Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · at Sam Houston · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -1.5✓ LIB covered by 6.5
LIB -1.5✓ LIB covered by 6.5Closing total154.5Over by 1.5
| LIB | This season | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3 | Record | 6-6 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 10-2 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 8-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 77–77 SHSU · ✓ LIB (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| SHSU | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: LIB 34, SHSU 33 (LIB by 1). The model had LIB by 0.4 and a total of 72.1 (actual 67).
Team stats
| LIB | SHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-51 57% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 23 2 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 22 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland F | 38 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 11-16 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 37 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 36 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 35 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| JJ Harper G | 27 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zander Carter G | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Josh Smith F | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Grimes, JC Shirer Jr., TJ Drain, Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester, Isaiah Ihnen
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Po'Boigh King G | 39 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Justin Begg G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Kashie Natt G | 30 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 21 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-1 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 21 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Walker G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Isaiah Manning G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jacobe Coleman G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Beaumont, Jackson Rogers, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Noah Benny, Nathan Nguyen, Matt Dann
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -1.5
no move
CloseLIB -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LIB -110 · SHSU -110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -1.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -0.5
model LIB -0.5
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -1.5 | LIB -0.4 | SHSU +1.1 | L LIB covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 154.0 | Under 0.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LIB 77.2 · SHSU 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -0.4 | LIB -1.0 |
| 1H total | 72.1 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 36.2 · SHSU 35.9 | LIB 34 · SHSU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SHSU | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIB 3–1 SHSULIB leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · LIB 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SHSU 61 @ LIB 64 | LIB -10.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | LIB 76 @ SHSU 68 | SHSU +3.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | LIB 73 @ SHSU 83 | SHSU +4.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SHSU 66 @ LIB 82 | LIB -9.5 | LIB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
over 6under 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sam Houston
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
10-2
83% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 2avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
over 8under 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
9-3 overall · 4-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–56
- Wvs Jax State78–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St81–73
- W@ FIU97–94
- W@ Dayton64–61
2 days since their last game.
Sam Houston
6-6 overall · 1-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Delaware72–60
- L@ MTSU67–68
- L@ Western KY91–102
- L@ New Mexico St78–87
- W@ Oregon St85–75
2 days since their last game.