The Dedmon Center · at Radford
Closing line
RAD -11.5✓ VMI covered by 4.5
RAD -11.5✓ VMI covered by 4.5Closing total158.5Over by 28.5
 VMI | This season | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 3-8 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 3-6 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VMI 73–83 RAD · ✓ RAD (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 43 | 47 | 90 |
| RAD | 44 | 53 | 97 |
1st half: VMI 43, RAD 44 (RAD by 1). The model had RAD by 5.8 and a total of 73.0 (actual 87).
Team stats
| VMI | RAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 27-49 55% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 25-28 89% | Free throws | 32-40 80% |
| 24 9 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 28 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 36 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-8 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| AJ Clark G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Cal Liston F | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alexander Daushvili F | 24 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 23 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Walker Andrews G | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Lawson, Branford Edmonds III, Jaylen Pazon, Mason Hagedorn, Robert Peters, Rickey Bradley Jr.
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Johnson G | 38 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 5-13 | 4-9 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 35 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 8-13 | 4-7 |
| Tyson Brown F | 33 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Del Jones G | 28 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Lukas Walls G | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Mari Jordan G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Louie Jordan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Warren Keel Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Walker, Diogo Alves, Gabriel Ferreira, Bradley Land
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -9.5
2 → RAD
CloseRAD -11.5
2 pts toward RAD
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VMI +525 · RAD -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -9.5 · closed RAD -11.5 · moved 2 toward RADmodel RAD -10
model RAD -10
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | RAD -11.5 | RAD -9.8 | VMI +1.7 | W VMI covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 156.1 | Under 2.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | VMI 73.1 · RAD 83 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | RAD -5.8 | RAD -1.0 |
| 1H total | 73.0 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | VMI 33.6 · RAD 39.4 | VMI 43 · RAD 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMIlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% | 3-6 33% |
| RAD | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VMI 1–1 RADSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · VMI 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023-24 | VMI 56 @ RAD 73 | RAD -17.5 | VMI W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | RAD 74 @ VMI 77 | VMI +7.5 | VMI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VMI
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
over 3under 6avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Radford
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
over 7under 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VMI
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD86–70
- L@ UCF57–82
- Lvs Bowling Green48–81
- Lvs Buffalo70–78
- L@ Stetson80–99
A week or more of rest.
Radford
3-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ William & Mary83–96
- Wvs Coppin St107–77
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves89–56
- Lvs Southern Miss75–82
- L@ SMU72–89
3 days since their last game.