Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State · Conference game
Closing line
USU -21.5✓ FRES covered by 8.5
USU -21.5✓ FRES covered by 8.5Closing total152.5Over by 16.5
 FRES | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-12 | Record | 19-3 |
| 15-7 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 8-14 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 66–84 USU · ✓ USU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 35 | 43 | 78 |
| USU | 47 | 44 | 91 |
1st half: FRES 35, USU 47 (USU by 12). The model had USU by 10.6 and a total of 70.2 (actual 82).
Team stats
| FRES | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Jacques C | 35 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 35 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8-17 | 1-6 |
| Jake Heidbreder G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Zaon Collins G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bastien Rieber G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Faas G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jac Mani F | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matteo Porto G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nathan Zulemie, DJ Stickman, Troy Jenkins
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-9 |
| Mason Falslev G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 22 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Drake Allen G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 31 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Karson Templin F | 24 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 19 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Garry Clark F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Tucker Anderson, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -21.5
ModelUSU -18.0
Model edgeFRES +3.5
W FRES covered
Total
Market152.5
Model150.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
L Over
Projected score
FRES 66.1 · USU 84.1
FRES 78 · USU 91
Win probability
USU 94%
1st half
Spread
USU -10.6
USU -12.0
Total
70.2
82 points
Projected score
FRES 29.8 · USU 40.4
FRES 35 · USU 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -19.5
2 → USU
CloseUSU -21.5
2 pts toward USU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
FRES +1400 · USU -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -19.5 · closed USU -21.5 · moved 2 toward USUmodel USU -18
model USU -18
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
FRES 1–8 USUUSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 8 meetings · FRES 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025-26 | USU 72 @ FRES 63 | FRES +14.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | USU 89 @ FRES 81 | FRES +13.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | FRES 83 @ USU 89 | USU -23.5 | FRES W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | FRES 75 vs USU 87 | USU -12.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | USU 77 @ FRES 73 | FRES +10.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
15-7
68% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNLV | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsUSU | L 63-72 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs NEV | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | @ SJSU | W 70-55 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ SDSU | L 52-71 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 13 | vs CSU | W 79-69 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 17 | vs WYO | W 63-60 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNM | L 74-83 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | vs GCU | L 57-68 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | @ AF | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | vsUNLV | W 98-96 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | @NEV | L 59-69 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
+5.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
+3.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
+13.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−4.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+13.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
+6.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+6.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−6.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
+7.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+3.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
+1.5
covered 15didn’t cover 7avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 72-84
−3.5
30
vsUSU
USUL 63-72
−19.5
3
vsNEV
NEVL 65-66
−15.5
6
@SJSU
SJSUW 70-55
−24.5
10
@SDSU
SDSUL 52-71
−23.5
13
vsCSU
CSUW 79-69
+8.5
17
vsWYO
WYOW 63-60
−22.5
21
@UNM
UNML 74-83
+5.5
24
vsGCU
GCUL 57-68
−20.5
31
@AF
AFW 79-62
−0.5
3
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-96
+40.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-69
−21.5
over 8under 14avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
22 games played
Straight up
19-3
86% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsSJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vsNEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vsUNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vsWYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsSDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
over 12under 10avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
10-12 overall · 5-7 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada59–69
- Wvs UNLV98–96
- W@ Air Force79–62
- Lvs Grand Canyon57–68
- L@ New Mexico74–83
3 days since their last game.
Utah State
19-3 overall · 11-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wyoming85–83
- W@ New Mexico86–66
- Wvs San Diego St71–66
- Wvs Wyoming94–62
- W@ Colorado St65–61
3 days since their last game.