McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -6.5✓ SIU covered by 8.5
UNI -6.5✓ SIU covered by 8.5Closing total134.5Under by 18.5
 SIU | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 12-15 | Record | 17-10 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 16-11 |
| 8-19 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 63–69 UNI · ✗ UNI (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 33 | 26 | 59 |
| UNI | 30 | 27 | 57 |
1st half: SIU 33, UNI 30 (SIU by 3). The model had UNI by 3.3 and a total of 61.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| SIU | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 1-3 33% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 26 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe G | 39 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 39 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 10-17 | 0-1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Haynes G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Davion Sykes G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Max Pikaar F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Luke Walsh, Daniel Pauliukonis, Caden Hawkins, Jorge Moreno, Isaiah Stafford
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 8-16 | 0-4 |
| Leon Bond III G | 30 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Will Hornseth F | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Smith F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| RJ Taylor G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hunter Jacobson, Chase Courbat, Levi Valdo, Cade Courbat, Jalen Wilson, Redek Born, Marino Dubravcic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -6.5
ModelUNI -5.7
Model edgeSIU +0.8
W SIU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model131.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
W Under
Projected score
SIU 62.9 · UNI 68.5
SIU 59 · UNI 57
Win probability
UNI 69%
1st half
Spread
UNI -3.3
SIU -3.0
Total
61.6
63 points
Projected score
SIU 29.2 · UNI 32.4
SIU 33 · UNI 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -6.5
no move
CloseUNI -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
▲ 4
Close134.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SIU +245 · UNI -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -6.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -5.5
model UNI -5.5
Opened 130.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 4 upmodel 131.5
model 131.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| UNI | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SIU 3–6 UNIUNI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SIU has won the last 2 meetings · SIU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025-26 | UNI 50 @ SIU 65 | SIU +1.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UNI 49 @ SIU 73 | SIU +4.5 | SIU W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | SIU 67 @ UNI 78 | UNI -10.5 | UNI W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | UNI 82 @ SIU 70 | SIU -3.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SIU 57 @ UNI 61 | UNI -5.5 | SIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
27 games played
Straight up
12-15
44% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-19
30% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs ILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ BRAD | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ MUR | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | vs VAL | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ BEL | W 68-67 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UIC | L 57-70 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 14 | vs DRKE | L 73-76 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | vsBEL | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 21 | @VAL | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vsUNI | W 65-50 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsUIC | L 66-68 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | @ILST | W 54-50 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsMUR | L 81-91 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 9 | @ INST | W 80-65 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 12 | vs EVAN | W 86-60 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 15 | vsBRAD | L 60-70 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @DRKE | W 66-61 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
+2.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
+3.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−2.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
+7.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−14.5
14
vsDRKE
DRKEL 73-76
−8.5
17
vsBEL
BELL 68-73
−1.5
21
@VAL
VALL 63-69
−4.5
28
vsUNI
UNIW 65-50
+16.5
31
vsUIC
UICL 66-68
−5.5
3
@ILST
ILSTW 54-50
+12.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 81-91
−8.5
9
@INST
INSTW 80-65
+13.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 86-60
+13.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADL 60-70
−12.5
18
@DRKE
DRKEW 66-61
+3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
−10.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
−0.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−0.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
−23.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−19.5
14
vsDRKE
DRKEL 73-76
+4.5
17
vsBEL
BELL 68-73
−10.5
21
@VAL
VALL 63-69
−10.5
28
vsUNI
UNIW 65-50
−15.5
31
vsUIC
UICL 66-68
−8.5
3
@ILST
ILSTW 54-50
−36.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 81-91
+14.5
9
@INST
INSTW 80-65
−1.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 86-60
+3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADL 60-70
−16.5
18
@DRKE
DRKEW 66-61
−22.5
over 8under 19avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
16-11
59% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vsVAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vsINST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsBEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @VAL | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | @ILST | L 54-59 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | vsMUR | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | @SIU | L 50-65 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsEVAN | W 71-55 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRAD | W 61-49 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | @MUR | W 89-60 | +4.5 | W +33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @BEL | L 86-91 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | vsDRKE | W 86-62 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | @INST | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−11.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
+1.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+6.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−16.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
+4.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
+8.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+33.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
−0.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+15.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+15.5
covered 16didn’t cover 11avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−32.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
−19.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+11.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−15.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
−2.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
−24.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+3.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
+38.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+9.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+4.5
over 11under 16avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
12-15 overall · 7-10 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Drake66–61
- Lvs Bradley60–70
- Wvs Evansville86–60
- W@ Indiana St80–65
- Lvs Murray St81–91
3 days since their last game.
Northern Iowa
17-10 overall · 10-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St81–60
- Wvs Drake86–62
- L@ Belmont86–91
- W@ Murray St89–60
- Wvs Bradley61–49
3 days since their last game.