Enterprise Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UNI -1.5✓ UNI covered by 20.5
UNI -1.5✓ UNI covered by 20.5Closing total130.5Under by 4.5
| UNI | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 19-12 | Record | 19-11 |
| 17-14 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 12-19 | O/U | 13-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 65–64 ILST · ✓ UNI (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 35 | 39 | 74 |
| ILST | 27 | 25 | 52 |
1st half: UNI 35, ILST 27 (UNI by 8). The model had UNI by 0.3 and a total of 60.4 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UNI | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-54 54% | Field goals | 15-46 33% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 3-20 15% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 19-28 68% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 21 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 37 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Leon Bond III G | 30 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 9-13 | 1-4 |
| Will Hornseth F | 21 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Smith F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Schwieger F | 27 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| RJ Taylor G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Jacobson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Chase Courbat, Cade Courbat, Jalen Wilson, Levi Valdo
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Landon Wolf G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Chase Walker F | 24 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Mason Klabo G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty Pence G | 28 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Landon Moore G | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Isaac Ericksen, Ty Blake, Nick Allen, Cameron Barnes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -1.5
ModelUNI -0.4
Model edgeILST +1.1
L UNI covered
Total
Market130.5
Model128.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
W Under
Projected score
UNI 64.6 · ILST 64.2
UNI 74 · ILST 52
Win probability
UNI 51%
1st half
Spread
UNI -0.3
UNI -8.0
Total
60.4
62 points
Projected score
UNI 30.4 · ILST 30
UNI 35 · ILST 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -1.5
no move
CloseUNI -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open125.5
▲ 5
Close130.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNI -130 · ILST +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -1.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -0.5
model UNI -0.5
Opened 125.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 5 upmodel 129
model 129
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UNI 8–3 ILSTUNI leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · ILST has won the last 2 meetings · UNI 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025-26 | ILST 71 @ UNI 69 | UNI -4.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | UNI 54 @ ILST 59 | ILST -6.5 | UNI W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | ILST 65 @ UNI 68 | UNI -5.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UNI 85 @ ILST 84 | ILST -1.5 | UNI W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | UNI 73 @ ILST 81 | ILST +1.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
31 games played
Straight up
19-12
61% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs BEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @VAL | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | @ILST | L 54-59 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | vs MUR | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | @ SIU | L 50-65 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsEVAN | W 71-55 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRAD | W 61-49 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | @MUR | W 89-60 | +4.5 | W +33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @BEL | L 86-91 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | vs DRKE | W 86-62 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | @INST | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsSIU | L 57-59 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 25 | vsILST | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 1 | @DRKE | W 75-53 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 5 | vsEVAN | W 68-59 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−11.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
+1.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+6.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−16.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
+4.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
+8.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+33.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
−0.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+15.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+15.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−8.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
−6.5
1
@DRKE
DRKEW 75-53
+17.5
5
vsEVAN
EVANW 68-59
−4.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−32.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
−19.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+11.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−15.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
−2.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
−24.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+3.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
+38.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+9.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+4.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−18.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
+7.5
1
@DRKE
DRKEW 75-53
−9.5
5
vsEVAN
EVANW 68-59
−0.5
over 12under 19avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vsFUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vsINST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vsEVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vsBRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsUNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsDRKE | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | @EVAN | L 80-88 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsVAL | W 86-64 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UIC | L 56-83 | -1.5 | L −28.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 18 | vsMUR | W 78-61 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @BRAD | L 60-74 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | @UNI | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 1 | vsBEL | W 81-74 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
−0.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
−18.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+13.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−28.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
+14.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−10.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+6.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
6
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-76
+17.5
9
@EVAN
EVANL 80-88
+30.5
12
vsVAL
VALW 86-64
+11.5
15
@UIC
UICL 56-83
−1.5
18
vsMUR
MURW 78-61
−19.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 60-74
−11.5
25
@UNI
UNIW 71-69
+7.5
1
vsBEL
BELW 81-74
+4.5
over 13under 17avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
19-12 overall · 12-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville68–59
- W@ Drake75–53
- Lvs Illinois St69–71
- Lvs S Illinois57–59
- W@ Indiana St81–60
1 day since their last game.
Illinois St
19-11 overall · 12-8 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Belmont81–74
- W@ Northern Iowa71–69
- L@ Bradley60–74
- Wvs Murray St78–61
- L@ UIC56–83
5 days since their last game.