Cabot Center · at Northeastern · Conference game
Closing line
NE -3.5✓ STBK covered by 18.5
NE -3.5✓ STBK covered by 18.5Closing total148.5Over by 26.5
 STBK | This season | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 9-9 | Record | 6-12 |
| 11-7 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 13-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STBK 73–77 NE · ✗ NE (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBK | 47 | 48 | 95 |
| NE | 40 | 40 | 80 |
1st half: STBK 47, NE 40 (STBK by 7). The model had NE by 2.6 and a total of 70.2 (actual 87).
Team stats
| STBK | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-56 57% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 16-29 55% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 8-19 42% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 27 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Pratt G | 36 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 8-15 | 3-4 |
| Rob Brown III G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 31 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 8-12 | 5-9 |
| Richard Goods F | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Quin Gorman F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Simmon G | 26 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7-9 | 4-6 |
| Tomas Valentiny F | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Jonah Butler G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Oleg Kojenets F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Harbatkin, Andrew Okafor, Liam Dagostino, Collin O'Connor, Toby Onyekonwu, Leon Nahar
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 34 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| William Kermoury G | 33 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| JB Frankel G | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Petar Pinter C | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 35 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Williams G | 20 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LA Pratt, Miles Newton, Ty Francis, Youri Fritz, Xander Alarie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNE -3.5
ModelNE -4.7
Model edgeNE +1.2
L STBK covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
STBK 72.6 · NE 77.2
STBK 95 · NE 80
Win probability
NE 66%
1st half
Spread
NE -2.6
STBK -7.0
Total
70.2
87 points
Projected score
STBK 33.8 · NE 36.4
STBK 47 · NE 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNE -3.5
no move
CloseNE -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
STBK +154 · NE -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NE -3.5 · unchangedmodel NE -4.5
model NE -4.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBK | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| NE | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
STBK 4–3 NESTBK leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · NE has won the last 2 meetings · STBK 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | STBK 60 @ NE 71 | NE -10.5 | NE W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NE 70 @ STBK 66 | STBK +5.5 | STBK W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | NE 65 vs STBK 75 | STBK -1.5 | STBK W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | NE 55 @ STBK 59 | STBK -3.5 | STBK W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | STBK 62 @ NE 53 | NE -5.5 | STBK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stony Brook
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ME | W 71-60 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 15 | @ YALE | L 79-86 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 20 | vs BRWN | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vs PAC | L 58-86 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs BCU | W 61-54 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 28 | @ LMU | W 71-68 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ DUQ | L 75-84 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs COLU | W 77-73 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs CMU | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | vs UALB | L 55-71 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | @ MRST | L 51-70 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ HAMP | L 59-62 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 31 | @ W&M | L 57-76 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs NCAT | W 81-80 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | @ DREX | L 37-56 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 132.5 | U 93 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNCW | L 71-75 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 15 | vs HOF | W 76-71 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs COFC | W 112-106 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 218 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+13.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+6.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−23.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
+11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+13.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+0.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+8.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
+15.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−26.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−12.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−0.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−7.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
−3.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−13.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWL 71-75
+2.5
15
vsHOF
HOFW 76-71
+11.5
17
vsCOFC
COFCW 112-106
+10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+14.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+13.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−1.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
−30.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+0.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+8.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+3.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
−12.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−20.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−16.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−19.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−26.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
+19.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−39.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWL 71-75
+12.5
15
vsHOF
HOFW 76-71
+10.5
17
vsCOFC
COFCW 112-106
+75.5
over 9under 9avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northeastern
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-5
72% overs · avg +10.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vsDUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vsUNCW | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs TOW | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsELON | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ MONM | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
−4.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
−6.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+10.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+22.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
+21.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+5.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
+5.5
over 13under 5avg +10.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stony Brook
9-9 overall · 3-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston112–106
- Wvs Hofstra76–71
- Lvs UNC Wilmington71–75
- L@ Drexel37–56
- Wvs NC A&T81–80
5 days since their last game.
Northeastern
6-12 overall · 2-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Monmouth68–81
- Wvs Elon85–78
- Lvs Towson78–87
- Lvs UNC Wilmington78–87
- L@ Campbell82–97
3 days since their last game.