Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -7.5✓ WKU covered by 28.5
LIB -7.5✓ WKU covered by 28.5Closing total147.5Over by 19.5
 WKU | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 13-11 | Record | 20-3 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WKU 71–77 LIB · ✗ LIB (72%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 48 | 46 | 94 |
| LIB | 37 | 36 | 73 |
1st half: WKU 48, LIB 37 (WKU by 11). The model had LIB by 3.9 and a total of 69.1 (actual 85).
Team stats
| WKU | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-59 53% | Field goals | 25-45 56% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 22-23 96% | Free throws | 17-29 59% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 20 1 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Murdix G | 34 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4-8 | 2-2 |
| Grant Newell F | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-6 |
| LJ Hackman G | 32 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Teagan Moore G | 31 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-3 |
| Blaise Keita F | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Armelo Boone G | 25 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Myers G | 19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Stinnett G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Boyde C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Edelen G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kade Unseld, Louie Semona III, Cam Haffner, Lawson Rice, Bryant Selebangue
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 34 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Colin Porter G | 34 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-9 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 33 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| JJ Harper G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zander Carter G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Josh Smith F | 13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Zander Yates F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Drew Grimes F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Torr Sorensen F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| JC Shirer Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Drain, Isaiah Ihnen, Brady Kester
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -7.5
no move
CloseLIB -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WKU +270 · LIB -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -7.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -6.5
model LIB -6.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147.5 matches the line
model 147.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -7.5 | LIB -6.7 | WKU +0.8 | W WKU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 147.7 | Over 0.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WKU 70.5 · LIB 77.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -3.9 | WKU -11.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | WKU 32.6 · LIB 36.5 | WKU 48 · LIB 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| LIB | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WKU 2–3 LIBLIB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · WKU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | LIB 76 @ WKU 69 | WKU +1.5 | LIB W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | LIB 90 @ WKU 61 | WKU +3.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | WKU 71 @ LIB 70 | LIB -9.5 | WKU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | WKU 79 @ LIB 82 | LIB -5.5 | WKU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | LIB 68 @ WKU 70 | WKU +3.5 | WKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Western KY
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs EVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs TLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vs LT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @ NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 14 | vs MOST | W 87-72 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs KENN | L 65-81 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | vsLIB | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @SHSU | L 58-73 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @KENN | L 69-72 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ MTSU | W 65-60 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 5 | vsJXST | L 66-71 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs FIU | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | vsMTSU | W 82-80 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | @ DEL | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−23.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−5.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−9.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
+1.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
+11.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−9.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
+5.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-80
−1.5
18
@DEL
DELW 88-87
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+10.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−19.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−3.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−25.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
−19.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
−15.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−3.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
−9.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-80
+16.5
18
@DEL
DELW 88-87
+35.5
over 10under 14avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
23 games played
Straight up
20-3
87% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsKENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vsJXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsNMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsDEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vsMOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vsFIU | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
+26.5
over 13under 10avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Western KY
13-11 overall · 8-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware88–87
- Wvs MTSU82–80
- Wvs FIU80–70
- Lvs Jax State66–71
- W@ MTSU65–60
3 days since their last game.
Liberty
20-3 overall · 15-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FIU90–89
- W@ UTEP73–64
- W@ New Mexico St77–75
- Wvs Missouri St79–76
- W@ Delaware75–69
2 days since their last game.