Don Haskins Center · at UTEP · Conference game
Closing line
NMSU -1.5✓ UTEP covered by 4.5
NMSU -1.5✓ UTEP covered by 4.5Closing total138.5Over by 40.5
| NMSU | This season | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 5-15 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NMSU 71–68 UTEP · ✗ NMSU (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 39 | 33 | 16 | 88 |
| UTEP | 32 | 40 | 19 | 91 |
1st half: NMSU 39, UTEP 32 (NMSU by 7). The model had NMSU by 1.7 and a total of 65.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| NMSU | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-72 44% | Field goals | 27-69 39% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 14-23 61% | Free throws | 26-38 68% |
| 42 13 off | Rebounds | 49 18 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 26 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Jemel Jones G | 35 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 9-18 | 2-5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 34 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Julius Mims F | 33 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 27 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayland Randall G | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Chris Terrell G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustine Ekwe, Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Cyr Malonga, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Blackwell G | 42 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 42 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6-16 | 4-11 |
| Elijah Jones F | 39 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 38 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| KJ Thomas G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cassius Brooks G | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Trey Horton III G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| LA Hayes G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: C.J. Smith, Tyreese Watson, Jordan Hernandez, Bobby Montgomery Jr., David Tubek, Mouhamed Mbaye
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNMSU -1.5
ModelNMSU -2.6
Model edgeNMSU +1.1
L UTEP covered
Total
Market138.5
Model138.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
NMSU 70.7 · UTEP 68.1
NMSU 88 · UTEP 91
Win probability
NMSU 59%
1st half
Spread
NMSU -1.7
NMSU -7.0
Total
65.0
71 points
Projected score
NMSU 33.4 · UTEP 31.7
NMSU 39 · UTEP 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNMSU -1.5
no move
CloseNMSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open138.5
no move
Close138.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NMSU -130 · UTEP +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NMSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel NMSU -2.5
model NMSU -2.5
Opened 138.5 · unchangedmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| UTEP | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NMSU 5–3 UTEPNMSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NMSU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UTEP 66 @ NMSU 63 | NMSU -0.5 | UTEP W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NMSU 85 @ UTEP 57 | UTEP -6.5 | NMSU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | NMSU 49 @ UTEP 74 | UTEP -5.5 | UTEP W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | UTEP 53 @ NMSU 63 | NMSU -2.5 | NMSU W |
| Nov 30, 2022-23 | UTEP 70 @ NMSU 95 | NMSU -2.5 | NMSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico St
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vs SHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @ MOST | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs WKU | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs MTSU | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIB | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ DEL | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vsMOST | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsFIU | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEL | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ KENN | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ LT | W 72-63 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
−5.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
+13.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−7.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
+6.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+24.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
−15.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−10.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−22.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−19.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
+36.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
−10.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−30.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
−1.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+30.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
+14.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−0.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−0.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−30.5
4
@LT
LTW 72-63
−0.5
over 10under 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTEP
20 games played
Straight up
5-15
25% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs UAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MOST | L 55-79 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | @FIU | L 64-76 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 8 | vsMTSU | W 83-80 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsWKU | L 56-68 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | @DEL | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @LIB | L 69-80 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsFIU | W 83-77 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vsMOST | L 57-62 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsLT | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEL | W 70-55 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @SHSU | L 66-70 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
−20.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−5.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+6.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−8.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+2.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+2.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+7.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−3.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−12.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
+8.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
+2.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−12.5
8
vsMTSU
MTSUW 83-80
+25.5
10
vsWKU
WKUL 56-68
−20.5
15
@DEL
DELW 70-69
+13.5
17
@LIB
LIBL 69-80
+11.5
22
vsFIU
FIUW 83-77
+8.5
24
vsMOST
MOSTL 57-62
−20.5
28
vsLT
LTL 59-69
−2.5
31
vsDEL
DELW 70-55
−3.5
4
@SHSU
SHSUL 66-70
−9.5
over 9under 11avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico St
8-11 overall · 4-8 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Louisiana Tech72–63
- L@ Kennesaw St53–76
- Lvs Delaware64–73
- Lvs FIU78–81
- Lvs Missouri St75–84
3 days since their last game.
UTEP
5-15 overall · 4-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sam Houston66–70
- Wvs Delaware70–55
- Lvs Louisiana Tech59–69
- Lvs Missouri St57–62
- Wvs FIU83–77
3 days since their last game.