Pan American Center · at New Mexico St · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -3.5✓ NMSU covered by 1.5
LIB -3.5✓ NMSU covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Over by 7.5
| LIB | This season | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-3 | Record | 8-12 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 74–71 NMSU · ✓ LIB (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 30 | 47 | 77 |
| NMSU | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: LIB 30, NMSU 32 (NMSU by 2). The model had LIB by 1.5 and a total of 67.7 (actual 62).
Team stats
| LIB | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 7-7 100% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 38 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6-15 | 3-7 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 7-14 | 4-11 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| JJ Harper G | 33 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Zander Yates F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brady Kester, Torr Sorensen, Drew Grimes, TJ Drain, Isaiah Ihnen, JC Shirer Jr., Ryan Jones Jr.
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones G | 33 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 10-19 | 3-5 |
| Julius Mims F | 33 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 10-13 | 1-2 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 28 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Terrell G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Jayland Randall G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amarco Doyle, Cyr Malonga, Omarr Smith, Teysean Eaglestaff, Augustine Ekwe, Christian Villegas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -3.5
no move
CloseLIB -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIB -175 · NMSU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -3.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -2.5
model LIB -2.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144.5 matches the line
model 144.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -3.5 | LIB -2.4 | NMSU +1.1 | W NMSU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 144.6 | Over 0.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | LIB 73.5 · NMSU 71.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -1.5 | NMSU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 67.7 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 34.6 · NMSU 33.1 | LIB 30 · NMSU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| NMSU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIB 4–1 NMSULIB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 4 meetings · LIB 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | NMSU 71 @ LIB 73 | LIB -8.5 | NMSU W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | LIB 64 @ NMSU 54 | NMSU +2.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | NMSU 60 @ LIB 68 | LIB -6.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | NMSU 58 @ LIB 83 | LIB -14.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | LIB 73 @ NMSU 79 | NMSU +5 | NMSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsNMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs DEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs MOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
over 11under 9avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vsSHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @MOST | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vsWKU | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vsMTSU | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @LIB | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @DEL | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vsMOST | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsFIU | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEL | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @KENN | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @LT | W 72-63 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @UTEP | L 88-91 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
−5.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
+13.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−7.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
+6.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+24.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
−15.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−10.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−22.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−19.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
+10.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
+36.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
−10.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−30.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
−1.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+30.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
+14.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−0.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−0.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−30.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
−0.5
7
@UTEP
UTEPL 88-91
+40.5
over 11under 9avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
17-3 overall · 12-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri St79–76
- W@ Delaware75–69
- W@ MTSU81–65
- Wvs Delaware67–51
- W@ Western KY76–69
4 days since their last game.
New Mexico St
8-12 overall · 4-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UTEP88–91
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–63
- L@ Kennesaw St53–76
- Lvs Delaware64–73
- Lvs FIU78–81
4 days since their last game.