Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
VAL -5.5✓ EVAN covered by 6.5
VAL -5.5✓ EVAN covered by 6.5Closing total137.5Over by 21.5
| VAL | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 16-13 | Record | 4-23 |
| 19-10 | ATS | 12-15 |
| 15-14 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 72–67 EVAN · ✗ VAL (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 42 | 37 | 79 |
| EVAN | 34 | 46 | 80 |
1st half: VAL 42, EVAN 34 (VAL by 8). The model had VAL by 2.8 and a total of 65.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| VAL | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 24-28 86% | Free throws | 21-22 95% |
| 29 5 off | Rebounds | 32 4 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney G | 35 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Owen Dease F | 31 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 26 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 25 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sader Servilus G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Justus McNair G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Mark Brown Jr., Camden Webster, Joe Vick, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 40 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 36 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| AJ Casey F | 35 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 12-16 | 3-3 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Trent Hundley F | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Quinet G | 36 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-3 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keishon Porter, Weston Aigner, Marlon Barnes Jr., Dakota Candler, Connor Turnbull, Aaron Gutman, James Dyson-Merwe, Leo Amari IV
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -4.5
1 → VAL
CloseVAL -5.5
1 pt toward VAL
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAL -238 · EVAN +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -4.5 · closed VAL -5.5 · moved 1 toward VALmodel VAL -4.5
model VAL -4.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAL -5.5 | VAL -4.6 | EVAN +0.9 | W EVAN covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 139.4 | Over 1.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | VAL 72 · EVAN 67.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAL -2.8 | VAL -8.0 |
| 1H total | 65.3 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | VAL 34.1 · EVAN 31.2 | VAL 42 · EVAN 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| EVAN | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VAL 6–4 EVANVAL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VAL 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025-26 | EVAN 63 @ VAL 70 | VAL -8.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | VAL 69 @ EVAN 79 | EVAN +1.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | EVAN 78 @ VAL 68 | VAL -7.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | EVAN 63 @ VAL 62 | VAL -1.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | VAL 75 @ EVAN 78 | EVAN -6.5 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
29 games played
Straight up
16-13
55% wins
Against the spread
19-10
66% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs UIC | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs ILST | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MUR | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ BEL | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNI | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | vsSIU | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsBEL | L 77-78 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ INST | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @ BRAD | L 65-72 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | vsEVAN | W 70-63 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | @ DRKE | W 81-76 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | @ILST | L 64-86 | +8.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsINST | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | vsBRAD | W 79-72 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | @UIC | W 71-67 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vsDRKE | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
+4.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+12.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
−0.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+7.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
+11.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
+4.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+4.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+6.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
+0.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−1.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+8.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
−13.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
−3.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+9.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
+11.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEW 74-71
+0.5
covered 19didn’t cover 10avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
4
vsUIC
UICW 66-59
−19.5
7
vsILST
ILSTW 77-71
+9.5
10
@MUR
MURL 79-92
+18.5
13
@BEL
BELL 74-78
+5.5
17
vsUNI
UNIW 54-44
−32.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 69-63
−10.5
28
vsBEL
BELL 77-78
+9.5
31
@INST
INSTW 76-72
+2.5
3
@BRAD
BRADL 65-72
−7.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 70-63
−3.5
9
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-76
+12.5
12
@ILST
ILSTL 64-86
+11.5
15
vsINST
INSTW 76-75
+5.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADW 79-72
+8.5
21
@UIC
UICW 71-67
−0.5
25
vsDRKE
DRKEW 74-71
−1.5
over 15under 14avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
27 games played
Straight up
4-23
15% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vsBEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vsUNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsMUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsBRAD | L 90-94 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 20 | @UIC | L 49-76 | +8.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 28 | @DRKE | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @UNI | L 55-71 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 3 | vsINST | L 63-84 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 6 | @VAL | L 63-70 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | vsILST | W 88-80 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | @SIU | L 60-86 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 18 | vsUIC | L 46-84 | +8.5 | L −29.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | @MUR | L 75-88 | +15.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 25 | @BEL | L 64-98 | +18.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+3.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−18.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+4.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−4.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
−19.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
+1.5
9
vsILST
ILSTW 88-80
+18.5
12
@SIU
SIUL 60-86
−13.5
18
vsUIC
UICL 46-84
−29.5
21
@MUR
MURL 75-88
+2.5
25
@BEL
BELL 64-98
−15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+41.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−14.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+16.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−2.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
+1.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
−3.5
9
vsILST
ILSTW 88-80
+30.5
12
@SIU
SIUL 60-86
+3.5
18
vsUIC
UICL 46-84
−10.5
21
@MUR
MURL 75-88
+9.5
25
@BEL
BELL 64-98
+9.5
over 13under 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
16-13 overall · 11-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Drake74–71
- W@ UIC71–67
- Wvs Bradley79–72
- Wvs Indiana St76–75
- L@ Illinois St64–86
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
4-23 overall · 2-16 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont64–98
- L@ Murray St75–88
- Lvs UIC46–84
- L@ S Illinois60–86
- Wvs Illinois St88–80
3 days since their last game.