Save Mart Center · at Fresno St · Conference game
Closing line
FRES -14.5✓ FRES covered by 15.5
FRES -14.5✓ FRES covered by 15.5Closing total142.5Over by 13.5
 AF | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 3-21 | Record | 10-13 |
| 7-17 | ATS | 16-7 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 61–77 FRES · ✓ FRES (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 33 | 30 | 63 |
| FRES | 45 | 48 | 93 |
1st half: AF 33, FRES 45 (FRES by 12). The model had FRES by 8.9 and a total of 64.7 (actual 78).
Team stats
| AF | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 22-31 71% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 30 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 8-14 | 5-10 |
| Kam Sanders G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Eli Robinson F | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Dering F | 23 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Walker F | 18 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Brendan Martin F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Justin Hinds G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Elliott Taite G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sam Imade F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Gatete F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keaton Frisch, Kyle Marshall, Chris Catchings
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShawn Gory F | 28 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 8-16 | 0-4 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 28 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Zaon Collins G | 27 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bastien Rieber G | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Cameron Faas G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| DJ Stickman G | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jac Mani F | 13 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Matteo Porto G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Troy Jenkins, David Douglas Jr., Jake Heidbreder, Nathan Zulemie
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -16.5
2 → AF
CloseFRES -14.5
2 pts toward AF
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
AF +850 · FRES -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -16.5 · closed FRES -14.5 · moved 2 toward AFmodel FRES -15
model FRES -15
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FRES -14.5 | FRES -15.2 | FRES +0.7 | W FRES covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 138.0 | Under 4.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | AF 61.4 · FRES 76.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FRES -8.9 | FRES -12.0 |
| 1H total | 64.7 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | AF 27.9 · FRES 36.8 | AF 33 · FRES 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 0-10 0% | 1-9 10% | 8-2 80% |
| FRES | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
AF 2–6 FRESFRES leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · AF 1-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | FRES 79 @ AF 62 | AF +9.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | FRES 69 @ AF 72 | AF -4.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 17, 2024-25 | AF 65 @ FRES 74 | FRES -3.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FRES 68 @ AF 66 | AF -2 | FRES W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | AF 70 @ FRES 84 | FRES -3.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
24 games played
Straight up
3-21
13% wins
Against the spread
7-17
29% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @ SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vs WYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vs USU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @ SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vs NEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @ CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vsFRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @ GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vsCSU | L 74-91 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 17avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
+27.5
over 13under 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
16-7
70% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsUSU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsNEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vsCSU | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vsWYO | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @UNM | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vsGCU | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @AF | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | vsUNLV | W 98-96 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | @NEV | L 59-69 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 10 | @USU | L 78-91 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+13.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
+6.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+6.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−6.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
+7.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+3.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
+1.5
10
@USU
USUL 78-91
+8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+8.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
−22.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+5.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−20.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
−0.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+40.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
−21.5
10
@USU
USUL 78-91
+16.5
over 9under 14avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-21 overall · 0-13 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colorado St74–91
- Lvs San Diego St54–88
- L@ Grand Canyon57–81
- Lvs Fresno St62–79
- L@ Boise St54–96
4 days since their last game.
Fresno St
10-13 overall · 5-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Utah State78–91
- L@ Nevada59–69
- Wvs UNLV98–96
- W@ Air Force79–62
- Lvs Grand Canyon57–68
4 days since their last game.