Kaplan Arena · at William & Mary · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -11.5✓ NE covered by 4.5
W&M -11.5✓ NE covered by 4.5Closing total164.5Under by 3.5
 NE | This season | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| 6-20 | Record | 14-11 |
| 9-17 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 17-9 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 77–88 W&M · ✓ W&M (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| W&M | 35 | 49 | 84 |
1st half: NE 32, W&M 35 (W&M by 3). The model had W&M by 6.1 and a total of 77.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| NE | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 2-18 11% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 32-39 82% |
| 38 6 off | Rebounds | 28 2 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 14 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 28 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 38 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 5-14 | 2-6 |
| JB Frankel G | 37 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-10 |
| Ryan Williams G | 35 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 11-16 | 7-10 |
| Youri Fritz F | 31 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Petar Pinter C | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ty Francis F | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Miles Newton, Xavier Abreu, Xander Alarie, William Kermoury, LA Pratt
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 29 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Pulliam G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 23 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-4 |
| Chase Lowe G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 25 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Finn Lally F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Frazier G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ethan Connery, Jhei-R Jones, Kaleb Spencer, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Miles Hicks
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -12.5
1 → NE
CloseW&M -11.5
1 pt toward NE
Total
Open167.5
▼ 3
Close164.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NE +575 · W&M -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -12.5 · closed W&M -11.5 · moved 1 toward NEmodel W&M -10.5
model W&M -10.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 3 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | W&M -11.5 | W&M -10.4 | NE +1.1 | W NE covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 165.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NE 77.4 · W&M 87.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | W&M -6.1 | W&M -3.0 |
| 1H total | 77.2 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | NE 35.6 · W&M 41.7 | NE 32 · W&M 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 1-9 10% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
| W&M | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NE 4–4 W&MSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · NE 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | W&M 94 @ NE 67 | NE +5.5 | W&M W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | NE 70 @ W&M 68 | W&M -2.5 | NE W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | W&M 72 @ NE 68 | NE -9.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | W&M 57 @ NE 69 | NE -8.5 | NE W |
| Jan 5, 2022-23 | NE 66 @ W&M 69 | W&M +2.5 | W&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
26 games played
Straight up
6-20
23% wins
Against the spread
9-17
35% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-9
65% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vs UNCW | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs TOW | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsELON | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ MONM | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs STBK | L 80-95 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 24 | @ DREX | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs COFC | L 84-89 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | @ HOF | L 63-80 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 7 | @STBK | L 55-69 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 12 | vsW&M | L 67-94 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 19 | vsDREX | L 61-70 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | vsHOF | L 68-82 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
−4.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
−6.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+10.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
−9.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
−18.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
−0.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
−1.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−8.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−10.5
12
vsW&M
W&ML 67-94
−21.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-70
−10.5
21
vsHOF
HOFL 68-82
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 17avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+22.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
+21.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+5.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
+5.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
+26.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
+21.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
+11.5
5
@HOF
HOFL 63-80
−10.5
7
@STBK
STBKL 55-69
−29.5
12
vsW&M
W&ML 67-94
−6.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-70
−12.5
21
vsHOF
HOFL 68-82
+5.5
over 17under 9avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
William & Mary
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vsTOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vsSTBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vsNCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 22 | vsUNCW | W 77-70 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | vsHOF | W 89-82 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ELON | L 76-79 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsCAM | L 96-104 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 5 | @UNCW | W 85-78 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ HAMP | L 74-77 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 12 | @NE | W 94-67 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 14 | vsELON | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 19 | @CAM | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | U 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
+4.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+3.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
−16.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+11.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−8.5
12
@NE
NEW 94-67
+21.5
14
vsELON
ELONL 78-81
−11.5
19
@CAM
CAML 83-84
−2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
−12.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+13.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−14.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
+31.5
5
@UNCW
UNCWW 85-78
+3.5
7
@HAMP
HAMPL 74-77
−1.5
12
@NE
NEW 94-67
−6.5
14
vsELON
ELONL 78-81
−6.5
19
@CAM
CAML 83-84
−0.5
over 10under 15avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
6-20 overall · 2-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Hofstra68–82
- Lvs Drexel61–70
- Lvs William & Mary67–94
- L@ Stony Brook55–69
- L@ Hofstra63–80
5 days since their last game.
William & Mary
14-11 overall · 7-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Campbell83–84
- Lvs Elon78–81
- W@ Northeastern94–67
- L@ Hampton74–77
- W@ UNC Wilmington85–78
A week or more of rest.