11 · #167
90
 BRAD -5.5 139.5 BRAD -4.1 VAL +1.4 146.1 Over 6.6 64% BRAD L W ›
Final
VCU
23-7 · #61
68
Dayton
21-9 · #91
62
 DAY -1.5 146.5 VCU -0.5 VCU +1.9 150.4 Over 3.9 52% VCU W L ›
Final
Penn
14-11 · #137
82
Brown
7-17 · #156
61
 BRWN -1.5 146.5 PENN -1.2 PENN +2.7 142.8 Under 3.7 54% PENN W W ›
Final
W Michigan
9-19 · #187
78
Kent State
20-8 · #151
86
 KENT -13.5 157.5 KENT -9.8 WMU +3.7 161.6 Over 4.1 81% KENT W W ›
Final
C Michigan
8-20 · #270
69
Ball State
9-19 · #181
85
 BALL -2.5 134.5 BALL -1.4 CMU +1.1 136.1 Over 1.6 55% BALL L W ›
Final
Buffalo
15-13 · #237
78
Toledo
14-14 · #157
99
 TOL -5.5 155.5 TOL -6.6 TOL +1.1 158.0 Over 2.5 72% TOL W W ›
Final
Columbia
14-11 · #170
71
Harvard
15-11 · #136
81
 HARV -4.5 136.5 HARV -4.0 COLU +0.5 138.5 Over 2.0 64% HARV L W ›
Final
VMI
3-25 · #320
70
UNC Greensboro
11-18 · #284
84
 UNCG -7.5 154.5 UNCG -7.4 VMI +0.1 154.9 Over 0.4 74% UNCG L L ›
Final
West Georgia
13-16 · #298
63
Queens University Royals
17-13 · #175
71
 QUC -8.5 164.5 QUC -6.8 WGA +1.7 166.4 Over 1.9 72% QUC W L ›
Final
UT Martin
19-10 · #341
55
Tennessee St
18-9 · #245
68
 TNST -1.5 137.5 TNST -1.5 — 144.0 Over 6.5 55% TNST L ›
Final
UCF
20-9 · #39
62
West Virginia
17-13 · #47
77
 WVU -4.5 142.5 WVU -3.4 UCF +1.1 145.3 Over 2.8 62% WVU L L ›
Final
Fairfield
19-12 · #239
74
Saint Peter's
16-11 · #269
55
 SPU -1.5 137.5 SPU -1.8 SPU +0.3 141.8 Over 4.3 56% SPU L L ›
Final
GA Southern
16-15 · #296
94
South Alabama
19-10 · #228
85
 USA -4.5 149.5 USA -3.0 GASO +1.5 154.2 Over 4.7 60% USA W W ›
Final
St John's
24-6 · #9
72
Seton Hall
20-10 · #67
65
 SJU -5.5 138.5 SJU -7.0 SJU +1.5 138.5 — 73% SJU W ›
Final
Portland
12-18 · #169
74
Washington St
11-19 · #139
68
 WSU -5.5 149.5 WSU -4.7 PORT +0.8 153.9 Over 4.4 66% WSU W L ›
Final
Miami OH
27-0 · #125
110
Ohio
13-15 · #128
108
 M-OH -3.5 159.5 M-OH -3.9 M-OH +0.4 162.1 Over 2.6 63% M-OH L W ›
Final
Denver
12-16 · #263
67
North Dakota
13-16 · #336
83
 DEN -2.5 160.5 DEN -2.3 UND +0.2 163.1 Over 2.6 58% DEN W L ›
Final
Presbyterian
11-17 · #183
91
Radford
13-15 · #246
85
 RAD -2.5 146.5 RAD -1.2 PRES +1.3 147.9 Over 1.4 54% RAD W W ›
Final
UNLV
15-14 · #98
86
San Diego St
18-10 · #75
89
 SDSU -9.5 153.5 SDSU -9.5 — 156.3 Over 2.8 80% SDSU W ›
Final
Northern Iowa
19-12 · #131
74
Illinois St
19-11 · #116
52
 UNI -1.5 130.5 UNI -0.4 ILST +1.1 128.8 Under 1.7 51% UNI L W ›
Final
SE Missouri
17-12 · #306
61
Morehead St
16-12 · #350
66
 SEMO -3.5 139.5 SEMO -3.8 SEMO +0.3 147.4 Over 7.9 63% SEMO L L ›
Final
San Diego
10-20 · #146
56
Seattle U
17-12 · #119
58
 SEA -8.5 139.5 SEA -7.6 USD +0.9 144.6 Over 5.1 75% SEA W L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record