Enterprise Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
BRAD -5.5✓ BRAD covered by 0.5
BRAD -5.5✓ BRAD covered by 0.5Closing total139.5Over by 34.5
 VAL | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 17-14 | Record | 19-11 |
| 19-12 | ATS | 12-18 |
| 16-15 | O/U | 16-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 71–75 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 31 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 84 |
| BRAD | 31 | 33 | 9 | 17 | 90 |
1st half: VAL 31, BRAD 31 (tied). The model had BRAD by 2.3 and a total of 68.4 (actual 62).
Team stats
| VAL | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-67 42% | Field goals | 30-71 42% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 26-34 76% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 28 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew F | 48 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 6-15 | 1-4 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 47 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 9-15 | 5-8 |
| Owen Dease F | 41 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-3 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 35 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 23 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Sader Servilus G | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Barnes, Kobe Walker, Joe Vick, Mark Brown Jr., Camden Webster, Jayden Watson, Nick Lombardi
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 44 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| AJ Smith F | 43 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 38 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 5-19 | 0-4 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 32 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Thomas F | 33 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Montana Wheeler G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Kai Yu C | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dietrich Richardson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Demarion Burch, Gus Rugaard, Gustavo Guimares, Handy Toussaint III, Jackson Seastrunk, Matthew Zobrist
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -5.5
ModelBRAD -4.1
Model edgeVAL +1.4
L BRAD covered
Total
Market139.5
Model146.1
Model edgeOver 6.6
W Over
Projected score
VAL 71 · BRAD 75.1
VAL 84 · BRAD 90
Win probability
BRAD 64%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -2.3
tied
Total
68.4
62 points
Projected score
VAL 33 · BRAD 35.3
VAL 31 · BRAD 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -2.5
3 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -5.5
3 pts toward BRAD
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
VAL +195 · BRAD -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -2.5 · closed BRAD -5.5 · moved 3 toward BRADmodel BRAD -4
model BRAD -4
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| BRAD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VAL 1–9 BRADBRAD leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VAL 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025-26 | BRAD 72 @ VAL 79 | VAL +2.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 3, 2025-26 | VAL 65 @ BRAD 72 | BRAD -7.5 | VAL W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | VAL 65 vs BRAD 70 | BRAD -8.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BRAD 76 @ VAL 65 | VAL +4.5 | BRAD W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | VAL 75 @ BRAD 81 | BRAD -14.5 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
31 games played
Straight up
17-14
55% wins
Against the spread
19-12
61% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-15
52% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs UIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs ILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @BRAD | L 65-72 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vs EVAN | W 70-63 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | @ DRKE | W 81-76 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | @ILST | L 64-86 | +8.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsINST | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vsBRAD | W 79-72 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | @UIC | W 71-67 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vsDRKE | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 28 | @EVAN | L 79-80 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | vsINST | W 63-62 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
+0.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−1.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+8.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
−13.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
−3.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+9.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
+11.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEW 74-71
+0.5
28
@EVAN
EVANL 79-80
−6.5
5
vsINST
INSTW 63-62
−1.5
covered 19didn’t cover 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
−7.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−3.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+12.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
+11.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
+5.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+8.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
−0.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEW 74-71
−1.5
28
@EVAN
EVANL 79-80
+21.5
5
vsINST
INSTW 63-62
−15.5
over 16under 15avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
12-18
40% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vsSIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsDRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | @EVAN | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ILST | L 62-88 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsINST | W 75-68 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsUIC | L 70-85 | -7.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @DRKE | W 87-73 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | vsVAL | W 72-65 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | @UNI | L 49-61 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | vsBEL | W 95-84 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 15 | @SIU | W 70-60 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @VAL | L 72-79 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | vsILST | W 74-60 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 24 | @UIC | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 1 | vsMUR | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
−3.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
−20.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−1.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
−22.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+11.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−0.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−8.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+12.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
+12.5
18
@VAL
VALL 72-79
−9.5
21
vsILST
ILSTW 74-60
+10.5
24
@UIC
UICL 86-93
−5.5
1
vsMUR
MURW 87-78
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
13
@EVAN
EVANW 94-90
+41.5
17
@ILST
ILSTL 62-88
+2.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 75-68
−12.5
24
vsUIC
UICL 70-85
+10.5
31
@DRKE
DRKEW 87-73
+9.5
3
vsVAL
VALW 72-65
−7.5
6
@UNI
UNIL 49-61
−24.5
9
vsBEL
BELW 95-84
+26.5
15
@SIU
SIUW 70-60
−16.5
18
@VAL
VALL 72-79
+8.5
21
vsILST
ILSTW 74-60
−11.5
24
@UIC
UICL 86-93
+37.5
1
vsMUR
MURW 87-78
+7.5
over 16under 14avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
17-14 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St63–62
- L@ Evansville79–80
- Wvs Drake74–71
- W@ UIC71–67
- Wvs Bradley79–72
1 day since their last game.
Bradley
19-11 overall · 13-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Murray St87–78
- L@ UIC86–93
- Wvs Illinois St74–60
- L@ Valparaiso72–79
- W@ S Illinois70–60
5 days since their last game.