Harrah's Cherokee Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UNCA -4.5✓ UNCA covered by 0.5
Closing total143.5Over by 15.5
| This season | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 74–76 UNCA · ✓ UNCA (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| UNCA | 36 | 46 | 82 |
1st half: UNCG 39, UNCA 36 (UNCG by 3). The model had UNCA by 1.2 and a total of 70.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UNCG | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-49 53% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 27 6 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentino Pinedo F | 33 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Justin Neely F | 31 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| KJ Younger G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Landon King G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Lilian Marville G | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Assane Mandian G | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Antwann Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Brown, Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Clyde Bailey II
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick G | 40 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Kam Taylor G | 38 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 38 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Justin Wright G | 26 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 3-3 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Clarke PG | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| David Hermes F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jakel Powell, Corey Jones, Sage Tolentino, Brayden Rivers, Hugo Maton, Rasheed Baldwin, Mitchell Taylor, Connor Dubsky
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -4.5
no move
CloseUNCA -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 3
Close143.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -4.5 · unchangedmodel UNCA -2
model UNCA -2
Opened 146.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNCA -4.5 | UNCA -2.2 | UNCG +2.3 | L UNCA covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 150.3 | Over 6.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNCG 74 · UNCA 76.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNCA -1.2 | UNCG -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | UNCG 34.6 · UNCA 35.8 | UNCG 39 · UNCA 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-7 13% | 2-6 25% | 5-3 63% | |
| 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
−6.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
−15.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−7.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+0.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
+11.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−14.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
+8.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
+39.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
+20.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−13.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+44.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
−22.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−9.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
+2.5
over 5under 3avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WICH
L 58-75
−10.5
8
@
GASO
L 90-93
+2.5
11
vs
LIP
W 69-64
−1.5
19
@
WCU
L 73-80
−8.5
25
vs
TNST
L 73-75
−7.5
30
vs
APP
W 67-55
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
WICH
L 58-75
−24.5
8
@
GASO
L 90-93
+20.5
11
vs
LIP
W 69-64
−25.5
19
@
WCU
L 73-80
+0.5
25
vs
TNST
L 73-75
−16.5
30
vs
APP
W 67-55
−15.5
over 2under 4avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
1-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami OH71–82
- Lvs Delaware60–73
- Wvs Youngstown St68–62
- L@ Queens University Royals94–101
- Lvs Austin Peay63–69
6 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs App State67–55
- Lvs Tennessee St73–75
- L@ W Carolina73–80
- Wvs Lipscomb69–64
- L@ GA Southern90–93
2 days since their last game.