Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville · Conference game
Closing line
HPU -10.5✓ HPU covered by 7.5
HPU -10.5✓ HPU covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Over by 4.5
| HPU | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3 | Record | 3-8 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 84–74 UNCA · ✓ HPU (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 49 | 38 | 87 |
| UNCA | 34 | 35 | 69 |
1st half: HPU 49, UNCA 34 (HPU by 15). The model had HPU by 6.0 and a total of 73.9 (actual 83).
Team stats
| HPU | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-47 62% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 10-19 53% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 25 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 7 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin G | 28 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Braden Hausen F | 26 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Terry Anderson F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Scotty Washington G | 21 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 8-11 | 4-5 |
| Owen Aquino F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 15 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Caden Miller F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney, Babacar Diallo, Chase Johnston
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright G | 38 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6-17 | 1-5 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 38 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Taylor G | 37 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-20 | 0-4 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 24 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| DJ Patrick G | 22 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Thomas F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Hermes, Rasheed Baldwin, Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers, Mitchell Taylor, Jakel Powell, Connor Dubsky
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -10.5
ModelHPU -9.8
Model edgeUNCA +0.7
L HPU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model157.8
Model edgeOver 6.3
W Over
Projected score
HPU 83.8 · UNCA 74
HPU 87 · UNCA 69
Win probability
HPU 80%
1st half
Spread
HPU -6.0
HPU -15.0
Total
73.9
83 points
Projected score
HPU 39.9 · UNCA 33.9
HPU 49 · UNCA 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -10.5
no move
CloseHPU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
HPU -750 · UNCA +525
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -10.5 · unchangedmodel HPU -10
model HPU -10
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| UNCA | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
HPU 3–4 UNCAUNCA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · HPU 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UNCA 100 @ HPU 104 | HPU -8.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | HPU 99 @ UNCA 103 | UNCA +3.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | HPU 81 @ UNCA 86 | UNCA -0.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | UNCA 79 @ HPU 84 | HPU -6.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | HPU 63 @ UNCA 89 | UNCA -9.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
over 8under 4avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vsAPP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
over 4under 7avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant93–47
- Wvs La Salle84–72
- Lvs App State78–86
- Wvs NJIT89–72
- Lvs S Illinois84–86
A week or more of rest.
UNC Asheville
3-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UAB47–72
- Lvs St Thomas59–80
- Lvs Miami OH87–90
- L@ NC State63–75
- Wvs UNC Greensboro82–77
A week or more of rest.