Bob Carpenter Center · at Delaware · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -10.5✓ DEL covered by 4.5
LIB -10.5✓ DEL covered by 4.5Closing total132.5Over by 11.5
| LIB | This season | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| 15-3 | Record | 6-14 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 73–63 DEL · ✓ LIB (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 29 | 46 | 75 |
| DEL | 30 | 39 | 69 |
1st half: LIB 29, DEL 30 (DEL by 1). The model had LIB by 6.1 and a total of 64.0 (actual 59).
Team stats
| LIB | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-45 51% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 25 2 off | Rebounds | 23 2 off |
| 21 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 38 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 36 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 35 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| JJ Harper G | 24 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Torr Sorensen, Drew Grimes, TJ Drain, Brady Kester, Ryan Jones Jr., JC Shirer Jr., Isaiah Ihnen
| DEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justyn Fernandez G | 40 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-4 |
| Christian Bliss G | 40 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Houser F | 38 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Macon Emory F | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 7-14 | 5-11 |
| Alex Kazanecki G | 31 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Taylor F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Houston Emory F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex McFadden, Brandon Baffone, Mason Ellison, Bouna Kebe, Lance Piper, Nnanna Njoku, Jameel Brown, Cavan Reilly
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -12.5
2 → DEL
CloseLIB -10.5
2 pts toward DEL
Total
Open133.5
▼ 1
Close132.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIB -675 · DEL +490
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -12.5 · closed LIB -10.5 · moved 2 toward DELmodel LIB -10
model LIB -10
Opened 133.5 · closed 132.5 · moved 1 downmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -10.5 | LIB -10.0 | DEL +0.5 | W DEL covered |
| Total | 132.5 | 136.5 | Over 4.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | LIB 73.3 · DEL 63.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -6.1 | DEL -1.0 |
| 1H total | 64.0 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | LIB 35 · DEL 28.9 | LIB 29 · DEL 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| DEL | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIB 1–0 DELLIB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LIB 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | DEL 51 @ LIB 67 | LIB -15.5 | LIB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsDEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
over 9under 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Delaware
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUCK | L 70-78 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ BYU | L 68-85 | +35.5 | W +18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 18 | vs SPU | W 81-70 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIU | L 59-79 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNCG | W 73-60 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 1 | vs IONA | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | @ DSU | L 72-75 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 129.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 10 | @ GW | W 70-58 | +21.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUN | L 66-88 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 16 | vs RID | W 65-57 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 29 | vs MOST | L 43-61 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vsJXST | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | vsKENN | W 67-52 | +8.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 8 | @SHSU | L 60-72 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @LT | L 68-70 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 15 | vsUTEP | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsNMSU | L 68-97 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @LIB | L 51-67 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 28 | @NMSU | W 73-64 | +13.5 | W +22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @UTEP | L 55-70 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−5.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
+18.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+6.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−11.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
+14.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
−21.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
−10.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
+33.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
−23.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−0.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−16.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+1.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
+23.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−0.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+4.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
−2.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
−24.5
24
@LIB
LIBL 51-67
−0.5
28
@NMSU
NMSUW 73-64
+22.5
31
@UTEP
UTEPL 55-70
−8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
−11.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+13.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−15.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
−9.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
+5.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
+17.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
−24.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
+9.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−7.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−27.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+4.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
−29.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−12.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+14.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
+13.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
+30.5
24
@LIB
LIBL 51-67
−16.5
28
@NMSU
NMSUW 73-64
−0.5
31
@UTEP
UTEPL 55-70
−3.5
over 8under 12avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
15-3 overall · 10-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ MTSU81–65
- Wvs Delaware67–51
- W@ Western KY76–69
- Wvs UTEP80–69
- Wvs New Mexico St73–71
6 days since their last game.
Delaware
6-14 overall · 2-8 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UTEP55–70
- W@ New Mexico St73–64
- L@ Liberty51–67
- Lvs New Mexico St68–97
- Lvs UTEP69–70
4 days since their last game.