Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville · Conference game
Closing line
UNCA -2.5✓ RAD covered by 1.5
UNCA -2.5✓ RAD covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 2.5
 RAD | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-13 | Record | 9-15 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RAD 75–76 UNCA · ✓ UNCA (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 33 | 33 | 7 | 73 |
| UNCA | 32 | 34 | 8 | 74 |
1st half: RAD 33, UNCA 32 (RAD by 1). The model had UNCA by 0.9 and a total of 70.7 (actual 65).
Team stats
| RAD | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 19-30 63% | Free throws | 7-14 50% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Jones G | 40 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 5-19 | 2-6 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-4 |
| Lukas Walls G | 36 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 34 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Tyson Brown F | 34 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mari Jordan G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Louie Jordan F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Warren Keel Jr. G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylon Johnson, Gabriel Ferreira, Bradley Land, Diogo Alves, Zion Walker
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toyaz Solomon F | 44 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 10-18 | 1-1 |
| Justin Wright G | 43 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 10-16 | 0-2 |
| DJ Patrick G | 40 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Kam Taylor G | 39 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 6-14 | 3-4 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Mayfield F | 28 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mitchell Taylor, David Hermes, Rasheed Baldwin, Jakel Powell, Julian Clarke, Connor Dubsky, Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCA -2.5
ModelUNCA -1.8
Model edgeRAD +0.7
W RAD covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
RAD 74.6 · UNCA 76.4
RAD 73 · UNCA 74
Win probability
UNCA 56%
1st half
Spread
UNCA -0.9
RAD -1.0
Total
70.7
65 points
Projected score
RAD 34.9 · UNCA 35.8
RAD 33 · UNCA 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -1.5
1 → UNCA
CloseUNCA -2.5
1 pt toward UNCA
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RAD +120 · UNCA -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -1.5 · closed UNCA -2.5 · moved 1 toward UNCAmodel UNCA -2
model UNCA -2
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UNCA | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
RAD 1–7 UNCAUNCA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · RAD 1-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | UNCA 91 @ RAD 72 | RAD -4.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UNCA 53 @ RAD 77 | RAD -3.5 | RAD W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | RAD 65 @ UNCA 72 | UNCA -2.5 | UNCA W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UNCA 71 @ RAD 62 | RAD +1.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | RAD 69 @ UNCA 81 | UNCA -5.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Radford
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs VMI | W 97-90 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 31 | @ UPST | W 76-69 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs PRES | W 80-61 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCA | L 72-91 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @ GWEB | W 89-80 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs LONG | W 85-83 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | @ WIN | L 75-76 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 23 | vs HPU | L 83-93 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | @ CHSO | W 84-75 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 31 | @PRES | W 93-84 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vsWIN | L 78-80 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 7 | @HPU | L 77-86 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | vsCHSO | W 90-80 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 19 | vsGWEB | W 82-70 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
−4.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
+8.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
+12.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
−23.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
−4.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 85-83
−2.5
21
@WIN
WINL 75-76
+8.5
23
vsHPU
HPUL 83-93
−2.5
29
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-75
+7.5
31
@PRES
PRESW 93-84
+10.5
4
vsWIN
WINL 78-80
+2.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 77-86
+5.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 90-80
+5.5
19
vsGWEB
GWEBW 82-70
−6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
+28.5
31
@UPST
UPSTW 76-69
−13.5
7
vsPRES
PRESW 80-61
−6.5
10
vsUNCA
UNCAL 72-91
+11.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 89-80
+3.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 85-83
+10.5
21
@WIN
WINL 75-76
−14.5
23
vsHPU
HPUL 83-93
+10.5
29
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-75
−3.5
31
@PRES
PRESW 93-84
+25.5
4
vsWIN
WINL 78-80
−3.5
7
@HPU
HPUL 77-86
+0.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 90-80
+8.5
19
vsGWEB
GWEBW 82-70
−10.5
over 15under 10avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
24 games played
Straight up
9-15
38% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vsHPU | L 69-87 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | @CHSO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | vsLONG | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @RAD | W 91-72 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @PRES | L 70-71 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsWIN | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | @UPST | W 83-69 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsGWEB | W 69-50 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @WIN | L 71-84 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | vsUPST | W 76-67 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 12 | @LONG | W 79-74 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsPRES | L 57-58 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 19 | @HPU | L 48-74 | +14.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
−7.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+1.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
+8.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+23.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
−3.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
+3.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+15.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
+1.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
−3.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+2.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+7.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−6.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
+4.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+17.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
−15.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+11.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
+2.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
−16.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+6.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
−30.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
+7.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+3.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+11.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−22.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−30.5
over 12under 12avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Radford
12-13 overall · 8-5 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70
- Wvs Charleston So90–80
- L@ High Point77–86
- Lvs Winthrop78–80
- W@ Presbyterian93–84
2 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
9-15 overall · 6-7 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ High Point48–74
- Lvs Presbyterian57–58
- W@ Longwood79–74
- Wvs SC Upstate76–67
- L@ Winthrop71–84
2 days since their last game.