E.A. Diddle Arena · at Western KY · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -1.5✓ LIB covered by 5.5
LIB -1.5✓ LIB covered by 5.5Closing total148.5Under by 3.5
| LIB | This season | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 9-7 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 76–75 WKU · ✓ LIB (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| WKU | 32 | 37 | 69 |
1st half: LIB 35, WKU 32 (LIB by 3). The model had LIB by 1.1 and a total of 70.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| LIB | WKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-45 47% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 17-29 59% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 8 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Porter G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 37 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| JJ Harper G | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 30 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zander Yates F | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Zander Carter G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Josh Smith F | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drew Grimes, Isaiah Ihnen, TJ Drain, JC Shirer Jr., Torr Sorensen, Brady Kester
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Murdix G | 33 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-0 |
| Armelo Boone G | 33 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-5 |
| Teagan Moore G | 32 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Ryan Myers G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Noah Boyde C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grant Newell F | 22 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 2-4 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| LJ Hackman G | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cam Haffner G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jack Edelen G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kade Unseld G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Louie Semona III, Cade Stinnett, Bryant Selebangue, Blaise Keita, Lawson Rice
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -1.5
no move
CloseLIB -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LIB -118 · WKU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -1.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -1.5 matches the line
model LIB -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -1.5 | LIB -1.6 | LIB +0.1 | W LIB covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 150.8 | Over 2.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LIB 76.2 · WKU 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -1.1 | LIB -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 35.8 · WKU 34.8 | LIB 35 · WKU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| WKU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIB 2–2 WKUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · LIB 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | LIB 90 @ WKU 61 | WKU +3.5 | LIB W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | WKU 71 @ LIB 70 | LIB -9.5 | WKU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | WKU 79 @ LIB 82 | LIB -5.5 | WKU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | LIB 68 @ WKU 70 | WKU +3.5 | WKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
over 8under 7avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Western KY
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs EVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs TLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vsSHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vsLT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 14 | vs MOST | W 87-72 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsKENN | L 65-81 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−23.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+10.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−19.5
over 8under 8avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
12-3 overall · 7-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP80–69
- Wvs New Mexico St73–71
- W@ Sam Houston82–74
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–56
- Wvs Jax State78–69
4 days since their last game.
Western KY
9-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kennesaw St65–81
- Wvs Missouri St87–72
- W@ UTEP68–56
- L@ New Mexico St64–80
- Wvs Louisiana Tech66–61
4 days since their last game.