Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center · at GA Southern · Conference game
Closing line
APP -1.5✓ APP covered by 14.5
APP -1.5✓ APP covered by 14.5Closing total143.5Over by 2.5
| APP | This season | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| 15-9 | Record | 12-11 |
| 15-9 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 8-16 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 74–72 GASO · ✓ APP (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 31 | 50 | 81 |
| GASO | 27 | 38 | 65 |
1st half: APP 31, GASO 27 (APP by 4). The model had APP by 1.2 and a total of 68.5 (actual 58).
Team stats
| APP | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 24-63 38% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 4 |
| 8 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 35 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 9-18 | 3-8 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Luke Wilson C | 33 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 31 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Jalen Tot G | 26 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Chad Moodie F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacari Brim, KJ Vasser, Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, Andrin Njock, Cameron O'Kelley, Jason Clarke Jr., Luke Ledford
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 36 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| Tyren Moore G | 31 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 6-16 | 3-11 |
| Nakavieon White F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Shainen Carter F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alden Applewhite F | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Andres Burney F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dallas Gardner, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cade Lomas, Amare Neal, Cullen Schreiner, Pavle Ridesic, Jayden Williams, Jefferson Koulibaly
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -1.5
ModelAPP -1.7
Model edgeAPP +0.2
W APP covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
APP 74 · GASO 72.3
APP 81 · GASO 65
Win probability
APP 56%
1st half
Spread
APP -1.2
APP -4.0
Total
68.5
58 points
Projected score
APP 34.8 · GASO 33.7
APP 31 · GASO 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -1.5
no move
CloseAPP -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
APP -125 · GASO +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -1.5 · unchangedmodel APP -1.5 matches the line
model APP -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| GASO | 4-6 40% | 2-7 22% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
APP 7–3 GASOAPP leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · APP 2-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | APP 59 @ GASO 61 | GASO +1.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | GASO 74 @ APP 79 | APP -8.5 | GASO W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | GASO 80 vs APP 85 | APP -12.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | APP 85 @ GASO 84 | GASO +10.5 | GASO W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | GASO 74 @ APP 84 | APP -16.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
24 games played
Straight up
15-9
63% wins
Against the spread
15-9
63% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-16
33% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs JMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vs UL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs ULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @ USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @ TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | vs USA | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs EMU | W 65-60 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
+2.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
−9.5
7
vsEMU
EMUW 65-60
−6.5
over 8under 16avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
GA Southern
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vsUNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vsGAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vsJMU | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @CCU | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ODU | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @USA | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsODU | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsCCU | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs ARST | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | vsTROY | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 30 | vsULM | W 79-76 | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 31 | @UL | L 60-69 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | vs TXST | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+1.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+2.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+5.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
−13.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
−2.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−10.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
−0.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−11.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+34.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+5.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+17.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
+9.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
+8.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−3.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−19.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
+1.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−15.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−3.5
over 12under 10avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
15-9 overall · 9-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan65–60
- Wvs South Alabama65–57
- W@ Troy66–44
- W@ Southern Miss70–63
- Wvs UL Monroe59–43
4 days since their last game.
GA Southern
12-11 overall · 6-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas St71–77
- L@ Louisiana60–69
- Wvs UL Monroe79–76
- Lvs Troy78–83
- Lvs Arkansas St68–85
A week or more of rest.