Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
USA -4.5✓ GASO covered by 13.5
USA -4.5✓ GASO covered by 13.5Closing total149.5Over by 29.5
 GASO | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 16-15 | Record | 19-10 |
| 14-16 | ATS | 16-13 |
| 17-13 | O/U | 15-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 76–79 USA · ✗ USA (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 40 | 54 | 94 |
| USA | 43 | 42 | 85 |
1st half: GASO 40, USA 43 (USA by 3). The model had USA by 1.6 and a total of 72.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| GASO | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 23-44 52% | 3-pointers | 10-19 53% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 17-28 61% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 36 16 off |
| 22 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Applewhite F | 38 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 11-12 | 8-9 |
| Spudd Webb G | 35 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Tyren Moore G | 33 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 7-18 | 6-15 |
| Shainen Carter F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Andres Burney F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner, Jayden Williams
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Chaze Harris G | 36 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 5-17 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Adam Olsen F | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-5 |
| Randy Brady F | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Williams F | 22 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| John Broom G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| JJ Wheat G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Maxwell Land, Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Brian Hawthorne, Samuel Shoptaw
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSA -4.5
ModelUSA -3.0
Model edgeGASO +1.5
W GASO covered
Total
Market149.5
Model154.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
W Over
Projected score
GASO 75.6 · USA 78.6
GASO 94 · USA 85
Win probability
USA 60%
1st half
Spread
USA -1.6
USA -3.0
Total
72.1
83 points
Projected score
GASO 35.2 · USA 36.9
GASO 40 · USA 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -3.5
1 → USA
CloseUSA -4.5
1 pt toward USA
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GASO +170 · USA -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -3.5 · closed USA -4.5 · moved 1 toward USAmodel USA -3
model USA -3
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| USA | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
GASO 3–4 USAUSA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · USA has won the last 2 meetings · GASO 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | GASO 71 @ USA 87 | USA -2.5 | USA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | USA 76 @ GASO 47 | GASO +5.5 | USA W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | GASO 76 vs USA 71 | USA -3.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | GASO 65 @ USA 78 | USA -4.5 | USA W |
| Dec 29, 2022-23 | USA 50 @ GASO 64 | GASO +3.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs UNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs GAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs JMU | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ CCU | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ ODU | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @USA | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsODU | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsCCU | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs ARST | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs TROY | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 30 | vs ULM | W 79-76 | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 31 | @ UL | L 60-69 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | vs TXST | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | vs APP | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | vs MRSH | W 101-87 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 19 | @GAST | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | @APP | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 25 | @JMU | L 66-82 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 27 | @MRSH | W 99-82 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 168.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 4 | vsODU | W 88-84 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | vsARST | W 80-77 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+1.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+2.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+5.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
−13.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
−2.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−10.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
−0.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−11.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−10.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
−14.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+16.5
19
@GAST
GASTL 64-66
−3.5
21
@APP
APPL 74-89
−7.5
25
@JMU
JMUL 66-82
−10.5
27
@MRSH
MRSHW 99-82
+24.5
4
vsODU
ODUW 88-84
+1.5
5
vsARST
ARSTW 80-77
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+34.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+5.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+17.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
+9.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
+8.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−3.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−19.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
+1.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−15.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−3.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
+2.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+25.5
19
@GAST
GASTL 64-66
−24.5
21
@APP
APPL 74-89
+15.5
25
@JMU
JMUL 66-82
−5.5
27
@MRSH
MRSHW 99-82
+12.5
4
vsODU
ODUW 88-84
+14.5
5
vsARST
ARSTW 80-77
−8.5
over 17under 13avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vsGASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vsCCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vsGAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs BUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @ USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 16 | @MRSH | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsTXST | L 82-90 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 21 | vsTROY | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 25 | vsULM | W 89-54 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 27 | vsUSM | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+2.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
−11.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
+13.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
+20.5
27
vsUSM
USML 55-68
−17.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+13.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
+34.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
−23.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
−10.5
27
vsUSM
USML 55-68
−18.5
over 15under 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
16-15 overall · 10-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arkansas St80–77
- Wvs Old Dominion88–84
- W@ Marshall99–82
- L@ James Madison66–82
- L@ App State74–89
1 day since their last game.
South Alabama
19-10 overall · 11-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Southern Miss55–68
- Wvs UL Monroe89–54
- Wvs Troy65–54
- Lvs Texas St82–90
- L@ Marshall80–84
A week or more of rest.