Bodford Arena · at UNC Greensboro · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -2.5✓ UNCG covered by 7.5
Closing total147.5Over by 1.5
| This season | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 2-9 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 75–75 UNCG · ✗ UNCG (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| UNCG | 33 | 44 | 77 |
1st half: UTC 34, UNCG 33 (UTC by 1). The model had UTC by 0.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UTC | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 11-35 31% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 21-31 68% |
| 25 5 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Frison G | 35 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 27 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Billy Smith G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 16 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jikari Johnson G | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Tate Darner G | 25 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Josh Bowman F | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Parker Robison G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Makai Richards C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Latif Diouf, Sebastian Hartmann, Sean Cusano, Ryan Lopez, Zach Bleshoy, Liam Vitters
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely F | 33 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 32 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 29 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| KJ Younger G | 28 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Domas Kauzonas F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Lilian Marville G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Landon King G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Assane Mandian G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antwann Jones, Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -1.5
1 → UTC
CloseUTC -2.5
1 pt toward UTC
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTC -135 · UNCG +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -1.5 · closed UTC -2.5 · moved 1 toward UTCmodel UTC -0
model UTC -0
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTC -2.5 | UTC -0.1 | UNCG +2.5 | W UNCG covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 149.3 | Over 1.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UTC 74.7 · UNCG 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UTC -0.2 | UTC -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | UTC 35 · UNCG 34.9 | UTC 34 · UNCG 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UTC 3–5 UNCGUNCG leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UTC 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UTC 75 @ UNCG 63 | UNCG -1.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UNCG 78 @ UTC 75 | UTC -3.5 | UNCG W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UTC 89 @ UNCG 61 | UNCG -4.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UNCG 70 @ UTC 54 | UTC -0.5 | UNCG W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | UNCG 93 @ UTC 76 | UTC +3.5 | UNCG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SMC
L 66-87
−5.5
8
@
UNLV
L 69-101
−24.5
15
@
FGCU
L 73-91
−19.5
19
@
SCST
W 78-66
+0.5
22
vs
UNA
W 71-57
+4.5
30
vs
TNST
L 64-70
−14.5
6
vs
SEMO
L 70-74
−7.5
13
vs
AUB
L 78-92
+5.5
17
@
BELL
L 64-79
−16.5
21
@
AAMU
W 73-66
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
SMC
L 66-87
+7.5
8
@
UNLV
L 69-101
+14.5
15
@
FGCU
L 73-91
+11.5
19
@
SCST
W 78-66
−10.5
22
vs
UNA
W 71-57
−21.5
30
vs
TNST
L 64-70
−21.5
6
vs
SEMO
L 70-74
−5.5
13
vs
AUB
L 78-92
+19.5
17
@
BELL
L 64-79
−3.5
21
@
AAMU
W 73-66
+0.5
over 5under 5avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Greensboro
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +8.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 82-78 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 65-71 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
−6.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
−15.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−7.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+0.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
+11.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−14.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
−0.5
2
vs
UNCA
L 77-82
−0.5
6
@
ECU
W 82-78
+11.5
16
vs
NCAT
L 65-71
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
KSU
L 64-93
+8.5
8
vs
ELON
L 90-92
+39.5
12
@
NCSU
L 64-110
+20.5
15
vs
APSU
L 63-69
−13.5
20
@
QUC
L 94-101
+44.5
23
vs
YSU
W 68-62
−22.5
25
vs
DEL
L 60-73
−9.5
26
vs
M-OH
L 71-82
+2.5
2
vs
UNCA
L 77-82
+15.5
6
@
ECU
W 82-78
+20.5
16
vs
NCAT
L 65-71
−11.5
over 7under 4avg +8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Alabama A&M73–66
- L@ Bellarmine64–79
- Lvs Auburn78–92
- Lvs SE Missouri70–74
- Lvs Tennessee St64–70
A week or more of rest.
UNC Greensboro
2-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NC A&T65–71
- W@ East Carolina82–78
- Lvs UNC Asheville77–82
- Lvs Miami OH71–82
- Lvs Delaware60–73
A week or more of rest.