Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
WIN -6.5✓ CHSO covered by 1.5
WIN -6.5✓ CHSO covered by 1.5Closing total164.5Over by 2.5
 CHSO | This season | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-16 | Record | 18-10 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 18-10 | O/U | 13-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHSO 80–87 WIN · ✓ WIN (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| WIN | 37 | 49 | 86 |
1st half: CHSO 40, WIN 37 (CHSO by 3). The model had WIN by 4.0 and a total of 77.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| CHSO | WIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-67 42% | Field goals | 27-72 38% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 26-30 87% |
| 41 7 off | Rebounds | 54 15 off |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| CHSO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'lahn Sumler G | 32 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| Luke Williams G | 32 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-16 | 3-7 |
| Jesse Hafemeister F | 26 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Taylor G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Lase Olalere F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reis Jones F | 25 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Brycen Blaine G | 22 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Nate Brafford F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaquias Franklin G | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Trent Coleman F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Gause, Devin Brafford, Kaleb Lofton, Armari Carraway, AJ Gladieux, Easton Hupp
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Clouet G | 33 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Kareem Rozier G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-6 |
| Daylen Berry G | 28 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5-14 | 2-6 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 17 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tommy Kamarad F | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 16 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Josh Meo G | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Tai Hamilton F | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pharrell Boyogueno, Braylhan Thomas, Henry Harrison, Cam Christy, Kaleb Evans
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIN -6.5
ModelWIN -7.0
Model edgeWIN +0.5
L CHSO covered
Total
Market164.5
Model166.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
W Over
Projected score
CHSO 79.6 · WIN 86.6
CHSO 81 · WIN 86
Win probability
WIN 73%
1st half
Spread
WIN -4.0
CHSO -3.0
Total
77.6
77 points
Projected score
CHSO 36.8 · WIN 40.8
CHSO 40 · WIN 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIN -5.5
1 → WIN
CloseWIN -6.5
1 pt toward WIN
Total
Open162.5
▲ 2
Close164.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CHSO +230 · WIN -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIN -5.5 · closed WIN -6.5 · moved 1 toward WINmodel WIN -7
model WIN -7
Opened 162.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 2 upmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| WIN | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CHSO 1–9 WINWIN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CHSO 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025-26 | WIN 84 @ CHSO 86 | CHSO +8.5 | CHSO W |
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | CHSO 77 @ WIN 81 | WIN -8.5 | CHSO W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | WIN 83 @ CHSO 65 | CHSO +2.5 | WIN W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | CHSO 97 @ WIN 102 | WIN -10.5 | CHSO W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | CHSO 46 @ WIN 67 | WIN -9.5 | WIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charleston So
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-10
64% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VT | L 67-98 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 10 | @ CIT | W 96-86 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 13 | @ AAMU | L 64-68 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LIN | L 77-83 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs IUIN | W 103-91 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 188.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 21 | @ ECU | W 77-65 | +13.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | @ SC | L 62-74 | +17.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | @ UTM | L 56-73 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 8 | vs SCST | W 84-44 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 18 | vs UNF | W 113-90 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @ FUR | L 76-84 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 28 | @ RICH | W 77-72 | +11.5 | W +16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | @ GWEB | W 89-79 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNCA | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @WIN | L 77-81 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 166.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs HPU | L 82-84 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | vs UPST | L 81-86 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 21 | @ PRES | L 83-87 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 23 | @ LONG | L 79-81 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | vs RAD | L 75-84 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 4 | @HPU | L 55-80 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @UPST | L 94-100 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 12 | vsPRES | W 84-67 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @RAD | L 80-90 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 17 | vsGWEB | W 75-66 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 161.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsLONG | L 96-107 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 203 |
| Feb 26 | vsWIN | W 86-84 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | @UNCA | W 92-75 | +4.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VT
VTL 67-98
−12.5
10
@CIT
CITW 96-86
+7.5
13
@AAMU
AAMUL 64-68
−2.5
14
vsLIN
LINL 77-83
−3.5
18
vsIUIN
IUINW 103-91
+13.5
21
@ECU
ECUW 77-65
+25.5
28
@SC
SCL 62-74
+5.5
2
@UTM
UTML 56-73
−13.5
8
vsSCST
SCSTW 84-44
+27.5
18
vsUNF
UNFW 113-90
+12.5
21
@FUR
FURL 76-84
+2.5
28
@RICH
RICHW 77-72
+16.5
31
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-79
−2.5
3
vsUNCA
UNCAW 86-83
−1.5
7
@WIN
WINL 77-81
+4.5
10
vsHPU
HPUL 82-84
+6.5
14
vsUPST
UPSTL 81-86
−11.5
21
@PRES
PRESL 83-87
−5.5
23
@LONG
LONGL 79-81
−0.5
29
vsRAD
RADL 75-84
−7.5
4
@HPU
HPUL 55-80
−10.5
7
@UPST
UPSTL 94-100
−7.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 84-67
+15.5
14
@RAD
RADL 80-90
−5.5
17
vsGWEB
GWEBW 75-66
−7.5
21
vsLONG
LONGL 96-107
−13.5
26
vsWIN
WINW 86-84
+10.5
28
@UNCA
UNCAW 92-75
+21.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VT
VTL 67-98
+18.5
10
@CIT
CITW 96-86
+36.5
13
@AAMU
AAMUL 64-68
−20.5
14
vsLIN
LINL 77-83
+4.5
18
vsIUIN
IUINW 103-91
+5.5
21
@ECU
ECUW 77-65
−15.5
28
@SC
SCL 62-74
−14.5
2
@UTM
UTML 56-73
−18.5
8
vsSCST
SCSTW 84-44
−28.5
18
vsUNF
UNFW 113-90
+39.5
21
@FUR
FURL 76-84
+4.5
28
@RICH
RICHW 77-72
−10.5
31
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-79
+4.5
3
vsUNCA
UNCAW 86-83
+17.5
7
@WIN
WINL 77-81
−8.5
10
vsHPU
HPUL 82-84
+2.5
14
vsUPST
UPSTL 81-86
+11.5
21
@PRES
PRESL 83-87
+22.5
23
@LONG
LONGL 79-81
+3.5
29
vsRAD
RADL 75-84
−3.5
4
@HPU
HPUL 55-80
−27.5
7
@UPST
UPSTL 94-100
+43.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 84-67
+4.5
14
@RAD
RADL 80-90
+8.5
17
vsGWEB
GWEBW 75-66
−20.5
21
vsLONG
LONGL 96-107
+48.5
26
vsWIN
WINW 86-84
+5.5
28
@UNCA
UNCAW 92-75
+18.5
over 18under 10avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Winthrop
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vsSCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 28 | @ TTU | L 57-87 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @LONG | L 70-82 | -7.5 | L −19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vsGWEB | W 88-77 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | vsCHSO | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | @UPST | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | vsHPU | W 92-75 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @UNCA | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | vsRAD | W 76-75 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @PRES | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCA | W 84-71 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | @RAD | W 80-78 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 7 | vsLONG | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 12 | @GWEB | W 103-85 | -20.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 19 | vsUPST | W 68-64 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 21 | @HPU | L 87-89 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @CHSO | L 84-86 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsPRES | W 74-70 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−12.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−19.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
−12.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−4.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
+15.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+19.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−3.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−8.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+4.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+3.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−2.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−5.5
12
@GWEB
GWEBW 103-85
−2.5
19
vsUPST
UPSTW 68-64
−9.5
21
@HPU
HPUL 87-89
+7.5
26
@CHSO
CHSOL 84-86
−10.5
28
vsPRES
PRESW 74-70
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−19.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−9.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
+0.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−8.5
10
@UPST
UPSTW 71-50
−36.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 92-75
+4.5
17
@UNCA
UNCAW 69-67
−16.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 76-75
−14.5
24
@PRES
PRESW 82-72
+7.5
31
vsUNCA
UNCAW 84-71
+7.5
4
@RAD
RADW 80-78
−3.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 79-74
−0.5
12
@GWEB
GWEBW 103-85
+31.5
19
vsUPST
UPSTW 68-64
−26.5
21
@HPU
HPUL 87-89
+9.5
26
@CHSO
CHSOL 84-86
+5.5
28
vsPRES
PRESW 74-70
−6.5
over 13under 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charleston So
12-16 overall · 6-10 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNC Asheville92–75
- Wvs Winthrop86–84
- Lvs Longwood96–107
- Wvs Gardner-Webb75–66
- L@ Radford80–90
6 days since their last game.
Winthrop
18-10 overall · 13-3 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian74–70
- L@ Charleston So84–86
- L@ High Point87–89
- Wvs SC Upstate68–64
- W@ Gardner-Webb103–85
6 days since their last game.