Clune Arena · at Air Force · Conference game
Closing line
UNLV -16.5✓ UNLV covered by 8.5
UNLV -16.5✓ UNLV covered by 8.5Closing total153.5Over by 3.5
| UNLV | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 12-13 | Record | 3-23 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 7-19 |
| 16-9 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 82–68 AF · ✓ UNLV (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 34 | 57 | 91 |
| AF | 31 | 35 | 66 |
1st half: UNLV 34, AF 31 (UNLV by 3). The model had UNLV by 8.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| UNLV | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-60 60% | Field goals | 25-63 40% |
| 9-18 50% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 29 3 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 21 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimani Hamilton F | 37 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 11-19 | 2-6 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 30 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Walter Brown F | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Issac Williamson G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 31 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 14 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Al Green G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Cunningham G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Ladji Dembele, Myles Che, Mason Abittan
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 35 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 6-14 | 4-9 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 34 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Kam Sanders G | 31 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Eli Robinson F | 23 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby Gilles F | 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Riley Dering F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Justin Hinds G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Imade, Chris Catchings, Brendan Martin, Keaton Frisch, Elliott Taite, Kyle Marshall, Caleb Walker, Josh Gatete
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNLV -16.5
ModelUNLV -13.6
Model edgeAF +2.9
L UNLV covered
Total
Market153.5
Model149.3
Model edgeUnder 4.2
L Over
Projected score
UNLV 81.5 · AF 67.9
UNLV 91 · AF 66
Win probability
UNLV 88%
1st half
Spread
UNLV -8.2
UNLV -3.0
Total
69.9
65 points
Projected score
UNLV 39 · AF 30.8
UNLV 34 · AF 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNLV -15.5
1 → UNLV
CloseUNLV -16.5
1 pt toward UNLV
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNLV -1800 · AF +1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNLV -15.5 · closed UNLV -16.5 · moved 1 toward UNLVmodel UNLV -13.5
model UNLV -13.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| AF | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UNLV 8–2 AFUNLV leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 5 meetings · UNLV 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | AF 39 @ UNLV 67 | UNLV -14.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | AF 59 vs UNLV 68 | UNLV -12.5 | AF W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | AF 52 @ UNLV 77 | UNLV -13.5 | UNLV W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | UNLV 77 @ AF 58 | AF +7.5 | UNLV W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | UNLV 72 @ AF 43 | AF +6.5 | UNLV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs FRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsAF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @ WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @ CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs BOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @ SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vs SDSU | L 71-82 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs UNM | L 61-89 | +3.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 30 | @ NEV | L 76-89 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @FRES | L 96-98 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | vs GCU | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 10 | vsSJSU | W 82-75 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 13 | @BOIS | W 86-83 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 18 | vsCSU | L 86-91 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
−7.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−24.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
−5.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
−3.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+4.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
−5.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+13.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
+3.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−5.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
+17.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
+40.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+9.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 82-75
+7.5
13
@BOIS
BOISW 86-83
+15.5
18
vsCSU
CSUL 86-91
+29.5
over 16under 9avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
26 games played
Straight up
3-23
12% wins
Against the spread
7-19
27% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vsWYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vsUSU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vsCSU | L 74-91 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @FRES | L 63-93 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 17 | @UNM | L 61-98 | +28.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
−0.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
−15.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 19avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
+27.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
+13.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
+10.5
over 15under 11avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
12-13 overall · 8-7 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colorado St86–91
- W@ Boise St86–83
- Wvs San José St82–75
- Wvs Grand Canyon80–78
- L@ Fresno St96–98
3 days since their last game.
Air Force
3-23 overall · 0-15 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico61–98
- L@ Fresno St63–93
- Lvs Colorado St74–91
- Lvs San Diego St54–88
- L@ Grand Canyon57–81
4 days since their last game.