Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina
Closing line
ECU -7.5✓ UNCG covered by 11.5
ECU -7.5✓ UNCG covered by 11.5Closing total139.5Over by 20.5
 UNCG | This season | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 2-5 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 1-6 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 71–77 ECU · ✗ ECU (69%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 41 | 41 | 82 |
| ECU | 33 | 45 | 78 |
1st half: UNCG 41, ECU 33 (UNCG by 8). The model had ECU by 3.3 and a total of 69.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UNCG | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 21-24 88% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 28 12 off | Rebounds | 38 18 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely F | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 9-15 | 0-2 |
| KJ Younger G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Lilian Marville G | 29 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Antwann Jones G | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Landon King G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Assane Mandian G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clyde Bailey II, Jordan Brown, Chane Bynum, Braylen Bowman
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 37 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 9-21 | 0-4 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 36 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Corey Caulker G | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Tybo Bailey G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Reid Cason F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayshayne Woodard F | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Vito Perkovic F | 15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Patrick D'Arcy G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Luke Davis F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daithi Quinn, Jake Baker, Trevion LaBeaux, Eli DeLaurier, Ladontae Felton, Grant Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenECU -5.5
2 → ECU
CloseECU -7.5
2 pts toward ECU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 7
Close139.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
UNCG +245 · ECU -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ECU -5.5 · closed ECU -7.5 · moved 2 toward ECUmodel ECU -5.5
model ECU -5.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 7 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ECU -7.5 | ECU -5.7 | UNCG +1.8 | W UNCG covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 147.9 | Over 8.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNCG 71.1 · ECU 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ECU -3.3 | UNCG -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | UNCG 33 · ECU 36.3 | UNCG 41 · ECU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCGlast 9 | 1-8 11% | 2-7 22% | 6-3 67% |
| ECUlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 1-6 14% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ KSU | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs ELON | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ NCSU | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs APSU | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ QUC | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs YSU | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs DEL | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs M-OH | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCA | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+0.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
+11.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−14.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
−0.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+44.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
−22.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−9.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
+2.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
+15.5
over 6under 3avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
East Carolina
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
1-6
14% covers · avg −9.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −9.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
over 3under 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
1-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Asheville77–82
- Lvs Miami OH71–82
- Lvs Delaware60–73
- Wvs Youngstown St68–62
- L@ Queens University Royals94–101
4 days since their last game.
East Carolina
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MD Eastern68–56
- Lvs St Bonaventure58–67
- Lvs Michigan St56–89
- Lvs Charleston So65–77
- L@ UNC Wilmington60–85
4 days since their last game.