Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
LONG -1.5✓ UNCA covered by 4.5
LONG -1.5✓ UNCA covered by 4.5Closing total140.5Over by 26.5
| LONG | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 13-15 | Record | 11-16 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 13-14 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LONG 73–73 UNCA · ✗ UNCA (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 36 | 37 | 9 | 82 |
| UNCA | 40 | 33 | 12 | 85 |
1st half: LONG 36, UNCA 40 (UNCA by 4). The model had LONG by 0.2 and a total of 68.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| LONG | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-67 40% | Field goals | 24-52 46% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 24-36 67% | Free throws | 27-40 68% |
| 47 19 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 7 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 28 | Fouls | 25 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 40 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 30 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 30 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Tucker F | 26 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Benard G | 26 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-8 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Jones F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Payne F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quadri Bashiru, Jerome Williams, Gerald Burr III, Isaiah Kalala, KJ McClurg
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright G | 44 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 6-11 | 2-7 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 43 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 8-16 | 4-7 |
| Kam Taylor G | 42 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 8-17 | 3-6 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 24 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Clarke PG | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers, Rasheed Baldwin, David Hermes, Mitchell Taylor, Corey Jones, Jakel Powell, Connor Dubsky, DJ Patrick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLONG -1.5
ModelLONG -0.1
Model edgeUNCA +1.4
W UNCA covered
Total
Market140.5
Model146.4
Model edgeOver 5.9
W Over
Projected score
LONG 73.2 · UNCA 73.2
LONG 82 · UNCA 85
Win probability
UNCA 50%
1st half
Spread
LONG -0.2
UNCA -4.0
Total
68.5
76 points
Projected score
LONG 34.3 · UNCA 34.2
LONG 36 · UNCA 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLONG -1.5
no move
CloseLONG -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LONG -118 · UNCA -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LONG -1.5 · unchangedmodel LONG -0
model LONG -0
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UNCA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
LONG 4–6 UNCAUNCA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UNCA has won the last 3 meetings · LONG 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | UNCA 79 @ LONG 74 | LONG -2.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 7, 2025-26 | LONG 61 @ UNCA 72 | UNCA -2.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | LONG 82 @ UNCA 87 | UNCA -3.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | UNCA 76 @ LONG 85 | LONG -4.5 | LONG W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | LONG 85 vs UNCA 59 | UNCA -3.5 | LONG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Longwood
28 games played
Straight up
13-15
46% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ PITT | L 60-78 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs JMU | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs BING | W 90-82 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UMES | L 82-83 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | @ COLU | L 70-95 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs SIE | L 63-70 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs ME | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | @ AMER | L 66-92 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MORG | W 84-80 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 13 | vs DSU | L 76-81 | -13.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAKE | L 68-71 | +24.5 | W +21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @ NCCU | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs WIN | W 82-70 | +7.5 | W +19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ HPU | L 67-80 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | @UNCA | L 61-72 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs PRES | W 77-70 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ RAD | L 83-85 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vs GWEB | W 91-56 | -16.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vs CHSO | W 81-79 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | @ UPST | L 60-65 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | vsHPU | L 59-71 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | @GWEB | W 86-66 | -12.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WIN | L 74-79 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNCA | L 74-79 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsUPST | W 82-75 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | @PRES | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | @CHSO | W 107-96 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 203 |
| Feb 28 | vsRAD | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−1.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−1.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
−20.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
−1.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
−18.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
+21.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−1.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
+19.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
+3.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−8.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+3.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+2.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
+18.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+0.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−6.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 59-71
−2.5
4
@GWEB
GWEBW 86-66
+7.5
7
@WIN
WINL 74-79
+5.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 74-79
−7.5
14
vsUPST
UPSTW 82-75
+0.5
19
@PRES
PRESL 65-72
−4.5
21
@CHSO
CHSOW 107-96
+13.5
28
vsRAD
RADW 90-74
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−12.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−12.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
+9.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
+9.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
+17.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
−24.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−0.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
−9.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
−13.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−15.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+7.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+10.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
−8.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+3.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−22.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 59-71
−26.5
4
@GWEB
GWEBW 86-66
+4.5
7
@WIN
WINL 74-79
−0.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 74-79
+11.5
14
vsUPST
UPSTW 82-75
+9.5
19
@PRES
PRESL 65-72
−2.5
21
@CHSO
CHSOW 107-96
+48.5
28
vsRAD
RADW 90-74
+9.5
over 15under 13avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vsHPU | L 69-87 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | @CHSO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | vsLONG | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @RAD | W 91-72 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @PRES | L 70-71 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsWIN | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | @UPST | W 83-69 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsGWEB | W 69-50 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @WIN | L 71-84 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | vsUPST | W 76-67 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 12 | @LONG | W 79-74 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsPRES | L 57-58 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 19 | @HPU | L 48-74 | +14.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsRAD | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 26 | @GWEB | W 77-71 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | vsCHSO | L 75-92 | -4.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
−7.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+1.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
+8.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+23.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
−3.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
+3.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+15.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
+1.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
−3.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+2.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+7.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−6.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−11.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 74-73
−1.5
26
@GWEB
GWEBW 77-71
−6.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-92
−21.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
+4.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+17.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
−15.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+11.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
+2.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
−16.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+6.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
−30.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
+7.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+3.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+11.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−22.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−30.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 74-73
−2.5
26
@GWEB
GWEBW 77-71
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-92
+18.5
over 14under 13avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Longwood
13-15 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Radford90–74
- W@ Charleston So107–96
- L@ Presbyterian65–72
- Wvs SC Upstate82–75
- Lvs UNC Asheville74–79
6 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
11-16 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charleston So75–92
- W@ Gardner-Webb77–71
- Wvs Radford74–73
- L@ High Point48–74
- Lvs Presbyterian57–58
6 days since their last game.