Viejas Arena · at San Diego St · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -9.5✓ UNLV covered by 6.5
SDSU -9.5✓ UNLV covered by 6.5Closing total153.5Over by 21.5
 UNLV | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-14 | Record | 18-10 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 19-10 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 73–83 SDSU · ✓ SDSU (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 39 | 47 | 86 |
| SDSU | 42 | 47 | 89 |
1st half: UNLV 39, SDSU 42 (SDSU by 3). The model had SDSU by 5.5 and a total of 73.0 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UNLV | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 33-60 55% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 40 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 11-22 | 5-11 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 39 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 39 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Walter Brown F | 32 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrin Jones F | 30 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 9-14 | 0-1 |
| Issac Williamson G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Naas Cunningham, Jalen Cunningham, Al Green, Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Emmanuel Stephen, Ladji Dembele
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 35 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Miles Byrd G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Miles Heide F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| BJ Davis G | 26 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 11-17 | 4-8 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 18 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Tae Simmons F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Lawin, Raymar Gonzales, Elzie Harrington, Thokbor Majak, Latrell Davis
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -9.5
ModelSDSU -9.5
Model edge—
UNLV covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
UNLV 73.4 · SDSU 82.9
UNLV 86 · SDSU 89
Win probability
SDSU 80%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -5.5
SDSU -3.0
Total
73.0
81 points
Projected score
UNLV 33.8 · SDSU 39.3
UNLV 39 · SDSU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -10.5
1 → UNLV
CloseSDSU -9.5
1 pt toward UNLV
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNLV +370 · SDSU -485
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -10.5 · closed SDSU -9.5 · moved 1 toward UNLVmodel SDSU -9.5 matches the line
model SDSU -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
| SDSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UNLV 3–7 SDSUSDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UNLV 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | SDSU 82 @ UNLV 71 | UNLV +3.5 | SDSU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | SDSU 67 @ UNLV 74 | UNLV +3.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UNLV 76 @ SDSU 68 | SDSU -10.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | SDSU 74 @ UNLV 71 | UNLV +4.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | SDSU 58 @ UNLV 62 | UNLV +3.5 | UNLV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs FRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs AF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @ WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @ CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs BOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @ SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vsSDSU | L 71-82 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs UNM | L 61-89 | +3.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 30 | @ NEV | L 76-89 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @FRES | L 96-98 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | vs GCU | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 10 | vsSJSU | W 82-75 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 13 | @BOIS | W 86-83 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 18 | vsCSU | L 86-91 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 21 | @AF | W 91-66 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @GCU | L 67-80 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 28 | vsNEV | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | vsUSU | W 92-65 | +7.5 | W +34.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
−7.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−24.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
−5.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
−3.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+4.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
−5.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+13.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
−7.5
21
@AF
AFW 91-66
+8.5
25
@GCU
GCUL 67-80
−5.5
28
vsNEV
NEVW 85-83
+3.5
3
vsUSU
USUW 92-65
+34.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
+3.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−5.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
+17.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
+40.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+9.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
+7.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+15.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
+29.5
21
@AF
AFW 91-66
+3.5
25
@GCU
GCUL 67-80
−3.5
28
vsNEV
NEVW 85-83
+17.5
3
vsUSU
USUW 92-65
+0.5
over 19under 10avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsAF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsBOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsFRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vsCSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @AF | W 88-54 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vsNEV | W 71-57 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | vsGCU | L 63-73 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | @CSU | L 74-83 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | vsUSU | W 89-72 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | @UNM | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 3 | @BOIS | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
+6.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−17.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
−12.5
25
vsUSU
USUW 89-72
+18.5
28
@UNM
UNML 76-81
−3.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 77-86
−7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+2.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
−11.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−3.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
+17.5
25
vsUSU
USUW 89-72
+14.5
28
@UNM
UNML 76-81
+6.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 77-86
+19.5
over 14under 14avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
15-14 overall · 11-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah State92–65
- Wvs Nevada85–83
- L@ Grand Canyon67–80
- W@ Air Force91–66
- Lvs Colorado St86–91
3 days since their last game.
San Diego St
18-10 overall · 13-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boise St77–86
- L@ New Mexico76–81
- Wvs Utah State89–72
- L@ Colorado St74–83
- Lvs Grand Canyon63–73
3 days since their last game.