Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV · Conference game
Closing line
USU -7.5✓ UNLV covered by 34.5
USU -7.5✓ UNLV covered by 34.5Closing total156.5Over by 0.5
| USU | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 23-5 | Record | 14-14 |
| 12-16 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 18-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 85–76 UNLV · ✗ USU (77%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 24 | 41 | 65 |
| UNLV | 32 | 60 | 92 |
1st half: USU 24, UNLV 32 (UNLV by 8). The model had USU by 5.2 and a total of 75.4 (actual 56).
Team stats
| USU | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 5-30 17% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 35 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Drake Allen G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-6 |
| Zach Keller F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 24 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Karson Templin F | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Garry Clark F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Kearney F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 37 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 10-14 | 1-4 |
| Walter Brown F | 30 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrin Jones F | 29 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Issac Williamson G | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Cunningham G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Al Green G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele, Naas Cunningham
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -8.5
1 → UNLV
CloseUSU -7.5
1 pt toward UNLV
Total
Open159.5
▼ 3
Close156.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
USU -360 · UNLV +285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -8.5 · closed USU -7.5 · moved 1 toward UNLVmodel USU -8.5
model USU -8.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -7.5 | USU -8.6 | USU +1.1 | L UNLV covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 161.4 | Over 4.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USU 85 · UNLV 76.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -5.2 | UNLV -8.0 |
| 1H total | 75.4 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | USU 40.3 · UNLV 35.1 | USU 24 · UNLV 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UNLV | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USU 6–2 UNLVUSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · USU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | UNLV 86 @ USU 76 | USU -15.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | UNLV 58 vs USU 70 | USU -7.5 | USU W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | UNLV 71 @ USU 76 | USU -10.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | USU 62 @ UNLV 65 | UNLV +5.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | USU 87 @ UNLV 86 | UNLV +1.5 | UNLV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
28 games played
Straight up
23-5
82% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vsUNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vs WYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs SDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 72-89 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | vsGCU | W 74-69 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
−18.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
+14.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
over 16under 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
28 games played
Straight up
14-14
50% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-10
64% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vsFRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsAF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsBOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vsSDSU | L 71-82 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsUNM | L 61-89 | +3.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 30 | @NEV | L 76-89 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @FRES | L 96-98 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | vsGCU | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 10 | vsSJSU | W 82-75 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 13 | @BOIS | W 86-83 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 18 | vsCSU | L 86-91 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 21 | @AF | W 91-66 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @GCU | L 67-80 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 28 | vsNEV | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
−7.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−24.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
−5.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
−3.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+4.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
−5.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+13.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
−7.5
21
@AF
AFW 91-66
+8.5
25
@GCU
GCUL 67-80
−5.5
28
vsNEV
NEVW 85-83
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
+3.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−5.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
+17.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
+40.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+9.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
+7.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+15.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
+29.5
21
@AF
AFW 91-66
+3.5
25
@GCU
GCUL 67-80
−3.5
28
vsNEV
NEVW 85-83
+17.5
over 18under 10avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
23-5 overall · 14-4 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grand Canyon74–69
- L@ San Diego St72–89
- L@ Nevada77–80
- Wvs Boise St75–56
- Wvs Memphis99–75
3 days since their last game.
UNLV
14-14 overall · 10-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nevada85–83
- L@ Grand Canyon67–80
- W@ Air Force91–66
- Lvs Colorado St86–91
- W@ Boise St86–83
3 days since their last game.