CareFirst Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NE -2.5✓ NE covered by 13.5
NE -2.5✓ NE covered by 13.5Closing total151.5Over by 8.5
| NE | This season | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-23 | Record | 9-18 |
| 10-19 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 18-11 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 79–79 NCAT · ✗ NCAT (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 40 | 48 | 88 |
| NCAT | 24 | 48 | 72 |
1st half: NE 40, NCAT 24 (NE by 16). The model had NCAT by 0.0 and a total of 74.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| NE | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 3-12 25% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 23-28 82% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 8 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 39 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| JB Frankel G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-3 |
| Youri Fritz F | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Petar Pinter C | 22 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Williams G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| William Kermoury G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Ty Francis F | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 17 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LA Pratt, Xander Alarie, Miles Newton, Luca Soroa Schaller, Haris Elezovic
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 35 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 33 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5-16 | 1-5 |
| Lewis Walker F | 33 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Will Felton C | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Ogletree G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mujahiid Burton G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| KJ Debrick F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes, Yancarlos Cueto, Brooklyn Vick, Lo Walker, Jalal McKie, Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Amadou Doumbia
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNE -2.5
ModelNCAT -0.3
Model edgeNCAT +2.8
L NE covered
Total
Market151.5
Model158.5
Model edgeOver 7.0
W Over
Projected score
NE 79.1 · NCAT 79.4
NE 88 · NCAT 72
Win probability
NCAT 51%
1st half
Spread
NCAT -0.0
NE -16.0
Total
74.1
64 points
Projected score
NE 37 · NCAT 37.1
NE 40 · NCAT 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCAT -1.5
4 → NE
CloseNE -2.5
4 pts toward NE
Total
Open155.5
▼ 4
Close151.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
NE -142 · NCAT +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCAT -1.5 · closed NE -2.5 · moved 4 toward NEmodel NCAT -0.5
model NCAT -0.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% |
| NCAT | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NE 3–1 NCATNE leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · NE has won the last 2 meetings · NE 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | NE 85 @ NCAT 74 | NCAT +3.5 | NE W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | NCAT 55 @ NE 69 | NE -10.5 | NE W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | NE 65 @ NCAT 72 | NCAT +7.5 | NCAT W |
| Dec 29, 2022-23 | NCAT 76 @ NE 88 | NE -5.5 | NE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
29 games played
Straight up
6-23
21% wins
Against the spread
10-19
34% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-11
62% overs · avg +7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vs UNCW | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs TOW | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsELON | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ MONM | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs STBK | L 80-95 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 24 | @ DREX | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs COFC | L 84-89 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | @ HOF | L 63-80 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 7 | @STBK | L 55-69 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 12 | vs W&M | L 67-94 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 19 | vsDREX | L 61-70 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | vsHOF | L 68-82 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 26 | @W&M | L 77-84 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 28 | @ HAMP | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 3 | vsMONM | L 83-89 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
−4.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
−6.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+10.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
−9.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
−18.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
−0.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
−1.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−8.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−10.5
12
vsW&M
W&ML 67-94
−21.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-70
−10.5
21
vsHOF
HOFL 68-82
−7.5
26
@W&M
W&ML 77-84
+4.5
28
@HAMP
HAMPL 65-76
−7.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 83-89
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 19avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+22.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
+21.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+5.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
+5.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
+26.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
+21.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
+11.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−10.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−29.5
12
vsW&M
W&ML 67-94
−6.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-70
−12.5
21
vsHOF
HOFL 68-82
+5.5
26
@W&M
W&ML 77-84
−3.5
28
@HAMP
HAMPL 65-76
−4.5
3
vsMONM
MONML 83-89
+23.5
over 18under 11avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC A&T
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SC | L 72-91 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCST | W 85-62 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ MORG | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | @ DAV | L 74-90 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 2 | @ CLT | L 57-74 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCCU | W 69-54 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | vs HOW | L 69-73 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 12 | vs UMES | W 82-79 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNCG | W 71-65 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vsUNCW | L 78-87 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vsNE | L 74-85 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @STBK | L 80-81 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | vsELON | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @W&M | L 89-97 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 19 | @HAMP | L 61-82 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 22 | vsHOF | W 79-78 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vsTOW | W 80-73 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 29 | @MONM | L 81-83 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 31 | @DREX | L 60-61 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 5 | @COFC | L 62-78 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | vsCAM | L 71-79 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 13 | vsHAMP | W 71-70 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 19 | vsCOFC | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 21 | @ELON | W 102-82 | +7.5 | W +27.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 26 | @UNCW | L 65-88 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 28 | vsW&M | L 88-91 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 3 | @CAM | L 72-90 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
−2.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−9.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
+12.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−6.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
−4.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
+12.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+1.5
31
vsNE
NEL 74-85
−7.5
3
@STBK
STBKL 80-81
+3.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 64-69
+1.5
15
@W&M
W&ML 89-97
+5.5
19
@HAMP
HAMPL 61-82
−14.5
22
vsHOF
HOFW 79-78
+10.5
24
vsTOW
TOWW 80-73
+14.5
29
@MONM
MONML 81-83
+7.5
31
@DREX
DREXL 60-61
+6.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 62-78
−4.5
7
vsCAM
CAML 71-79
−4.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 71-70
+4.5
19
vsCOFC
COFCL 61-74
−8.5
21
@ELON
ELONW 102-82
+27.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 65-88
−9.5
28
vsW&M
W&ML 88-91
+5.5
3
@CAM
CAML 72-90
−9.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
+18.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−13.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
−19.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−7.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
+30.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
−11.5
29
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+18.5
31
vsNE
NEL 74-85
+7.5
3
@STBK
STBKL 80-81
+19.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 64-69
−25.5
15
@W&M
W&ML 89-97
+23.5
19
@HAMP
HAMPL 61-82
−0.5
22
vsHOF
HOFW 79-78
+10.5
24
vsTOW
TOWW 80-73
+13.5
29
@MONM
MONML 81-83
+19.5
31
@DREX
DREXL 60-61
−17.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 62-78
−15.5
7
vsCAM
CAML 71-79
−6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 71-70
+3.5
19
vsCOFC
COFCL 61-74
−12.5
21
@ELON
ELONW 102-82
+32.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 65-88
+6.5
28
vsW&M
W&ML 88-91
+15.5
3
@CAM
CAML 72-90
+7.5
over 15under 12avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
6-23 overall · 2-16 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Monmouth83–89
- L@ Hampton65–76
- L@ William & Mary77–84
- Lvs Hofstra68–82
- Lvs Drexel61–70
3 days since their last game.
NC A&T
9-18 overall · 4-14 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Campbell72–90
- Lvs William & Mary88–91
- L@ UNC Wilmington65–88
- W@ Elon102–82
- Lvs Charleston61–74
3 days since their last game.