Harrah's Cherokee Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UTC -7.5✓ CIT covered by 10.5
UTC -7.5✓ CIT covered by 10.5Closing total148.5Over by 24.5
 CIT | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-21 | Record | 10-18 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 70–76 UTC · ✗ UTC (71%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 49 | 39 | 88 |
| UTC | 49 | 36 | 85 |
1st half: CIT 49, UTC 49 (tied). The model had UTC by 3.6 and a total of 68.6 (actual 98).
Team stats
| CIT | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-59 54% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 15-31 48% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 18 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi F | 39 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-5 |
| Braxton Williams F | 35 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Eze Wali G | 28 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Christian Moore F | 26 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keynan Davis G | 16 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Logan Applegate G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dante Kearse G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simeon German F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabe Hernandez, Jameson Heck, Logan Menefee, Chase Williams, Cassius Bonjasky, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Rowan Irelan
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner G | 39 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Jordan Frison G | 35 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 28 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Makai Richards C | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Collin Mulholland F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Billy Smith G | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Houston Holland G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josh Bowman F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Bleshoy, Parker Robison, Latif Diouf, Liam Vitters, Ryan Lopez, Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann, Jikari Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -7.5
ModelUTC -6.2
Model edgeCIT +1.3
W CIT covered
Total
Market148.5
Model146.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
CIT 70.2 · UTC 76.4
CIT 88 · UTC 85
Win probability
UTC 71%
1st half
Spread
UTC -3.6
tied
Total
68.6
98 points
Projected score
CIT 32.5 · UTC 36.1
CIT 49 · UTC 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -7.5
no move
CloseUTC -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 3
Close148.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CIT +260 · UTC -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -7.5 · unchangedmodel UTC -6
model UTC -6
Opened 145.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UTC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
CIT 3–8 UTCUTC leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · CIT 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | UTC 93 @ CIT 72 | CIT +4.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | CIT 78 @ UTC 71 | UTC -9.5 | CIT W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CIT 75 @ UTC 76 | UTC -17.5 | CIT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UTC 81 @ CIT 68 | CIT +12.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UTC 62 @ CIT 71 | CIT +6.5 | CIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
28 games played
Straight up
7-21
25% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vs ETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @ VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs FUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsVMI | W 80-56 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCG | W 71-66 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @ SAM | L 64-78 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @UTC | W 78-71 | +9.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @WCU | L 49-87 | +9.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsMER | L 54-70 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 19 | vsSAM | L 75-78 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTC | L 72-93 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 25 | @FUR | L 51-72 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 28 | @WOF | W 93-90 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
+21.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
+7.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−0.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+16.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−28.5
14
vsMER
MERL 54-70
−4.5
19
vsSAM
SAML 75-78
+7.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 72-93
−16.5
25
@FUR
FURL 51-72
−5.5
28
@WOF
WOFW 93-90
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
−6.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
−10.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−4.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+6.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−9.5
14
vsMER
MERL 54-70
−23.5
19
vsSAM
SAML 75-78
+9.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 72-93
+20.5
25
@FUR
FURL 51-72
−20.5
28
@WOF
WOFW 93-90
+34.5
over 13under 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
28 games played
Straight up
10-18
36% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vsFUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsSAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vsETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @SAM | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWOF | L 55-81 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 1 | @FUR | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsMER | W 79-75 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | vsCIT | L 71-78 | -9.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @ETSU | L 61-73 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsWCU | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | @MER | W 94-90 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 21 | @CIT | W 93-72 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 26 | vsUNCG | L 80-85 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 28 | vsVMI | W 86-79 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−27.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
+2.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
+8.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
−16.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−1.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
−6.5
19
@MER
MERW 94-90
+14.5
21
@CIT
CITW 93-72
+16.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGL 80-85
−9.5
28
vsVMI
VMIW 86-79
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−13.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−14.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
−1.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
−1.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
+6.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−11.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
+5.5
19
@MER
MERW 94-90
+32.5
21
@CIT
CITW 93-72
+20.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGL 80-85
+7.5
28
vsVMI
VMIW 86-79
+10.5
over 15under 13avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
7-21 overall · 7-11 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wofford93–90
- L@ Furman51–72
- Lvs Chattanooga72–93
- Lvs Samford75–78
- Lvs Mercer54–70
6 days since their last game.
Chattanooga
10-18 overall · 7-11 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI86–79
- Lvs UNC Greensboro80–85
- W@ The Citadel93–72
- W@ Mercer94–90
- Lvs W Carolina76–81
6 days since their last game.